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Sat TV Trends: 16th May 2026

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:25 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
17/22 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
17/22 – Drawn 5 or lower
14/22 – Had run at Newbury before
13/22 – Placed favourites
13/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/22 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/22 – Irish bred
11/22 – Aged 4 years-old
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 5)
3 of the last 17 winners were Godolphin-owned
Oisin Murphy has ridden the last 2 winners

2:00 – Childwickbury Stud Fillies’ Trial Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

9/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
7/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Between stalls 4-7
6/9 – Won over 1m before
5/9 – Irish Bred
5/9 – Won over 1m before
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

2.35 – Boyle Sports Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

21/22 – Won over a mile before
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
16/22 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had won a Group One race before
16/22 – Aged 4 years-old
15/22 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/22 – Winning favourites
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
12/22 – Unplaced last time out
6/22 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/22 – Won by a mare
4/22 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total and last 2)
1/22 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
5 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3 (2) or 5 (3)

3:10 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

19/21 – Had won over 6f before
18/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
17/21 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
16/21 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Drawn in stall 3
3/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 11)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 5
5 of the last 6 winners from stalls 2 (3) or 5 (2)

3:45 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

21/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
19/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/22 – Carried 8-10 or more
17/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
16/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Rated 90 or lower
13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Raced at Newbury before (3 won here)
8/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by the Charlton yard
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
3/22 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Roger Varian has won 2 of the last 8

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:42 – Daily Profit Boosts At BetBGM Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85) 1m ITV

12/12 – Won over 1m (or further) before
11/12 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Unplaced last time out
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Drawn 7 or lower
8/12 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/12 – Rated between 80-89
7/12 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
3/12– Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/12– Favourites

2:50 – Read Megan Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

9/9 - Won over at least 7f before
9/9 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/9 - Placed favourites
8/9 - Won 2+ times before
8/9 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
7/9 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/9 - Didn’t win last time out
6/9 - Rated between 85-91
4/9 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 5)
2/9 - Ridden by William Buick
2/9 - Winning favourites
Dark Tornado won the race last season

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York TV Trends: Fri 15th May 2026

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri, 15th May 2026) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2:20 Sky Bet Fillies’ Stakes (Reg as the Michael Seely Memorial Fillies’ Stakes) (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

19/19 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
18/19 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
17/19 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
15/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/19 – Placed 5th or better last time out
12/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/19 – Horses from stall 1 placed
9/19 – Raced at either Newmarket (6) or Newbury (3) last time out
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2025 Winners: Kon Tiki (11/2)

 

2:55 – Support Macmillan Charity Raceday On 13 June Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

23/23 – Aged 7 or younger
20/23 – Had run over 1m2f before
19/23 – Didn’t win their last race
17/23 – Carried 8-11 or MORE
16/23 – Won over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Had a previous run that season
14/23 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 11 of the last 17 years)
10/23 – Finished third or better last time out
8/23 – Had run at York before
7/23 – Won by the favourite
3/23 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/23 – Won by trainer John Gosden
15 of the last 19 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 9 winners from stall 4 or lower
2025 Winner: Thunder Run (5/1)

3:30 – Design Tonic Out Of This World Spaces At The Races EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

19/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
18/20 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
16/20 – Had won over 5f before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/20 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/20 – Won last time out
14/20 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Winners from stall 9
6/20 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 14 winners
Karl Burke has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
Jason Watson has ridden 2 of the last 6 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 17 winners
10 of the last 11 winners between stalls 2-9
2025 Winner: Secret Hideaway (33/1)

 

4:05 – Boodles Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV

21/21 – Came from stall 7 or lower
20/21 – Didn’t win last time out
20/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
19/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
19/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Aged 5 or older
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/21 – Had run at York before
9/21 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Ran at Newbury last time out
7 of the last 9 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
Jockey William Buick has won 2 of the last 5
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
2025 Winner: Rebel’s Romance (11/10 fav)

4:40 – Irish Throughbred Marketing Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 5f ITV

10/11 – Had won over 5f before
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Drawn between stalls 7-10
5/11 – Had run at York before
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Ripon last time out
2/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 – Ridden by Clifford Lee (2 of the last 6)
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 7
The winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
2025 Winner: The Man (14/1)

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2026 Lockinge Stakes Trends

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The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 15 years by the Richard Hannon yard.

