Ayr Western Meeting: trainers and stuff…

Ayr's old grandstand for the Western Meeting

Ayr's old grandstand

A bit later than planned - due to the abandonment of day one because of waterlogging - Ayr will try to host the remaining two days of its Western meeting fixture.

It's a high class meeting and, as you'd expect, is targeted by a number of the bigger Northern trainers. So much so, that I've been able to put together a mini-system of sorts for short-listing  potential wagers.

I looked to see which trainers had the best record at the Ayr Western meeting with horses which were at least relatively fancied and in their prime racing years. Specifically, 20/1 or shorter and aged two to six. These parameters are somewhat arbitrary, but they work well enough for what is - in any case - an inexact science at best.

The quintet of trainers of whom to take heed are:

- Tim Easterby
- Richard Fahey
- David Nicholls
- Kevin Ryan
- Bryan Smart

This 'Famous Five' have collectively saddled 35 winners from 202 runners at the last three Western meetings. That was worth a profit of 113 points, and is not to be sniffed at. But...

...the sharpies amongst you will realise that this is a heck of a lot of bets - roughly 22 a day - and you'd be right.

So, how can we manage the number down? Well, when the ground is extreme - either heavy or firm - it often pays to demand form on such a surface from the runner in question. The going at Ayr, as and when they race, will be heavy.

Unfortunately, that eliminates ALL sixteen qualifiers!

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Looking at those with placed form on heavy does little more to assist, as only the three-year-old, Trail Blaze, has such a notch.

A fat lot of use that was then!

For what they're worth, Friday's potential runners are below, with a few I think might go well emboldened:


Bahamamay 1.50 Ayr 11/4
Garswood 2.20 Ayr 13/2 - WON 7.13 Betfair SP (BSP)
Woodland Mill 2.50 Ayr 16/1
Majestic Moon  2.50 Ayr 9/4
Bachotheque 2.50 Ayr 7/1 - WON 5.85 BSP
Luck 2.50 Ayr 12/1
Take It To The Max 3.25 Ayr 9/2
Lord Aeryn 3.25 Ayr 5/1 - 3rd 5.98 BSP
Trail Blaze 3.25 Ayr 9/4
St Moritz 3.25 Ayr 7/1
Extraterrestrial 3.25 Ayr 9/1 - 2nd 14.0 BSP
Arctic Feeling  4.00 Ayr 12/1 - 2nd 9.52 BSP

Above The Stars 4.00 Ayr 12/1
Waking Warrior 4.00 Ayr 12/1
Come On Dave  4.00 Ayr 8/1 - 3rd 9.04 BSP
Holy Roman Warrior 5.10 Ayr 12/1
Kathleensluckylad  5.10 Ayr 8/1

Best of luck - we're a million to one ON to have a winners with that list above, but whether there are enough profit points to put us/keep us in the black is another question entirely.


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9 replies
  1. Joe Quirke says:

    Best of luck to Carol and you today Matt. Hope all goes well! Could be a long day!!!
    Joe Q

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Could be Joe, but now’t much happening just yet. Thanks for your good wishes though. Hope you’re keeping well and things are sorting themselves out over there.


  2. Mike says:

    Backed the Clive Brittain Semayel following your blog on Wednesday.Great! Unfortunately, I backed it at 66/1 with Stan James who don’t offer guaranteed prices: the SP was 125/1.That’s life, but thanks for the info.

  3. Roger Kay says:

    Think you had better focus on Nursery’s for a while Matt lol.
    All the best to the three of you,

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