Aintree Trends: Thurs 8th April 2021

A top week for horse racing fans as the three-day Aintree Grand National Meeting kicks-off on Thursday 8th April 2021 with the ITV cameras showing five races LIVE each day.

We get started on DAY ONE with the Betway Bowl, Aintree Hurdle and the Rose Paterson Foxhunters’ Chase are some of the key highlights so there is plenty to look forward to.

As always with the big meetings here at GEEGEEZ we've all the key stats for the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

 

 

THURSDAY, 8th April 2021 (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.20pm – Doombar Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV

2019 Winner: PENTLAND HILLS (11/4)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Nico De Boinville

15/17 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
14/17 – Placed in the top three last time out
12/17 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
11/17 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won by trainer Alan King (4 of the last 13)
3/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/17  - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (last two)
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
12/15 winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
French-bred horses have won 11 of the last 21 (53%) runnings – including 4 of the last 5
14/20 winners raced in the Triumph Hurdle earlier that season
Just 5/30 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

 

2.50pm – The Betway Bowl Chase Grade 1 (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

2019 Winner: KEMBOY (9/4 fav)
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: R Walsh

15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/17 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
9/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/17 – Aged in double-figures
5/17 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 5)
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/6 – Won that season’s King George
4/6 – Were the top-rated horse in the field
15/36 (42%) winners were aged 10 or older
25/36 (69%) winners ran in that season’s King George
25/36 (69%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
13/23 (57%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
Irish-trained winners are just 3-from-13 in the last 8 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners were favourite or second favourite
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 27 (48%) renewals and 6 of the last 10 (60%)
4 of the last 9 winners had run in this race before
No last-time out winner since 2010
3 of the last 11 winners finished in the top 3 in that season’s Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury

 

3.25pm – The Betway Aintree Hurdle Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

2019 Winner: SUPASUNDAE (15/2)
Trainer: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Robbie Power

16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
9/17 – Irish-trained winners, plus 19 of the last 43
5/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (4 of the last 9)
13 of the last 26 (50%) winners trained in Ireland
29 of the last 43 (67%) winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
7 of the last 10 winners (70%) were placed in the top 4 of that season’s Champion Hurdle
11 of the last 14 winners (including last 8) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 19 (47%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 5 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 3 won
Every British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 2 winning 5 year-olds in the last 31 runnings
Just 1 of the last 19 Champion Hurdle runner-ups to race have won

 

4.05pm – The Rose Paterson Fox Hunters´ Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV1

2019 Winner: TOP WOOD (14/1)
Trainer: Kelly Morgan
Jockey: Tabitha Worsley

17/17 – Aged 9 or older (Just 2 of the last 34 winners were younger than 9)
13/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Aged in double-figures
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Ran in the Cheltenham Foxhunters’ last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen
14 of the last 15 (93%) winners were aged 10 or older
Irish-trained runners have won 4 of the last 6 runnings
4 of the last 6 winners were placed in the top 4 in last season’s race
19 of the last 27 (70%) winners went off favourite or second favourite
22 of the last 27 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 2 of the last 36 winners were aged younger than 9
22 of the last 27 (81%) winners came from the top 4 in the market and returned at single-figures in the betting.
10 of the last 15 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 12 of the last 18 (67%) renewals

 

4.40pm – The Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase Grade 3 (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

2019 Winner: Moon Over Germany (11/2)
Trainer: Henry De Bromhead
Jockey: Rachael Blackmore

16/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Carried 11-1 or less
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
12/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
9/17 – Aged 7 or younger
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Irish-trained winner
13 of the last 18 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 19 winners were Novices (inc last 4)
16 of the last 20 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 2 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 15 of the last 22 (68%) runnings
18 of the last 20 (90%) winners carried 11-2 or less
3 of the last 13 winners raced in the previous year’s race
7 of the last 21 (33%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
5 of the last 6 winners DIDN’T run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The last 5 winners were Irish-bred
Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 and 3 placed horses

 

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