In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 15 of the last 21 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 17 of the last 22 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2026 renewal - this year on Saturday 16th May 2026.

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

2025 - LEAD ARTIST (17/2)
2024 - AUDIENCE (18/1)
2023 - MODERN GAMES (3/1 fav)
2022 – BAAEED (4/9 fav)
2021 – PALACE PIER (1/2 fav)
2020 – No race
2019 – MUSTASHRY (9/1)
2018 - RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 - RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

21/22 – Won over a mile before
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
16/22 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had won a Group One race before
16/22 – Aged 4 years-old
15/22 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/22 – Winning favourites
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
12/22 – Unplaced last time out
6/22 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/22 – Won by a mare
4/22 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total and last 2)
1/22 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
5 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3 (2) or 5 (3)

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Dante Stakes Trends 2026

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Run at York racecourse, the Dante Stakes is a Group Two contest for 3 year-olds that is run over a trip of 1m2f.

Staged in the middle of May each season the middle-distance contest is seen as a key Epsom Derby Trial, with four of the last 22 Dante Stakes winners going onto land the fourth English Classic - Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Hornin 2015, being the most-recent horses to complete the Dante/Derby double - 11 in total have won both races (see them all below).

Trainer John Gosden has won three of the last 10 runnings and the Johnston has been responsible for two of the last 9 winning horses. While leading Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has also won the race four times, should be noted.

Finally, it's a race jockey Oisin Murphy is making his own, with three wins since 2018.

We take a look back at past winners of the Dante Stakes, plus give you the key trends ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Friday 14th May

Past Dante Stakes Winners

2025 - PRIDE OF ARRAS (18/1)
2024 - ECONOMICS (6/1)
2023 - THE FOXES (6/1)
2022 - DESERT CROWN (7/2 jfav)
2021 - HURRICANE LANE (5/1)
2020 – THUNDEROUS (13/2)
2019 – TELECASTER (7/1)
2018 – ROARING LION (3/1 fav)
2017 – PERMIAN (10/1)
2016 – WINGS OF DESIRE (9/1)
2015 – GOLDEN HORN (4/1)
2014 – THE GREY GATSBY (9/1)
2013 – LIBERTARIAN (33/1)
2012 – BONFIRE (3/1)
2011 – CARLTON HOUSE (11/4)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (9/2)
2009 – BLACK BEAR ISLAND (12/1)
2008 – TARTAN BEARER (10/1)
2007 – AUTHORIZED (10/11 fav)

Dante Stakes Trends

  • 19/22 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
  • 19/23 – Finished third or better last time out
  • 16/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/23 – Had a previous race that season
  • 15/23 – Won their previous race
  • 10/22 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
  • 5/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
  • 5/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
  • 4/22 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
  • 3/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
  • 3/23 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
  • 3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 11 runnings)
  • 3/23 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 3/23 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
  • 2/23 – Winners from stall 2
  • 2/23 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 9)
  • 1/23 – Had run at York before
  • Just 3 winning favourites in the last 18 runnings (1 joint)
  • Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
  • 11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby

Dante/Derby Winners

  • 1960 – St Paddy
  • 1978 – Shirley Heights
  • 1986 – Shahrastani
  • 1987 – Reference Point
  • 1994 – Erhaab
  • 1997 – Benny The Dip
  • 2004 – North Light
  • 2005 – Motivator
  • 2007 – Authorized
  • 2015 – Golden Horn
  • 2022 – Desert Crown

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York TV Trends: Thurs 14th May 2026

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs, 14th May 2026) of the York Dante Meeting - with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest on the day.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2:20 – Lindum Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

16/17 – Had raced at York before
15/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
15/17 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/17 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/17 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
11/17 – Aged 6 or older
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price
9/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
7/17 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
6/17 – Rated between 86-92
3/17 – Ridden by David Allen (3 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/17 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won this in 2019 and 2021
2025 Winner: American Affair (7/2 fav)

