Forum Replies Created
Interesting stuff. It’s good that horse racing offers the chance of changing approach in so many ways. Good luck at Wetherby.
I’ve messed up big style by getting distracted and not backing Kodi Koh already and that 33/1 has turned into 11/1 now! I have to hope it loses now!
I have had an each-way bet on End Zone in the 7:45 Newcastle at 10/1. On the sectional times, he raced inefficiently and suffered in both of his last 2 races. Hold up style and draw will help today. Good stats for both trainer and jockey.
Good luck Howard for Friday. You’re off to a promising start.
Interesting to read everyone’s posts.
I’ve just got one for Friday – Kodi Koh in the 4:15 Newcastle. Clearly is best here at Newcastle usually running well (7 out of 8 times) but has suffered bad luck almost every time either through her own doing but often being badly drawn – not so today.
The jockey switch to Phil Dennis is really eye-catching as he has very profitable figures at this track. He seems to be a ‘confidence’ rider and signs are he could be at the start of a mini-run. If anyone can win on this mare, I feel he’s the man.
On the negative side, she’s a keen horse and has to overcome a likely slow pace. She also has to overcome an absence since February but she’s gone well fresh before. On the positive side, she’s 5lbs clear on Peter May’s ratings.
Skybet are offering 33/1, first 5 places at a fifth the odds. At 6.6 to 1 to be in the 1st 5 home, I feel that’s a bet worth having.
Hope Crosse Fire doesn’t make it an agonising day for you Stevie!
Think you summed up other people’s feelings in that Geegeez makes it really enjoyable to study the horses besides giving us some real advantages with angles etc. Endlessly interesting.
I think you’ll be able to boast a winner or two tomorrow, Howard! We’ll have to some to match Sunchu who has been knocking in winners regularly. He’s picked a trappy race tomorrow but he’s in good form!
It’s all good fun and a great pastime with a chance of a payoff any day of the week.
Anyway, I’ll throw my hat into the ring for Thursday where I fancy 3 at differing prices.
12:35 Strat – Sandymount Rose. Will much prefer this bigger field and better pace, had to deal with two races that were slowly run affairs until the latter stages. Stable bang in form but negative form of rider means I will be looking for 5/1 or better.
12:45 Ling – Marions Boy. On sectional times he ran inefficiently last time out over 1m here where he probably also needed the run. Now steps up to 1m2f where sire stats are much stronger. Teal very profitable with his 3yos and an upswing in stable form over last 7 days. Rider been in great form for an extended period now. The 12/1 looks good and could drift to bigger.
2:36 Strat – Galan Des Planches. Short price at 7/4 but could be a shoe-in here. These 2m novice events at this track are mostly won by horses who ran in a bumper last time out and this horse fits the bill. In that race he had to suffer an uneven pace on unsuitably dry ground and wasn’t knocked about when chance had gone. Sire stats heavily favour soft/heavy ground and Henderson’s record with sire progeny is impressive 19 winners from 40 runners. Market leaders have a strong record in these events here during the winter season. Don’t normally look at horses as short as this but I do like this one.
Good luck with all our bets and selections.
Hey, well done Howard! Hope you were on that. You and Sunchu got it dead right today.
Well done Sunchu. You got it absolutely right!
Good luck to all 3 of us even though we have a clash in the 3:32 Fakenham 🙂
Sorry Howard, I meant to say a strong line of green on INSTANT EXPERT for your horse.
Welcome to Geegeez-land!
I’ve not looked at that race in particular but I note Dance To Paris has a strong line of green (which is good!) if you click the Place button as opposed to the Win button. So no problem at all in being suited to conditions and certainly a sporting price at 8/1. So good luck with your bet.
The one I like on Wednesday is Dream Machine in the 3:32 Fakenham (10/1 best price). I’d previously made some notes about this C&D and noted that the really important requirement was to be a tenacious battler and this horse is the standout in the field on that count. He has a much stronger record on really sharp tracks like this so can be forgiven two below par runs in last 3 as they were on galloping tracks. He tends to come good after a few runs and has also dropped to a nice handicap mark. I note he’s scored two cracking speed figures on sharp tracks on decent ground – either figure would make him top here. Another significant stat for this C&D on better ground is that 6yos are by far the most successful age group. The stable are in great form and the rider is profitable at this track. I think he’s teed up very nicely for this race and I’ve backed him straight win at 10/1.
I felt cursed today as I’d backed Middlessence each way at 50/1 in the 3:50 Catterick and he dropped from 2nd to 4th in the dying strides. So I’m hoping for better luck on Wednesday!
Yes I keep checking your updates and progress. Sires undoubtedly present some useful and profitable angles – it’s just a case of landing on the right examples (not always easy). It’s good to share ideas though. Shame not many others are doing the same.
I had a great day yesterday – see https://twitter.com/RussSmith21/status/1320410636166303746?s=09. I went for a really simple approach rather than an in-depth one and it paid off.
Pattaya has gone for a real walk in the betting to 28/1 which is great as I’ve not backed it yet.
Good luck anyway.
Good idea Davybuoy. Matt is asking for questions for the series of live webinars starting from Wednesday evening. Maybe that’s an opportunity to float this idea. I would definitely use that function if it were available.
Just catching up with the days events. Well done Sunchu. Good use of the Full Form filters. 3/1 winner and 40/1 2nd – can’t be bad!
Really unlucky there Sunchu. Looked the winner all the way until the line. A clean jump at the last and he would definitely have won. Better luck with your other bet.
I’ve just posted https://www.geegeez.co.uk/Gold/topic/george-moore-chasers-system/ which might be of interest to you in addition to Matt’s TTS. I’ll be looking out for qualifiers this winter.
I should be backing your selections Sunchu. I think mine came last! Bit over ambitious there!
Hi Davybuoy. Sounds like TTS is off to a good start. I’m not one for following stats that are based on just one factor but Matt seems to have a good track record of success with this approach. Results don’t lie and it seems to be working again. I did download it but haven’t used it – maybe more fool me :-). I might take a closer look but I like factoring in as much as possible when I look at a race as I find it more interesting. I’m glad you’ve pointed out the winners though and I won’t dismiss it so readily in future :-).