Aintree Day One Stats and Trends: Thursday 11th April 24

Here at GeeGeez, we give you all the key stats for all the main LIVE ITV races at Aintree on the opening day of their 2024 Grand National Festival (Thursday 11th April) – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Once the final runners are out, you can apply these stats to the entries to put history on your side.

Aintree Trends (ITV/Racing TV)
Thursday 11th April 2024

2.20pm – Boodles Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV –

17/20 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
16/20 – Placed in the top three last time out
14/20 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
13/20 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Won by trainer Alan King (4-from-8 since 2007)
4/20 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Irish-trained winners
2/20  - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (2 of last 5)
16/18 – Won at least twice over hurdles
14/18 – Retuned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 - Winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
13/18 – Previous Grade 1 or 2 winners that season
13/18 – Ran at least 4 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Finished in the top 3 in the Triumph Hurdle
12/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins, Alan King, Nicky Henderson or Paul Nicholls
10/15 – Began their careers in France
Horses rated 152+ are 5 from 8 (since 2007)
Just 3 of the last 22 winners were Irish-trained
French-bred horses have won 13 of the last 24 (54%) runnings – including 6 of the last 8
Just 5/33 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

2023 Winner: Zenta (5/4)
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: Mark Walsh

2.55pm – William Hill Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

18/20 – Didn’t win last time out
15/20 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/20 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
12/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/20 – Aged in double-figures
7/20 – Winning favourites (5 of the last 6)
5/20 - Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (6 wins in total)
5/9 – Were the top-rated horse in the field
4/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/9 – Won that season’s King George
11 of the last 14 (79%) winners aged 9 or younger
10 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
6 of the last 8 market leaders (favs) have won
All of the last 12 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Trainer Willie Mullins is 2-from-5 in the race
26/39 (67%) winners ran in that season’s King George
25/39 (64%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
14/26 (54%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
Just 4 of the last 27 winners were Irish-trained
5 of the last 11 winners had headgear
10 of the last 13 winners were favourite or second favourite
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 30 (43%) renewals and 6 of the last 13 (46%)
6 of the last 12 winners had run in this race before
No last-time out winner since 2010

2023 Winner: Shishkin (7/4 fav)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Nico de Boinville

3.30pm – William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 8 or younger
16/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
13/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/20 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
10/20 – Irish-trained winners, plus 20 of the last 46
6/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/20 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (6 of the last 12)
5/20 – Won last time out
24 of the last 29 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
45 of the last 46 winners aged 8 or younger
14 of the last 29 (48%) winners trained in Ireland
32 of the last 46 (70%) winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9 of the last 13 winners (69%) were placed in the top 4 of that season’s Champion Hurdle
14 of the last 17 winners (including last 11) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 22 (41%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 6 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 4 won
The last 15 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Just 4 winning outright favourites since 2000
Every past British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 2 winning 5 year-olds in the last 34 runnings
Just 2 of the last 20 Champion Hurdle runners-up to race have won

2023 Winner: Constitution Hill (2/15 fav)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Nico de Boinville

4.05pm – Randox Foxhunters´ Open Hunters' Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV

19/20 – Aged 9 or older (Just 3 of the last 39 winners were younger than 9)
15/20 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Aged in double-figures
14/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Ran in the Cheltenham Foxhunters’ last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
14 of the last 18 (78%) winners were aged 10 or older
Irish-trained runners have won 4 of the last 9 runnings
5 of the last 9 winners were placed in the top 4 in last season’s race
21 of the last 30 (70%) winners went off favourite or second favourite
25 of the last 30 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 3 of the last 39 winners were aged younger than 9
24 of the last 30 (80%) winners came from the top 4 in the market and returned at single-figures in the betting.
11 of the last 18 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 13 of the last 21 (65%) renewals

2023 Winner: Famous Clermont (9/2)
Trainer: C R Barber
Jockey: William Biddick

4.40pm – The Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

18/20 – Aged 9 or younger
17/20 – Carried 11-1 or less
14/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Unplaced last time out
10/20 – Aged 7 or younger
10/20 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Irish-trained winners
15 of the last 21 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18 of the last 22 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 3 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 15 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 17 of the last 25 (68%) runnings
20 of the last 23 (87%) winners carried 11-2 or less
7 of the last 24 (29%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
8 of the last 9 winners DIDN’T run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
7 of the last 8 winners were Irish-bred
Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 & 2023 and 4 placed horses

2023 Winner: Dancing On My Own (15/2)
Trainer: Henry de Bromhead
Jockey Rachael Blackmore

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