2:55 – Oakmere Homes Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

19/20 – Rated between 96-105
19/20 – Had won over a mile before
18/20 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
18/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
15/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
15/20 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
14/20 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
14/20 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/20 – Aged 4 years-old
8/20 – Placed last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/20 – Won last time out
11 of the last 12 winners carried 8-13 or more in weight
Trainer Edward Bethell has won the last 2
Point Lynas won this in 2024
4 of the last 7 winners stalls (5) or (6)
2025 Winner: Old Cock (9/2)

3:30 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

21/21– Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/21 – Favourites placed
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
17/21 – Won over 1m2f before
16/21 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Having first run of the season
12/21 – Winning favourites (including 9 of last 16)
11/21 – Had raced at York before
10/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/21 – Winners from stall 4
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Had won at York before
4/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 7)
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/21 – Irish trained winners
1/21– French trained winners
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 11
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 8
2025 Winner: Sea The Fire (8/11 fav)

4:05 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

19/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
19/23 – Finished third or better in last race
16/23 – 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had a previous race that season
15/23 – Won last time out
10/22 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/23 – Won over 1m2f before
5/23 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/22 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/23 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 11 runnings)
3/23 – Ridden by William Buick
3/23 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/23 – Winners from stall 2
2/23 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 9)
1/23 – Raced at York before
Only 3 winning favourites in the last 18 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby
2025 Winner: PRINCE OF ARRAS (18/1)

4:40– British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV

14/14 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
10/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/14 – Ran no more than 6 times
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/14 – Drawn in stall 1-5
9/14 – Irish bred
9/14 – Rated between 98-103
9/14 – Had run at the track before
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/14 – Trained by David O’Meara
7 of the last 11 winners drawn between 1-4
2025 Winner: Tropical Storm (4/1)

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York TV Trends: Weds 13th May 2026

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 13th May 26) of the three-day York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes, a decent Epsom Oaks trial, two of the main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2:20 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/21 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
14/21 – Rated between 80 and 94
14/21 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
14/21– Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/21 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/21 – Had run at York before
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Unplaced last time out
9/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 5)
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
0/21 – Winners from stall 1
2025 Winner: Almosh’her (15/2)
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 4 years-old
3 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 7
6 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-7

2.42 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
19/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Had won over this trip before
18/23 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
15/23 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/23 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/23 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
5/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/23 – Won their previous race
1/23 – Winning outright favourite
12 of the last 16 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Kevin Ryan has won two of the last three runnings
7 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
2025 Winner: Rousing Encore (22/1)

3:30 – Go Local Stores Minster Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Came from stall 9 or lower
21/23 – Previous Listed or Group winners
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
17/23 – Had run at York before
18/23 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
16/23 – Had a previous race that season
16/23 – Came from stall 7 or lower
11/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/23 – Unplaced last time out
9/23 – Won by the favourite
8/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/23 – Won their last race
7/23 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2025 Winner: Inisherin (11/8 fav)

 

4:05 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

22/23 – Had won a race before
18/23 – Had a previous run that season
17/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished 4th or better last time
16/23 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
15/23 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
9/23 – Won by the favourite
9/23 – Won their previous race
7/23 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of the last 15)
6/23 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
2/23 – Ridden by William Buick
3/23 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Soul Sister 2023, Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
1/23 – Had run at York before
13 of the last 19 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race twice (Whirl, 2025 & Snowfall, 2021)
2025 Winner: Whirl (7/2)

 

4:40 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

14/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Won just once before
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/14 – Ran 4 or less times
8/14 – Rated between 79-86
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
7/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/14 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 4-9
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 8
2025 Winner: Rare Change (10/1)

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Sat TV Trends: 9th May 2026

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This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.

