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2026 Punchestown Festival Trends

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A huge week of Irish racing ahead with the five-day Punchestown Festival (28th April-2nd May 2026).

Like all big race meetings, we've got all the main trends and stats for the key races through the week – hopefully, these to help narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners……………….

Punchestown Festival Trends: DAY ONE – Tuesday 28th April 2026

4:15pm – PRL Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f

11 of the last 20 runnings went to the favourite
13 of the last 19 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
16 of the last 20 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
11 of the last 20 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
No British-trained winner for 25 years (18 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 4 times
17 of the last 19 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2023, 2024 & 2025
Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Jessie Harrington won the race in 2013 and 2016
19 of the last 24 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out
2025 Winner: Irancy (18/1)

 

6:05pm – William Hill Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 of the last 22 runnings went to the favourite
21 of the last 26 winners came from the first three in the betting
French breds have won 11 of the last 18 runnings
19 of the last 23 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14 of the last 23 had previously won at the track
All of the last 23 winners had won before over 2m
17 of the last 23 came 1st or 2nd last time out
17 of the last 23 were Irish-trained winners
17 of the last 23 were aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 20 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
16 of the last 22 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
7 of the last 22 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 & 2023
Paul Townend has ridden 4 of the last 6 winners
Six Queen Mother Champion Chase winners since 2006 have followed-up – Marine Nationale, Energumene (twice), Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded, Newmill3 of the last 4 winners aged 8
2025 Winner: Marine Nationale (2/1)

 

Punchestown Festival Trends: DAY TWO – Wednesday 29th April 2026

 

6:05pm– Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f

Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2025 – GALOPIN DES CHAMPS (5/6 Fav)
2024 – FASTORSLOW (7/2)
2023 – FASTORSLOW (20/1)
2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 – CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/22 – Placed the top 4 last time out
17/22 – Irish-trained winners
16/22 – Aged 8 or younger
15/22 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
12/22– Raced in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
11/22 – Favourites
11/22 – Priced 2/1 or shorter
10/22 – Raced in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
9/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Won by trainer Willie Mullins (6 of the last 12)
3/22 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
Paul Townend has ridden 2 winners (Allaho, 2022) & (Galopin Des Champs, 2025)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 5/1
10 of the last 20 favourites have won
Just 5 of the last 21 winners aged 9+
11 of the last 17 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 3 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
12 of the last 26 winners raced in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

Punchestown Festival Trends: DAY THREE – Thursday 30th April 2025

3:40pm – Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f

6 winning favourites in the last 19 years (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 26 runnings
8 of the last 19 carried 12-2 or more
15 of the last 19 winners were aged 9 or older
7 of the last 19 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
22 of the last 30 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
11 of the last 19 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race
5 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Trainer Peter Maher has won 2 of the last 6
8 of the last 11 winners aged 11+
2025 Winner: Busselton (7/1)

5:25pm - Barberstown Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f

10 winning favourites in the last 14 runnings
18 of the last 19 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 11 winners all aged 6 or 7
27 of the last 29 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
12 of the last 19 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 16 times they have had runners
16 of the last 21 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 & 2025 (won the last 10)
Paul Townend has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
2025 Winner: Majborough (4/11 fav)

6:05pm - Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m

Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners

2025 - TEAHUPOO (5/4fav)
2024 – TEAHUPOO (5/6 fav)
2023 - KLASSICAL DREAM (3/1 jfav)
2022 – KLASSICAL DREAM (11/10 fav)
2021 – KLASSICAL DREAM (5/1)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (16/1)
2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)
2013 – QUEVEGA (6/4 fav)
2012 – QUEVEGA (11/10 fav)
2011 – QUEVEGA (8/11 fav)
2010 – QUEVEGA (5/2 fav)
2009 – FIVEFORTHREE (5/4 fav)
2008 – BLAZING BAILEY (10/3 fav)
2007 – REFINEMENT (16/1)
2006 – ASAIN MAZE (8/13 fav)
2005 – CARLYS QUEST (25/1)
2004 – RHINESTONE COWBOY (5/2)
2003 – HOLY ORDERS (6/1)


Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends

18/22 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
17/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Aged 8 or younger
15/22 – Placed in the top three last time out
15/22 – Irish trained winners
11/22 – Winning favourites
10/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
5/22 – Ran in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
17 of the last 19 winners aged 9 or younger
Only two Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winners in the last 25 runnings
The market leader has won 13 of the last 24 runnings
12 of the last 23 winners won their previous race
11 of the 28 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
8 of the last 21 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
15 of the last 22 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before
Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the race just twice (2024 & 2025)

 

Punchestown Festival Trends: DAY FOUR – Friday 1st May 2026

6:00pm – ALANNA HOMES CHAMPION NOVICE HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m4f

13 of the last 20 favourites have won
12 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 years-old
18 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins has won 14 of the last 23 runnings (last 5)
Paul Townend has ridden the last 5 winners
17 of the last 24 winners won last time out
Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 5
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Owner J Donnelly has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
2025 Winner: Final Demand (7/4)

 

6:40pm – BOODLES CHAMPION HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

13 of the last 21 favourites (2 joint) have won
16 of the last 18 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
12 of the last 19 winners won last time out
18 of the last 20 winners were aged 6 or older
17 of the last 26 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two when running
17 of the last 20 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2023, 2024 & 2025
10 of the last 14 winners returned odds-on in the betting
18 of the last 20 winners were Irish-trained
Paul Townend has ridden the last three winners
2025 Winner: State Man (9/4)

Punchestown Festival Trends: DAY FIVE – Saturday 2nd May 2026


4:55pm – BALLYMORE FOUR YEAR-OLD HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

10 winning favourites in the last 20 runnings
18 of the last 20 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022, 2023 & 2024
Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won 3 of the last 4
Willie Mullins has won 8 of the last 11
4 of the last 10 winners have been mares (2 of the last 3)
16 of the last 19 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9 of the last 17 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
11 of the last 27 runnings went to a British-trained horse
Owner Rich Ricci has won 4 of the last 8 runnings
2025 Winner: Lulamba (11/10 fav)

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2026 Punchestown Gold Cup Trends

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Staged at the five-day Punchestown Festival in April/May - the Punchestown Gold Cup is a Grade One contest run over 3m1f.

The race version we see today was first run back in 1999 and since then has been won by some leading names, including Cheltenham Gold Cup winners Imperial Call, Kicking King, War Of Attrition & Don Cossack - while the 2012 Grand National winner, Neptune Collonges, took this twice before he landed the Aintree marathon.

Last year's winner was the Martin Brassil-trained Fastorslow, who lowered the colours of that year's Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Galopin Des Champs - for a second time in the race.

Did you know – 15 of the last 22 Punchestown Gold Cup winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old, while 17 of the last 22 winners were Irish-trained?

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at recent Punchestown Gold Cup winners, plus highlight the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 29th April 2026.

Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2025 - GALOPIN DES CHAMPS (5/6 fav)
2024 - FASTORSLOW (7/2)
2023 – FASTORSLOW (20/1)
2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 – CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
17/22 – Irish-trained winners
16/22 – Aged 8 or younger
15/22 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
12/22– Had run in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
11/22 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Winning favourites
10/22 – Ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
9/22 – Won last time out
6/22 - Trained by Willie Mullins (6 of the last 12)
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/2
10 of the last 20 favourites have won
Only 5 of the last 20 winners aged 9+
Paul Townend has only 2 winners in the race (Galopin Des Champs 2025 & Allaho 2022)
11 of the last 17 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 3 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
12 of the last 26 winners had run in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

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2000 Guineas Trends 2026

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The now Betfred-sponsored 2,000 Guineas is a race run over 1m and is the first of the five English Classics to be run each season - with the 1,000 Guineas run the following day.

Both races are staged at Newmarket racecourse, and for 3 year-olds only, the race is also seen as an early-season guide to that year’s Epsom Derby – the last horses to land both races in the same season were Sea The Stars (2009) and Camelot (2012).

The 2025 running of the 2000 Guineas was won by the Charlie Appleby-trained Ruling with William Buick riding. With the pair also winning the race in 2024 with Notable Speech.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at past winners and highlights the key trends and stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Saturday 2nd May 2026.

Key 2,000 Guineas Stat - 15 of the last 24 winners of the 2,000 Guineas came from the top 3 in the betting?

