Ascot Champions Day Trends | Saturday 21st Oct 2023

It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturdayone of the big highlights towards the end of the flat turf season with four Group One races, including the Qipco Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, to look forward to.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

1.15 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

18/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/21 – Won at Listed or better class previously
17/21 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
16/21 – Won at least 5 times previously
15/21 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
15/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Aged 5 or older
14/21 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
11/21 – Raced at least 5 times that season
10/21 – Won their latest race
10/21 – Raced at Longchamp (4), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (4) last time out
10/21 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/21 – Irish-trained winners (6 of the last 12)
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of the last 8)
3/21 – Trained by Alan King (last 3)
3/21 – Ridden by Hollie Doyle (last 3)
2/21 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2/21 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 8)
2022 Winner: Trueshan (11/8 fav)
Trueshan won the race in 2020, 2021 and 2022
Since 2011: 6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

1.50 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

20/21 – Won at least 3 times previously
19/21 – Won over 6f previously
19/21 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/21 – Raced at least 4 times that season
18/21 – Won at Listed or better class previously
17/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
16/21 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
16/21 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
16/21 – Won a Group race previously
14/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/21 – Raced at Haydock (8), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
12/21 – Favourites placed
5/21 – Won their latest race
5/21 – Favourites that won
2022 Winner: Kinross 3/1 fav
Since 2011: 4 of the last 12 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 5 of the last 11 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed in 5 of the last 12 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed in 5 of the last 12 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

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Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

2.25 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
11/15 – Rated 110 or higher
11/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Aged 3 years-old
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/15 – Won over 1m4f previously
9/15 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
7/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Favourites that won4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 7)
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 7 runnings)
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
2022 Winner: Emily Upjohn (3/1 fav)
The last 8 winners came between stalls 6-12 (inc)
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 11
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

3.05 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/21 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
19/21 – Finished in the top three in their last race
18/21 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
18/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
18/21 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
17/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/21 – Favourites placed
13/21 – Won their latest race
11/21 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
10/21 – Won at least 7 times previously
9/21 – Favourites that won
7/21 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/21 – Trained by the Hannon yard
Since 1988 only 2 Filly winners (Persuasive 2017 & Minding,  2016)
2022 Winner: Bayside Boy (33/1)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
3 of the last 9 winners were French-trained
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 5 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

3.45 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

21/21 – Won at least 4 times previously
19/21 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
19/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
18/21 – Won over 1m2f previously
17/21 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
16/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/21 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Raced at either Longchamp (6) or Goodwood (3) last time out
8/21 – Favourites unplaced
8/21 – Returned a double-figure price
6/21 – Favourites
5/21 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/21 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 6)
2022 Winner: Bay Bridge (10/1)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

4.25 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
4/9 -  Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/9 - Previous winners were aged 5 years-old
3/9 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/9 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/9 - Winning favourite
Escobar won the race in 2019
2022 Winner: Shelir (80/1)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/1
Trainers William Haggas, Jessie Harrington, Roger Varian, David O’Meara (3), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 5 of the last 9 runnings
The last 2 winners came from stall 11

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