So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfield - we’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:15 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV

22/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
22/22 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/22 – Carried 11-5 or less
21/22 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/22 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
18/22 – Didn’t win last time out
14/22 – Carried 10-9 or less
14/22 – Irish bred
13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/22 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 12 runnings)
3/22 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1:45 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

18/19 – Failed to win last time out
17/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/19 – Aged 5 or younger
16/19 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
15/19 – Had won over a mile before
14/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/19 – Aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/19 – Rated between 82-87
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/19 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
9 of the last 11 aged 4 or 5 years-old

2:20 – Carey Group Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
18/22– Had won no more than 3 times
17/22 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Had won over 7f before
14/22 – Unplaced favourites
14/22 – Carried 8-10 or less
13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 16 years
11 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure draw
Hickory won the race in 2025
The Wizard Of Eye won the race in 2024
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

2:55 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Italy Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

13/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/13 – Won 2 or 3 times before
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/13 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 8)
5/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/13 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/13 – Winning favourites (4 of last 8)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 9)
2/13 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 7)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 7

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

12:55 William Epic Boosts Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f

Just 2 previous runnings
Morcar won the race last season
Trainers Ralph Beckett and Richard Hannon have won the race
Trainer James Fanshawe is 2 from 5 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Gary and Josh Moore are 5 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is 2 from 6 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track

1:28 – William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV

20/22 – Had won no more than once before
19/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Had no more than 3 career runs
18/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
12/22 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
12/22 – Having first run of the season
11/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/22 – Winners from stall 5
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 2016 and 2025
9 of the last 11 winners drawn 5 or lower

 

1:58 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV

23/23 – Had won no more than 3 times
19/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
17/23 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites placed
15/23 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
10/23 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 11 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7

2:40 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV

19/19 – Aged 5 or younger
16/19 – Won between 1-4 times before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had won over 7f before
13/19 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
11/19– Irish-bred
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
7/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Non UK-trained winners
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
6 of the last 16 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer Marco Botti has won the last 2 runnings
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024 & 2025

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Weds 6th May 2026

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Here at GeeGeez we've got all the stats that matter for the LIVE ITV races ahead of the opening day of the three-day Chester May Meeting this Wednesday (6th May 2026).

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 – CAA Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4

23/23 – Had a recent run already that season
21/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 - Had won over 5f before
18/23 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
16/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Came from stalls 1-3
12/23 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
9/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 - Came from stall 1 (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard (3 of the last 11 years)
2/23 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 18 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners were fillies (mares)
5 of the last 11 winners were March foaled fillies
9 of the last 11 winners were foaled in Feb or March
9 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5 or lower

2:05 – Join Ladbrokes Bet 5 Get 30 Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

20/23 - Had a previous run that season
19/23 - Didn’t win their last race
18/23 - Had won over this trip before (or further)
18/23 - Carried 8-9 or more
17/23 - Finished unplaced last time out
17/23 - Had run before at Chester
16/23 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/23 - Favourites placed
11/23 - Horses placed from stall 1
10/23 - Won by a 4 year-old
6/23 - Won by the favourite (1 in last 9)
5/23 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Ridden by David Probert (won two of the last 5)
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3 of the last 11 winners were ridden by claimer
Percy’s Lad won the race in 2024

2:35 – Weatherbys Cheshire Oaks (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4

19/23 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
19/23 – Had a previous run that season
19/23 - Favourites that finished in the top three
17/23 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
14/23 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (6 of the last 10)
7/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of the last 10)
5/23 – Winners from stall 4
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Minnie Hauk, 2025)
4 of the last 8 winners came from stalls (1) or (3)
None of the last 23 winners had run at Chester before

3:05 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Finished third or better last time out
19/23 – Had a previous run that season
16/23 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
16/23 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
12/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/23 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
11/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 of last 12 winners)
10/23 – Winning favourites
9/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (7 of last 11 winners)
7 of the last 11 winners from stalls 3 or lower
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 6 of the last 11
Just two winners in the last 23 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2025, Lambourn 2013 and Ruler Of The World)

 3:40 – American Holidays Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
11/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/14 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
10/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
6/14 – Rated between 78-80
6/14 – Had run at the track before
3/14 – Winning favourites
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer David Evans has won 2 of the last 6
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 7 (including in 2024)

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Thursday 7th May 2026

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Here at Geegeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on day two of the Chester May Meeting this Thursday 7th May 2026.

