Saturday TV Trends

Ascot Champions Day Trends | Saturday 19th Oct 2024

It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturdayone of the big highlights towards the end of the flat turf season with four Group One races, including the Qipco Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, to look forward to.

While trainer Aidan O’Brien is looking for his first winner at the meeting since 2019, when Magical won the Champion Stakes. Oh, and top jockey hasn't ridden a winner at Champions Day since 2018 - again Magical, but this time in the Champion Filly and Mares Stakes.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

1.20 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

19/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/22 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
17/22 – Won at least 5 times previously
16/22 – Favourites placed
15/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
15/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
11/22 – Raced at least 5 times that season
11/22 – Won their latest race
10/22 – Raced at Longchamp (4), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (4) last time out
10/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/22 – Irish-trained winners (6 of the last 13)
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/22 – Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 4)
3/22 – Ridden by Hollie Doyle (3 of the last 4)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2023 Winner: Trawlerman (9/1)
Trueshan won the race in 2020, 2021 and 2022
Since 2011: 6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

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1.55 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

21/22 – Won at least 3 times previously
20/22 – Won over 6f previously
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
20/22 – Raced at least 4 times that season
19/22 – Won at Listed or better class previously
17/22 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
17/22 – Raced at Ascot previously (4 won)
17/22 – Won a Group race previously
16/22 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/22 – Raced at Haydock (8), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
13/22 – Favourites placed
5/22 – Won their latest race
5/22 – Favourites that won
2/22 - Trained by James Fanshawe (2 of the last 13)
Kinross won the race in 2022
2023 Winner: Art Power (40/1)
ALL winners since 1979 aged 6 or younger
Last back-to-back winner 1958/59 (Jack and Jill)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 13 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 7 of the last 12 winners came from single-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed in 5 of the last 13 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed in 5 of the last 13 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

2.35 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
15/16 – Won at Listed or better class previously
15/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/16 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
13/16 – Won at least 3 times previously
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Rated 110 or higher
11/16 – Aged 3 years-old
11/16 – Won over 1m4f previously
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/16 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
7/16 – Won their last race
5/16 – Favourites that won
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 10)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
2023 Winner: Poptronic (22/1)
The last 9 winners came between stalls 6-12 (inc)
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 11
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

3.15 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

21/22 – Raced at least 3 times that season
20/22 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
20/22 – Finished in the top three in their last race
19/22 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
18/22 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
17/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Won their latest race
11/22 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
10/22 – Won at least 7 times previously
9/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
2/22 – Trained by the Hannon yard
Since 1988 only 2 Filly winners (Persuasive 2017 & Minding, 2016)
2023 Winner: Big Rock (5/1)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
4 of the last 10 winners were French-trained
12 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 5 of the last 13 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

3.55 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

21/22 – Won at least 4 times previously
20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
19/22 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
19/22 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
18/22 – Won over 1m2f previously
17/22 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/22 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/22 – Won their last race
9/22 – Raced at either Longchamp (6) or Goodwood (3) last time out
8/22 – Favourites unplaced
8/22 – Returned a double-figure price
7/22 – Favourites
5/22 – Won by a French-based trainer
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 7)
Just 3 Irish-trained winners since 1974
2023 Winner: King Of Steel (3/1 fav)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

4.35 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 10 previous runnings
8/10 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
4/10 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 - Aged 5 years-old
3/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/10 - Winning favourite
Escobar won the race in 2019
2023 Winner: The Gatekeeper
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 18/1
Trainers Charlie Johnston, William Haggas, Jessie Harrington, Roger Varian, David O’Meara (3), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 5 of the last 10 runnings
The last 4 winners from stalls 11 (2) and 4 (2)
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 4 (including 2023 winner)

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