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Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2025 - Ruling Court (9/2)
2024 - Notable Speech (16/1)
2023 - Chaldean (7/2)
2022 - Coroebus (5/1)
2021 - Poetic Flare (16/1)
2020 – Kameko (10/1)
2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
2018 - Saxon Warrior (3/1)
2017 - Churchill (6/4 fav)
2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

2,000 Guineas Trends & Stats

23/24 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
22/24 – Had won over at least 7f before
22/24 – Had won between 2-5 times before
20/24 – Had won a Group race before
20/24 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
19/24 – Won last time out
19/24 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
16/24 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
15/24 – Having their first run of the season
15/24 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Placed favourites
12/24 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/24 – Irish bred
11/24 – Had won over a mile before
9/24 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/24 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/24 – Winning favourites
5/24 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
5/24 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes
3/24 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/24 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2/24 - Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 4)
10 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 9/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016
- Trainer John Gosden has never won the 2000 Guineas
- Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last two runnings (3 of the last 4)

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 1st May 2026

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A busy weekend for the ITV cameras gets going on Friday with action from Newmarket.

There are four races from Newmarket - flat racing's HQ - to take in on ITV, with the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes one of the highlights at 3:30pm.

To help you try and find the winners, we've got the key trends and stats for each LIVE ITV race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:20 - JCB Newmarket Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Stalls 5 or lower
8/12 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
7/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
5/12 – Winners from stall 1
5/12 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (including  3 of the last 4)
5/12 – Ridden by William Buick (including 3 of the last 4)
5/12 – Godolphin owned
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by David Egan
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-41 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 2-31 riding 3 year-olds at the track

2:55 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 1m ITV

11/11 – Stalls 7 or lower
10/11 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
9/11 – Won just once before
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Returned 5/1 or less
8/11 – Stalls 5 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 81-89
7/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Winning favorites
4/11 – Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 9)
3/11 – Trained by Charles Hills
3/11 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
1/11 – Winners from stall 1
7 of the last 8 winners between stalls 2-4

3:30 - Betfred Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

20/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/22 – Won over 1m4f+ before
17/22 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/22 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Rated 112 or higher
11/22 – Had won a Group race before
10/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Aged 5 years-old
8/22 – Having their first run of the season
8/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/22– Won by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 9 winners between stalls 2-5

4:05 – Betfred ‘Nifty 50’ Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers Charlie Appleby, Charlie Johnston and Andrew Balding (2) have won this race before
2 of the last 4 winners from stall 2
1 winning favourite
All 4 winners returned 5/1 or less
All 4winners aged 6 or younger (all aged 4 or 6)
George Boughey is just 1-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
David O'Meara is just 1-53 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Charles Hills is 7-32 (22%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 1-26 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

4:40 - Pertemps King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 7f RTV

10/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 9)
7/12 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
3/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by Sean Levey
8 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-41 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 2-31 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

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1000 Guineas Trends 2026

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First run back in 1814, the Betfred 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

The 2025 running of the 1000 Guineas was won by Godolphin's Desert Flower and trained by Charlie Appleby. A win that provided the 'boys in blue' with their fifth win in the fillies' classic.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2026 renewal – run on Sunday 3rd May

1000 Guineas Key Stat - 22 of the last 24 winners of the 1,000 Guineas finished in the top three last time out?

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Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2025 - Desert Flower (Evs)
2024 - Elmalka (28/1)
2023 - Mawj (9/1)
2022 - Cachet (16/1)
2021 - Mother Earth (10/1)
2020 - Love (4/1)
2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 - Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 - Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 - Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/24 – Had won a Group race before
16/24 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/24 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/24 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/24 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/24 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
14/24 – Won their previous race
14/24 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/24 – Returned a double-figure price
11/24 – Favourites unplaced
11/24 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
11/24 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/24 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/24 – Irish-trained winners
7/24 – Previous Group One winners
6/24 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/24 – Won by the favourite
4/24 – Won by a US bred horse
4/24– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/24 – French-trained winners
Just two horses placed from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 12/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 5 times (1998, 2002, 2011, 2023 & 2024)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

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Sat TV Trends: 25th April 2026

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It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday – which marks the final day of the 2025-26 jumps season - with the Celebration Chase and bet365 Gold Cup two of the highlights.

While the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends.

In total there are SIX live ITV races - four at Sandown and one each at the other tracks.