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

17/17 – Won from stall 7 or lower
17/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Came from stall 5 or lower
13/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/17 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Had raced at Chester before
11/17 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/17 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
8/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – Officially rated between 87-90
7/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/17 – Winners from stall 1
Roman Dragon won this race in 2025
Jason Hart has ridden 3 of the last 8 winners
Oisin Murphy has won 2 of the last 3
14 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 1-4

2:05 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just two past runnings
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 38% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Both winners from stalls 1 or 2

2:35 - Boodles Raindance Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

22/23 – Had not run at Chester before
20/23 – Yet to win over this trip (1m 2 1/2f) before
19/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Came from stall 3 or higher
18/23 – Favourites finished in the frame
15/23 – Failed to win another race after taking this (at the time of this race)
14/23 – Had a previous run that season
12/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 of the last 12)
10/23 – Won by the favourite
11/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/23 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
8/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (7 of the last 8)
7/23 – Won their previous race
1/23 – Winners from stall 1
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 7 of the last 8
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 22 years

3:05 – Ladbrokes Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

21/23 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
15/23 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
13/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/23 – Had a previous run that season
12/23 – Won by the favourite
11/23 – Had run before at Chester
7/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
7/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/23 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Illinois won the race in 2025
Hamish (William Haggas) has won the race in 2022 and 2023

3:40 – Xenon Workplace Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

21/23 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
21/23 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Had a previous run that season
17/23 – Came between stalls 2-7
15/23 – Finished third or better last time out
14/23 – Placed favourites
10/23 – Winning favourites (or joint)
7/23 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/23 – Winners from stall 1
2/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or more
6 of the last 8 runnings went to the favourite
6 of the last 7 winners between stalls 1-3
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 3 of the last 11
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has won 2 of the last 7

4:10 – Halliwell Jones Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f SkyRacing

12/14 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
11/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
11/14 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
11/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/14 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
11/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/14 – Won over at least 1m2f
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Had won at the track before
9/14 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
9/14 – Returned 8/1 or bigger
7/14 – Won 4+ times in the past
5/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Winners from stall 8
2/14 – Winning favourites
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
The last 6 winners aged 4 or 5

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Fri 8th May 2026

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Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on the final day of the Chester May Meeting this Friday 8th May 2026 – with the meetings feature – The Chester Cup – run on this day too.  

Use these Chester horse racing trends to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race - putting history on your side.

Chester May Festival Trends 2026

1:30 CAA Stellar Great Cheshire Handicap (GBB Plus Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 2 1/2f ITV4

15/15 – Won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
14/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/15 – Rated between 90-95
9/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 9
Three of the last 9 winners from Stall 1

2:05 Boodles Darley EBF Maiden Stakes (Cl2 (3yo) 1m 4 1/2f ITV4

One past running
Trainer Owen Burrows won the race in 2025
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 1-20 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2:35 – Deepbridge Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

22/23 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
20/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
18/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Had a previous race that season
16/23 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
15/23 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
13/23 – Failed to win their previous race
12/23 – Winning favourites
10/23 – Returned 7/4 or shorter in the betting
9/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 9)
6/23 – Had raced at Chester before
5/23 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore have won 3 of the last 8
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 7

3:05 – Ladbrokes Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4

21/23 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/23 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
15/23 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/23 – Had raced within the last 2 months
14/23 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
14/23 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/23 – Favourites were unplaced
11/23 – Irish bred
4/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/23 – Had won at the track before
3/23 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/23 – Won their previous race
3/23 – Won by the favourite
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/23– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/23 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1970 we’ve only seen 5 winning favourites
13 of the last 18 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 8 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 15 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 12 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 13 winners returned 10/1
Jockeys Harry Davies, Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

3:40 – CRC Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV4

No past runnings
Julie Camacho is 3-10 (30%) with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Mark Loughnane is just 2-37 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Oisin Murphy is 5-19 (26%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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Chester Cup Trends 2026

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The Chester Cup, run at Chester Racecourse over 2m2f, is the feature race of their three-day May Meeting (6th-8th) – Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and highlights some key betting trends and stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – the race will be run on Friday 8th May 2026.

