Betting Maximizer System Review

The Betting Maximizer (BM hereafter, for obvious reasons) is a laying system. Actually, it's two laying systems in one ebook. It costs £29.95, and comes as an instant download.

BM is twenty pages long and of those twenty pages, the last five contain the 'meat'. There are, as I say, two laying systems, one for flat and one for jumps.

Helpfully, they've both been created using Racing Systems Builder, some tremendous software much loved by me, which means I'm able to check the results for Betting Maximizer.

So, what did I learn? Well, first off, the flat system seems OK. You'd have won 4,671 of your 5,243 bets over the last five years (a strike rate of 89.09%), and made an average of 27.54 points a year, or 137 points over five years.

That's an unspectacular, yet still profitable, ROI of 2.6%.

The National Hunt laying system fared less well, and actually produced a loss by my calculations (using average Betfair SP's per industry SP bracket) of five points over five years. In other words, it broke even, less a point a year.

These include, of course, 5% commission on winning lays.

The full datasets can be seen here:

Flat lay results calculations

NH lay results calculations

For such a small ROI, I couldn't recommend this system as being one for the portfolio. But, on the basis that it does provide plenty of action and, over the long term, shouldn't lose you money, it will make a fun system for those with time on their hands and a yearning to play the ponies.

Far from the worst I've seen, but not a serious proposition.

You can read the blurb, and get sucked into myriad 'Wait, don't go' boxes, here... (and don't say I didn't warn you!)

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We're right in the middle of Summer Festival season currently, with the GeeGeez of racing - that's Galway and Glorious Goodwood - fighting for our punting pounds currently.

Yesterday was a shocker for me personally, as I backed a series of each way wagers, who all finished fourth:

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- Decoy Daddy (Galway 5.45) 4th 11/2

- If Per Chance (Galway 7.00) 4th 9/1 - paid out four places thankfully

- Almiqdaad (Goodwood 2.10) 4th 11/2 - one NR meant 15 ran, and only three places (I also backed Submariner who was beaten further!)

- Fencing Master (Goodwood 2.45) 4th 10/1

- Balthazaar's Gift (Goodwood 3.20) 5th 8/1 (I also backed Air Chief Marshal, who I believe is still running but only has a furlong left to the finish. And of course my nemesis, Lord Shanakill, went and won! Feck!)

- Choose Wisely (Goodwood 4.00) 3rd 33/1 (hoorah!)

- 4.35 Goodwood was a disaster, nothing even close despite being aware of the strong high draw bias - first five home drawn 13, 19, 20, 11, 17

- Golden Hinde (Goodwood 5.05) 4th 9/4

- Woolfall Treasure (Goodwood 5.40) 4th 14/1 (also backed Montaff who was 8th at 33/1)

The first two from Galway were the trends selections last night. Both had great chances, no hard luck stories, so a pity. The shortlists did find the 3/1 and 9/1 winners in those races, albeit from lists of three and nine!

Today is the Galway Plate, which is a ferociously tricky affair where we've tried to narrow it down to a manageable contest. And I think we've done quite well in that regard. Will know more after 5.25 tonight!

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So that was yesterday's disaster area. I'm hoping for more luck today. I'll be taking a close look at these, though they may not ultimately carry my cash...

2.10 Wide open contest, and I'll be looking very closely at the shrewd Tony Martin's Irish raider, Dream Champion. He's booked Kieren Fallon for the ride and that is no accident. Small stakes only here.

2.45 It's very difficult to look beyond Richard Hannon in juvenile races this year, and his King Torus looks an obvious 'gift horse'. I doubt I'll be looking him in the mouth come a quarter to three this afternoon. (That said, Hannon has a shocking record in the race, which might give us a price on this chap).

3.25 The Sussex Stakes is just about the best race of the week usually, and although a small field, there's plenty of quality with multiple 2000 Guineas winner Canford Cliffs coming out to play against Rip van Winkle. It looks a match and, whilst I expect RvW to improve markedly for his debut which he needed badly, CC should come out on top.

I won't be playing at odds on though, so my idea of the bet here is Andrew Balding's Dream Eater for a place. Beacon Lodge has come out making it seven runners and only two places with the bookies, but you'll get paid on third for a Betfair place wager and the 7/4 has been taken by me already.

4.00 A fiendish affair, and not one to get stuck into. I'm looking at Amanda Perrett's Life And Soul at the moment. Well weighted, reasonably drawn, and the trainer has an excellent record. He'd looked highly progressive when finishing second to Dandino at Epsom, but was beaten much further by the same rival last time out. I'm going to forgive him that one bad run, and hope he'll hit the board today.

