Another week, another system, dear reader, and such is the nature of the ever-turning merry-go-round that spins through our inbox with unerring consistency.
This system is marketed by Kris Jackman's BetterBet Publishing. I like Kris' systems as I think they involve a level of common sense that is missing in a majority of offerings. That's why his Racing Secrets [Exposed] is recommended by me, and why it's one of the top-selling systems of recent times.
I also have a lot of respect for Kris as a marketer - he knows his stuff and he does very well.
But... I am not a fan of Betfair Blueprint. The first thing to say is that this is not authored by Kris himself. Rather, he is promoting it on behalf of someone else. Nothing wrong with that. It's something I've done in the past with David Peat of Horse Profiles fame.
Moreover, the system angle does have merit. It's a backing system that looks to support certain horses in the place market.
So why my reticence towards Betfair Blueprint? Well, the main reason is that I'm not able to back test it due to the convalution of the criteria (they're not difficult to understand or implement, but they are difficult to feed into a historical database).
This in itself would be fine if I could trial it for a period of time before recommending it - or at least for a few days!
But there is apparently a 36 hour curfew, beyond which Betfair Blueprint will purportedly be pulled from the market.
Such a small window doesn't afford any kind of real time testing at all, and so I have to pass on it on this point alone.
However, I also have a couple of more deep-seated reservations:
1. two of the rules will have an inconsistent effect on horses in different races. Without giving the game away, race distance is a variable and not an absolute; and, dividing race going into halves is too arbitrary to be meaningful.
2. the system requires backing horses at pretty short prices (always odds on). Whilst losers will be fairly rare, they will be expensive and - over time - probably erode one's bank. Indeed, it's this point that specifically mandates that the system needs a good trial period before a verdict can be arrived at.
So I'll be giving the Betfair Blueprint the swerve. (Actually, I have already bought it - as I always buy products - so I could review it for you in an unbiased fashion, as I always do). I won't be refunding on it, because I can't say it doesn't work. Rather, I don't have the time to verify it and offer an opinion before the door will be closing (allegedly).
Talking of closing doors, and the Betfair Renegade continues to fly in the face of 'sold out' threats, and remain available for purchase. Although this is common enough practice, I'm not a fan of it. If you say you're limiting something, you should limit it.
My last product, Horse Racing Experts, sold out in 23 hours! In fact, I sold 370 when I only had 300 available, and I had to refund people. When I say something's limited, I mean it. And I think those who don't honour such promises are disrespectful to the system buying public (i.e. me and you).
Be that as it may, I am certainly not one to cut off my sizeable conk to spite my already sufficiently blighted face. If a system has merit, and I can potentially make money from it, then whatever reservations I have about the marketing tactics (the sales page for Renegade is truly a shocker!) are secondary.
Renegade was in front to the tune of ten and a bit points when I reported yesterday, and there was a lot of action today.
So how has that affected the bottom line? Actually, not a lot. Just over half a point up on the day at Betfair SP and with commissions accounted for.
There are two more possible selections due to run at Kempton tonight.
To supplement the current Renegade trial, I've also managed to acquire access to another service that has been progressing nicely - at least according to the website, Winning Selections.
The premise here is dead simple: one email a day containing one sporting selection. It might be a horse, or a football team, or a snooker player, or whatever.
You'll always be able to find a price on the event being quoted, either with your local bookie or with Betfair.
It's past history is good, as you can see from the website here.
How it fares under the Geegeez microscope remains to be seen...
Today's selection was Riguez Dancer in the 2.20 Hexham, and it finished 2nd at 9/2.
More on this tomorrow...