Did you know ? Since 1970 we've only had 5 winning Chester Cup favourites win the race

=====================================================

Recent Chester Cup Winners

2025 - East India Dock (9/4 fav)
2024 - Zoffee (9/1)
2023 - Metier (5/1)
2022 - Cleveland (6/1)
2021 - Falcon Eight (15/2)
2020 – No Race
2019 – Making Miracles (16/1)
2018 – Magic Circle (8/1)
2017 - Montaly (16/1)
2016 – No Heretic (11/1)
2015 – Trip To Paris (10/1)
2014 – Suegioo (10/1)
2013 – Address Unknown (12/1)
2012 – Il De Re (10/1)
2011 – Overturn (11/2)
2010 – Mamlook (7/1 fav)
2009 – Daraahem (7/1)
2008 – Bulwark (33/1)
2007 – Greenwich Meantime (14/1)
2006 – Admiral (28/1)
2005 – Anak Pekan (16/1)
2004 – Anak Pekan (2/1 fav)
2003 – Hugs Dancer (9/1)
2002 – Fantasy Hill (8/1)

Chester Cup Betting Trends

21/23 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/23 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
15/23 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/23 – Had raced within the last 2 months
14/23 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
14/23 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/23 – Favourites were unplaced
11/23 – Irish bred
4/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/23 – Had won at the track before
3/23 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/23 – Won their previous race
3/23 – Won by the favourite
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/23– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/23 - Irish-trained winners
2/23 - Ridden by Harry Davies (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1970 we’ve only seen 5 winning favourites
13 of the last 18 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 8 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 15 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 12 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 13 winners returned 10/1
Jockeys Harry Davies, Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

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Sun TV Trends: Newmarket 3rd May 2026

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It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (3rd May 2026) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:35 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past.

But his most recent was in 2021 with Mother Earth.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 - Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

14/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
11/15 – Won just once before
10/15 – Had between 1-3 runs before
10/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of last 12)
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
9 of the last 10 winners drawn between 3-7
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.20 – Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

20/21 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
20/21 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
20/21 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
18/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/21 – Won this on first run of the season
13/21 – Aged 4 years-old
12/21 – Had run at the course before
9/21 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 11)
4/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 5)
2/21 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 12)
15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2.55 - Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
4/4 – Aged 5 or 6
4/4 – Carried 9-2 or less
3/4 – Carried 8-9 or less
1/4 – Winning favourites
William Knight, James Ferguson, Alan King and George Baker are the winning trainers

3.35 – Betfred 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/24 – Had won a Group race before
16/24 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/24 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/24 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/24 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/24 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Won their previous race
14/24 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/24 – Returned a double-figure price
11/24 – Favourites unplaced
11/24 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
11/24 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/24 – Irish-trained winners
7/24 – Previous Group One winners
6/24 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/24 – Won by the favourite (1 in the last 9)
4/24 – Won by a US bred horse
4/24– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/24 – French-trained winners
Just two horses placed from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 12/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 5 times (1998, 2002, 2011, 2023 & 2024)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

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1000 Guineas Trends 2026

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First run back in 1814, the Betfred 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

The 2025 running of the 1000 Guineas was won by Godolphin's Desert Flower and trained by Charlie Appleby. A win that provided the 'boys in blue' with their fifth win in the fillies' classic.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2026 renewal – run on Sunday 3rd May

1000 Guineas Key Stat - 22 of the last 24 winners of the 1,000 Guineas finished in the top three last time out?

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Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2025 - Desert Flower (Evs)
2024 - Elmalka (28/1)
2023 - Mawj (9/1)
2022 - Cachet (16/1)
2021 - Mother Earth (10/1)
2020 - Love (4/1)
2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 - Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 - Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 - Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/24 – Had won a Group race before
16/24 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/24 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/24 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/24 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/24 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Won their previous race
14/24 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/24 – Returned a double-figure price
11/24 – Favourites unplaced
11/24 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
11/24 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/24 – Irish-trained winners
7/24 – Previous Group One winners
6/24 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/24 – Won by the favourite (1 in the last 9)
4/24 – Won by a US bred horse
4/24– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/24 – French-trained winners
Just two horses placed from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 12/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 5 times (1998, 2002, 2011, 2023 & 2024)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd May 2026

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It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle to put history on your side.

Can top Irish trainer Aidan O'Brien land his 11th 2000 Guineas?