4.35 a juvenile maiden where all bar three of the ten entries have no public form. Sharnberry and Qenaa have seen some early cash on the exchanges and, given the market weakness of those opposing, I'll side with the experience of Qenaa, again for small stakes.

5.10 It's 7-3 to the 3yo's over the 4yo's here, with older mares failing to score in the last decade. Kinky Afro carries top weight for a reason. She's been running in better contests than this and, as a distance winner with high class handicap form in the book (fifth of seventeen in the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot), she'll take some beating at around 16/1.

Of course, there are numerous unexposed types who could improve past her. The one I wouldn't want to be on is Simon Dow's five year old, Seasonal Cross. She won a Class 3 last time, fair enough, but prior to that she'd had eighteen starts and run no higher than Class 5. Too old and not good enough. Potential lay material, depending on how the afternoon goes!

Best of luck to you today.

Matt

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9 replies
  1. Ronnie Nicolson says:

    I backed Almiquad the day before the race at 7/1 ew 4 places with Sky bet..despite that they wont pay 4 ..in my view clearly wrong.
    So I think it is time that racing dealt with the constant problem of 7 and 15 runner races that miraculously happen with monotonous regularity.
    either the rule should be changed so that if bets must be settled at the terms given or reserves should be found for those races..I suspect the latter will be impractical so the former solution should be adopted.

  2. Alan says:

    Had bets on 6 races at Goodwood yesterday and the first four won. I specialise in Handicap races and bet on two only one of which won at 15.50 points for me. If you want a small wager today my bets for the three Handicaps at Goodwood today are:

    2.10 Hearthstead Dream and Gee Dee Nen
    4.00 Mataaleb and Contract Caterer
    5.10 Flapper and Water Gipsy

    I don’t know what the prices are and unless the prices are outrageous I will bet on them.

    These are fun bets so go sparingly with your money.

  3. Fred Ives says:

    Hi Matt, yes no good at ” good wood ” yesterday, but two today with outstanding chances,already mentioned. Whats wrong with odds on, I wouldn’t mind a sackful?
    goodwood
    2.45 King Torus.
    3.25 Cranford Cliffs
    Galway
    3.00 Final Day
    4.45 Endless Intreague
    7.10 Unaccompanied
    All bets for a place on Betfair

    Thanks Fred Ives

  4. Alan alay says:

    Matt
    Coincidentally, I had bought the Betting maximizer system just prior to receiving your review. Whilst I share your cynicism of such products, I think you may have been it little bit harsh in comments about the prior results of this system.
    I don’t have access to the database that you have used, but I am assuming that it would not include Forecast prices, which are an essential part of the selection process. I also notice that you have used odds upto 22 in your results, and again these would not be included as selections. In all likelihood, any of those around 8.5 or more should probably not be included, as the system only lays selections under 10 on Betfair.
    I really appreciate the time and effort that you put in to reviewing these products, but I think accuracy is important. Incidentally 4 winning bets from 4 today.

    Regards
    Alan

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Alan

      I’ve not been harsh at all.

      I can categorically confirm that this system was devised using RSB, and that the parameter ‘Odds, Forecast Price’ is in there, with the specific option to segregate to the odds in the system.

      Moreover, I can tell you that the Betfair SP will be on average the SP’s that I’ve shown, as I have a table based on the results of over 3,000 races which I use for this purpose.

      I’m glad you value my efforts, and please tread carefully with BM. Four swallows a summer (or betting system) do not make.

      Matt

  5. Alan says:

    Sorry about the selections, no winners. Was mightily close with Mataaleb! Two decent priced each way bets in that race. The others apart from Oratory seemed to be pace setters.

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Alan B

      I’m not sure tipping is the ideal content for blog comments, as it can so clearly go one of two ways…! Perhaps a forum might be a better place for your system statements / tips.

      With my best regards,
      Matt

  6. Alan alay says:

    Matt
    Thanks for the reply. I have no expectations of this system at all, (or any come to that) maybe we can extract a little snippet from each to compile something decent. However, unless I have misunderstood the content of the results that you posted, you have included results that would not have been selections, some of those shown at 7.5 or 8 are at sp, and in many cases bfsp was 11, 12 or even higher. Whether any of this would affect the overall stats I have no idea, but I will be tracking results over the next few weeks with vague interest.

    Regards,
    Alan

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