Entries by Dave Renham

Looking Ahead to Autumn on the Flat

Autumn on the flat: A Study Introduction The days are getting shorter, the nights are starting to get a little cooler as we move inexorably into autumn, writes Dave Renham. So, does the change in season affect flat racing in any way? Well, the obvious fact is that generally in these later months we will […]

How to Profit from Runners Up

Is there a way to profit from runners up? I would be interested to know what punters look at first when analysing a race in order to potentially place a bet, writes Dave Renham. Clearly there are many different options. The first thing I look at is run style / pace to see if the […]

Ebor Festival 2026: A Statistical Overview

The Ebor Festival at York – A statistical look back over the past ten meetings The Ebor Festival at York Racecourse is one of the crown jewels of the British Flat racing season, writes Dave Renham. Indeed, I would argue it is the third most prestigious meeting of the year behind Royal Ascot and Glorious […]

Billy Loughnane: ‘The Kid’ in Numbers

Analysing the Performance of 'Wonderkid' Billy Loughnane  The official 2026 UK Flat Championship started at the Guineas Festival on Saturday 2nd May and it will end on British Champions Day at Ascot on Saturday 17th October 2026, writes Dave Renham. The Champion will be decided on the number of winners ridden in both Flat and […]

Course Topography: Uphill Finishes

Horses racing at a course with an uphill finish – is a good run at a similar course LTO a positive? Almost all American tracks are flat, left-handed (anticlockwise) ovals, whereas in the UK the courses differ considerably, writes Dave Renham. Before I get to the meat and bones of my latest research let me […]

The Impact of Last Time Out Run Style

An Investigation into Last Time Out Run Style In the last couple of weeks, the Geegeez Query Tool has been upgraded with many exciting new additions, writes Dave Renham. To read about these changes click here. One of the new options means we can now analyse how the run style of a horse last time […]

Combining Pace and SR Ratings, Part 2

A four-week trial of combining Pace with SR Ratings, Part 2 This the second in a double header where I am sharing a very simple ‘system’ which I tested over a four-week period from May 1st 2026 to May 28th 2026, writes Dave Renham. Before reading on, it would make sense to read the first piece […]

More on Combining Pace and SR Ratings

A four-week trial of combining Pace with SR Ratings, Part 1 Back in May of 2025 I wrote a couple of articles looking at 5-furlong handicaps with the focus being the scores for each horse found in Geegeez Racecard pace tab, writes Dave Renham. In the second of those pieces, which can be read here, […]

A Look at Summer All-Weather Racing

All-Weather racing in the height of summer In this article, I will be looking at horses running on the all-weather (AW) in the months of July and August, writes Dave Renham. Data have been taken from 2017 to 2025 UK AW races and profits/losses calculated to Betfair Starting Price (BSP), less 2% commission on any […]

3yo+ First Time in a Handicap: An Analysis

Horses aged three or older: analysing their first run in a flat handicap In this article, as the title states, I will be looking horses having their first run in a handicap race on the flat, writes Dave Renham. Specifically, I am ignoring two-year-olds and focusing solely on horses aged three or older. Data have […]

Analysing Racing Post Ratings (UK Flat)

An Analysis of the Racing Post Ratings in UK Turf flat racing An excellent addition to the Query Tool back in December 2025 was the ability to query Racing Post Ratings (RPR), writes Dave Renham. Hence, I, along with other Geegeez Gold members, can now delve into past stats for this long-established rating method. In […]

Analysis of 3yo and 3yo+ Maiden Races

3yo and 3yo+ maidens – a deep dive As I have mentioned before my preference from a betting perspective is flat racing and, within the flat sphere, I primarily bet in handicaps, writes Dave Renham. In this article however, I will be looking 3yo only and 3yo+ non-handicap maiden races. I have researched eight full […]

Instant Expert for 5f Handicaps: An Analysis

An investigation into the Geegeez Instant Expert, Part 2 This is the second of a two-parter in which I take a look at the Instant Expert feature in more detail, writes Dave Renham. Last week, I shared some initial findings connected with 575 British 5f handicap races run in 2024. It would make sense to […]

A First Look Under the Instant Expert Bonnet

An initial investigation into Geegeez Instant Expert I wonder how many people who read my weekly articles here are Geegeez Gold members? If you are, I think you're going to like this one... and if not, maybe it will give a gentle nudge to try things out, writes Dave Renham. Introduction One of the many […]

Your first 30 days for just £1