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:10 – Oddschecker British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Kilvington Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f RTV

12/12 – Aged between 3-5
11/12 – Won over 5f or 6f before
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/12 – Aged 3 years-old
6/12 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (3)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 7)
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Note: The race was formerly run at Nottingham from 2021 back

1:45 – Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

12/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 - Had won over 6f before
10/13 - Won 3+ times before
10/13 - Didn’t win last time out
10/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 - Returned 13/2 or bigger
9/13 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 - Unplaced favourites
8/13 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/13 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/13 - Rated 100+
4/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
0/13 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2:20 – Betfred Suffolk Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/20 – Had won at least twice before
18/20 – Had won over at least a mile before
17/20 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
16/20 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
16/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/20 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/20 – Rated between 90 and 96
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/20 – Having their first run of the season
7/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Irish bred
2/20 - Winning favourites
2/20 – Won by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 7)
3/20 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
William Buick has won 3 of the last 8
6 of the last 8 winners drawn between 2-7
Just 2 winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 17 runnings

2:55 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

21/23 – Won 3 or more times before
20/23 – Had won over 5f before
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
19/23 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
17/23 – Had run at Newmarket before
17/23– Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/23 – Rated between 107 and 114
13/23 – Placed favourites
11/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/23 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/23 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/23 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 5 runnings)
Just 6 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
5 of the last 9 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
Rumstar won the race in 2025

3:35 – Betfred 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

23/24 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
22/24 – Had won over at least 7f before
22/24 – Had won between 2-5 times before
20/24 – Had won a Group race before
20/24 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
19/24 – Won last time out
19/24 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
16/24 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
15/24 – Having their first run of the season
15/24 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Placed favourites
12/24 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/24 – Irish bred
11/24 – Had won over a mile before
9/24 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/24 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/24 – Winning favourites
5/24 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
5/24 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes
3/24 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/24 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2/24 - Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 4)
10 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 9/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016
- Trainer John Gosden has never won the 2000 Guineas
- Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last two runnings (3 of the last 4)

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Won 2 or more times before
9/13 – Yet to race at the track
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Aged 4 years-old
7/13 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/13 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/13 – Won over a mile before
6/13 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
4/13 – Winners from stall 1
3/13 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:40 – SkyBet Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Won at least twice before
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/14 – Won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Unplaced last time out
11/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
10/14 – Won between 2-4 times
8/14 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
7/14 – Winners from a double-figure draw
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 9)
9 of the last 12 winners returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
Flight Plan won the race in 2025
Northern Express won the race in 2023

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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2000 Guineas Trends 2026

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The now Betfred-sponsored 2,000 Guineas is a race run over 1m and is the first of the five English Classics to be run each season - with the 1,000 Guineas run the following day.

Both races are staged at Newmarket racecourse, and for 3 year-olds only, the race is also seen as an early-season guide to that year’s Epsom Derby – the last horses to land both races in the same season were Sea The Stars (2009) and Camelot (2012).

The 2025 running of the 2000 Guineas was won by the Charlie Appleby-trained Ruling with William Buick riding. With the pair also winning the race in 2024 with Notable Speech.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at past winners and highlights the key trends and stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Saturday 2nd May 2026.

Key 2,000 Guineas Stat - 15 of the last 24 winners of the 2,000 Guineas came from the top 3 in the betting?

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Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2025 - Ruling Court (9/2)
2024 - Notable Speech (16/1)
2023 - Chaldean (7/2)
2022 - Coroebus (5/1)
2021 - Poetic Flare (16/1)
2020 – Kameko (10/1)
2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
2018 - Saxon Warrior (3/1)
2017 - Churchill (6/4 fav)
2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

2,000 Guineas Trends & Stats

23/24 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
22/24 – Had won over at least 7f before
22/24 – Had won between 2-5 times before
20/24 – Had won a Group race before
20/24 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
19/24 – Won last time out
19/24 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
16/24 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
15/24 – Having their first run of the season
15/24 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Placed favourites
12/24 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/24 – Irish bred
11/24 – Had won over a mile before
9/24 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/24 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/24 – Winning favourites
5/24 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
5/24 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes
3/24 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/24 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2/24 - Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 4)
10 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 9/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016
- Trainer John Gosden has never won the 2000 Guineas
- Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last two runnings (3 of the last 4)

 

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