The Betting Maximizer (BM hereafter, for obvious reasons) is a laying system. Actually, it's two laying systems in one ebook. It costs Â£29.95, and comes as an instant download.
BM is twenty pages long and of those twenty pages, the last five contain the 'meat'. There are, as I say, two laying systems, one for flat and one for jumps.
Helpfully, they've both been created using Racing Systems Builder, some tremendous software much loved by me, which means I'm able to check the results for Betting Maximizer.
So, what did I learn? Well, first off, the flat system seems OK. You'd have won 4,671 of your 5,243 bets over the last five years (a strike rate of 89.09%), and made an average of 27.54 points a year, or 137 points over five years.
That's an unspectacular, yet still profitable, ROI of 2.6%.
The National Hunt laying system fared less well, and actually produced a loss by my calculations (using average Betfair SP's per industry SP bracket) of five points over five years. In other words, it broke even, less a point a year.
These include, of course, 5% commission on winning lays.
The full datasets can be seen here:
For such a small ROI, I couldn't recommend this system as being one for the portfolio. But, on the basis that it does provide plenty of action and, over the long term, shouldn't lose you money, it will make a fun system for those with time on their hands and a yearning to play the ponies.
Far from the worst I've seen, but not a serious proposition.
You can read the blurb, and get sucked into myriad 'Wait, don't go' boxes, here... (and don't say I didn't warn you!)
We're right in the middle of Summer Festival season currently, with the GeeGeez of racing - that's Galway and Glorious Goodwood - fighting for our punting pounds currently.
Yesterday was a shocker for me personally, as I backed a series of each way wagers, who all finished fourth:
- Decoy Daddy (Galway 5.45) 4th 11/2
- If Per Chance (Galway 7.00) 4th 9/1 - paid out four places thankfully
- Almiqdaad (Goodwood 2.10) 4th 11/2 - one NR meant 15 ran, and only three places (I also backed Submariner who was beaten further!)
- Fencing Master (Goodwood 2.45) 4th 10/1
- Balthazaar's Gift (Goodwood 3.20) 5th 8/1 (I also backed Air Chief Marshal, who I believe is still running but only has a furlong left to the finish. And of course my nemesis, Lord Shanakill, went and won! Feck!)
- Choose Wisely (Goodwood 4.00) 3rd 33/1 (hoorah!)
- 4.35 Goodwood was a disaster, nothing even close despite being aware of the strong high draw bias - first five home drawn 13, 19, 20, 11, 17
- Golden Hinde (Goodwood 5.05) 4th 9/4
- Woolfall Treasure (Goodwood 5.40) 4th 14/1 (also backed Montaff who was 8th at 33/1)
The first two from Galway were the trends selections last night. Both had great chances, no hard luck stories, so a pity. The shortlists did find the 3/1 and 9/1 winners in those races, albeit from lists of three and nine!
Today is the Galway Plate, which is a ferociously tricky affair where we've tried to narrow it down to a manageable contest. And I think we've done quite well in that regard. Will know more after 5.25 tonight!
So that was yesterday's disaster area. I'm hoping for more luck today. I'll be taking a close look at these, though they may not ultimately carry my cash...
2.10 Wide open contest, and I'll be looking very closely at the shrewd Tony Martin's Irish raider, Dream Champion. He's booked Kieren Fallon for the ride and that is no accident. Small stakes only here.
2.45 It's very difficult to look beyond Richard Hannon in juvenile races this year, and his King Torus looks an obvious 'gift horse'. I doubt I'll be looking him in the mouth come a quarter to three this afternoon. (That said, Hannon has a shocking record in the race, which might give us a price on this chap).
3.25 The Sussex Stakes is just about the best race of the week usually, and although a small field, there's plenty of quality with multiple 2000 Guineas winner Canford Cliffs coming out to play against Rip van Winkle. It looks a match and, whilst I expect RvW to improve markedly for his debut which he needed badly, CC should come out on top.
I won't be playing at odds on though, so my idea of the bet here is Andrew Balding's Dream Eater for a place. Beacon Lodge has come out making it seven runners and only two places with the bookies, but you'll get paid on third for a Betfair place wager and the 7/4 has been taken by me already.
4.00 A fiendish affair, and not one to get stuck into. I'm looking at Amanda Perrett's Life And Soul at the moment. Well weighted, reasonably drawn, and the trainer has an excellent record. He'd looked highly progressive when finishing second to Dandino at Epsom, but was beaten much further by the same rival last time out. I'm going to forgive him that one bad run, and hope he'll hit the board today.
4.35 a juvenile maiden where all bar three of the ten entries have no public form. Sharnberry and Qenaa have seen some early cash on the exchanges and, given the market weakness of those opposing, I'll side with the experience of Qenaa, again for small stakes.
5.10 It's 7-3 to the 3yo's over the 4yo's here, with older mares failing to score in the last decade. Kinky Afro carries top weight for a reason. She's been running in better contests than this and, as a distance winner with high class handicap form in the book (fifth of seventeen in the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot), she'll take some beating at around 16/1.
Of course, there are numerous unexposed types who could improve past her. The one I wouldn't want to be on is Simon Dow's five year old, Seasonal Cross. She won a Class 3 last time, fair enough, but prior to that she'd had eighteen starts and run no higher than Class 5. Too old and not good enough. Potential lay material, depending on how the afternoon goes!
Best of luck to you today.