Into the second day of the Aintree Grand National Meeting on Friday 4th April 2025 the ITV cameras are on-hand to take in five more LIVE races.
The Mildmay Novices’ Chase, Melling Chase and the Randox Health Topham Chase are the three feature contests as the 'must-see' action from Liverpool’s premier track continues.
As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the key stats for the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.
Aintree Horse Racing Trends
FRIDAY, 4th April 2025 (ITV/Racing TV)
1.45pm – Mildmay Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f
21/21– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
21/21 – Raced no more than 55 days ago
18/21 – Aged 7 or younger
18/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
18/21 – Raced no more than 33 days ago
17/21 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out (the last 11 winners finished 1st or 2nd at the Festival that season)
10/21 – Ran in the RSA (Brown Advisory) Chase last time out
10/21 – Winning favourites
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including 3 of last 7)
4/21 – Irish trained winners
5 of the last 6 RSA (Brown Advisory) Chase winners to run have lost
Trainer Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls have won 9 of the last 21 runnings between them
11 of the last 13 winners were the BHA top-rated first and second
20 of the last 27 winners were aged 6 (7) or 7 (13) years-old (13 of the last 15)
The last 21 winners were either French (8) or Irish (13) bred.
No British bred winner since 2002
6 of the last 12 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase
0 winners since 2000 came here unbeaten over fences
34 of the last 35 (97%) winners were priced 10/1 or less
26 of the last 33 (79%) winners had won over at least 3m before
37 of the last 42 (88%) winners had won twice or more over fences
19 of the last 22 (86%) winners raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
23 of the last 25 (92%) winners had run in at least 4 chases
Just one winner returned 11/1 or bigger since 1989
2024 Winner: Inothewayurthinkin (6/4 fav)
Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Mark Walsh
2.20pm – The William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m4f ITV
10/11 – Had won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
8/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favs (top 4)
8/11 – Rated between 133-137 (inc)
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Aged 6
6/11 – Had run at Aintree before
4/11 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 3)
2/11 – Winning favs (joint or co)
0/11 – Outright winning favourites
Jonjo O’Neill has won the race twice since 2007
The Irish have won 3 of the last 5 runnings
2024 Winner: Kateira (5/1 cfav)
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
2.55pm – TrustATrader Top Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV
20/21 – Raced no more than 31 days ago
14/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Finished first or second last time out
12/21 – Ran in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
10/21 – Aged 5 years-old
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 of last 14)
22 of the last 25 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
18 of the last 27 (67%) winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
26 of the last 33 (79%) winners came from the top 4 in the market
11 of the last 12 winners ran in bumpers before (9 winning at least once)
Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 25 runnings
Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 28 runnings
Just five Irish winners since 1978 (4 from 34 this century)
Irish have won just 6 of the last 47 runnings (but 4 of the last 5)
12 of the last 24 (50%) winners were placed in the top 6 in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Supreme runner-up is 6 from 7 in the last 24 runnings)
Willie Mullins is currently 1-from-7 since 2016
Last 3 winners rated between 147-149
Respect JP McManus-owned runners (7 wins), including last 3 (all 7 returned fav)
2024 Winner: Mystical Power (11/10 fav)
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: Mark Walsh
3.30pm – My Pension Expert Melling Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f ITV
18/21 – Raced within the last 30 days
18/21 – Ran in either the Ryanair or Champion Chase that season
18/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
17/21 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
14/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/21 – Ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last time out
11/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Irish-trained winners (5 of the last 10)
7/21 – Ran in the Ryanair Chase that season
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
25 of the last 33 (76%) winners had won over at least 2m4f
34 of the last 37 (92%) winners were aged 7 or older
26 of the last 32 (81%) winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
13 of the last 29 (45%) winners had finished third or better in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
20 of the last 29 (69%) winners were fav or 2nd fav
25 of the last 33 (76%) winners had won or been placed at the Grand National Meeting before
14 of the last 20 (70%) winners had won a Grade 1 Chase earlier that season
28 of the last 33 (85%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Only 1 past winner aged 6 years-old
Respect French breds (the last 7 winners)
11 of the last 26 winners trained in Ireland
Joseph O’Brien runners are 2-from-3
2024 Winner: Jonbon (11/10 fav)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Nico de Boinville
4.05pm – Randox Supports Prostate Cancer UK Topham Chase Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m5f110y ITV
18/21 – Raced within the last 34 days
19/21 – Aged 10 or younger
17/21 - Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/21 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
11/21 – Raced within the last 23 days
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
5/21 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (5 total)
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Irish-trained winners
2/21 - Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of last 5)
2/21 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien
No winning favourite in the last 10
5 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Henderson, Mullins & Tizzard have trained 7 of the last 11 winners between them
6 of the last 10 winners were rated 141 or higher
5 of the last 10 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
8 of the last 17 (50%) winners raced in last year’s race
11 of the last 18 (65%) winners hadn’t won over fences that season
12 of the last 20 (63%) winners had raced over the GN-style fences before
15 of the last 31 (50%) winners had raced at least 7 times that season
Only 5 Irish-trained winners since 1979
Just 1 British or Irish-bred winner aged 7 or younger since 1985
Just two winners aged 11+ (121 have tried) since 1994
2024 Winner: Arizona Cardinal (20/1)
Trainer: Stuart Edmunds
Jockey: Ciaran Gethings
4.40pm – Sefton Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m110y ITV
18/21 – Had run within the last 35 days
15/21 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
11/21 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the market
10/21 – Won their last race
5/21 – Favourites that won
3/21 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 10)
2/21 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/21 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable
2/21 – Irish-trained winners
Nicky Henderson and Lucinda Russell have won 5 of the last 10
Lucinda Russell has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
Trainer Paul Nicholls is 1-from-10 (last 12 runnings)
15 of the last 17 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old (88%)
24 of the last 28 (86%) won at least twice over hurdles before
21 of the last 31 (67%) winners had won 4 times or more over hurdles
15 of the last 30 (50%) winners won over at least 2m7f previously
16 of the last 24 (67%) winners didn’t run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
2024 Winner: Dancing City (4/1)
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: Paul Townend
================================================
TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM
GET THE BEST DAILY TRAINER INFO FROM 11 TOP STABLES - Sent direct to your in-box!
**SPECIAL OFFER** TRY US FOR JUST £1.99!!
==================================================
Leave a Reply
Want to join the discussion?Feel free to contribute!