Put history on your side – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at GeeGeez we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1:45 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years old
6/7 – Aged 4 or 6 (last 6 winners)
6/7 – Carried 10st 13lbs or more in weight
5/7 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/7 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/7 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/1

2:20 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV4

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (2) or Nicholls (3)
9/11 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
8/11 – Officially rated 161-170 (inc)
7/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/11 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6 of the last 7 favourites have won
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

2:55 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

22/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
22/22 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
20/22 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Placed favourites
18/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/22 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
17/22 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
16/22 – Rated 160 or higher
11/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 – Winning favourite
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish bred
6/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 6 of last 9) (7 in total)
6/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/22 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (5 of the last 9)
3/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon has won the race in 2023 & 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/8

3:30 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

21/22 - Had raced in the last 63 days
19/22- Carried 11-5 or less in weight
18/22 - Aged 9 or younger
17/22 - Had won over 3m or further before
16/22- Carried 11-0 or less
16/22 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 - Officially rated 140 or higher
14/22 - Came from the top 7 in the betting market
13/22 - Had raced in the last 26 days
12/22 - Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/22 - Won with 10st in weight
4/22 - Won last time out
4/22 - Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/22 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 total)
3/22 - Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
3/22 - Ridden by Sean Bowen (3 of the last 10)
2/22 - Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/22 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/22 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 6 winners)
1/22 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10.5/1
Other bet365 Gold Cup Facts
Just 1 outright winning favourite (Mr Frisk) since 1991 - (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
13 of the last 18 winners aged 7 or 8
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
26 of the last 34 (76%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 8 of the last 22 runnings (38%)
18 of the last 22 (82%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2:35 – Visit racingtv.com Handicap Cl2 (4yold+) 7f ITV

11/12 – Won over 7f in the past
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
7/12 – Came from stalls 1-6 (inc)
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Trained by John Quinn
8 of the last 9 winners 8/1 or less
10 of the last 11 winners aged between 4-6
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – Carling Black Stout King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

Only three past runnings
Strike Red was 2nd in 2025
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is just 3-from-63 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 1-31 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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2026 bet365 Gold Cup Trends

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The Bet365 Gold Cup will be known to older racing fans as The Whitbread, this 3m5 1/2f race is the last big jumping event of the NH season, and being staged on a mixed (jumps/flat) card then for many this signals the real handover between the two codes.

Run at Sandown Park racecourse the staying Handicap Grade Three chase has been won by some leading names over the years, including Desert Orchid, who landed the prize back in 1988.

It’s also been a poor race for the favourite in recent times with just one outright winning favourite since 1990, but that was in 2023 with Kitty's Light - while it might pay to note that 26 of the last 34 winners carried less than 11st to victory.

Last year the Olly Murphy-trained Resplendent Grey won the race - giving jockey Sean Bowen a third success in the race.

Here at Geegeez we give you all the stats ahead of the 2026 renewal - this year run on Saturday 25th April 2026.

Past Bet365 Gold Cup Winners

2025 - RESPLENDENT GREY (9/2)
2024 - MINELLA COCOONER (17/2)
2023 - KITTY'S LIGHT (11/4 fav)
2022 – HEWICK (16/1)
2021 - POTTERMAN (12/1)
2020 – No Race
2019 – TALKISCHEAP (7/1)
2018 – STEP BACK (7/1)
2017 – HELLAN HARRI (40/1)
2016 – THE YOUNG MASTER (8/1)
2015 – JUST A PAR (14/1)
2014 – HADRIANS APPROACH (10/1)
2013 – QUENTIN COLLONGES (14/1)
2012 – TIDAL BAY (9/1)
2011 – POKER DE SIVOLA (11/1)
2010 – CHURCH ISLAND (20/1)
2009 – HENNESSY (13/2)
2008 – MONKERHOSTIN (25/1)
2007 – HOT WELD (6/1)
2006 – LACDOUDAL (10/1)
2005 – JACK HIGH (16/1)
2004 – PUNTAL (25/1)
2003 – AD HOC (7/1)

Bet365 Gold Cup Betting Trends and Stats

  • 21/22 - Had raced in the last 63 days
  • 19/22- Carried 11-5 or less in weight
  • 18/22 - Aged 9 or younger
  • 17/22 - Had won over 3m or further before
  • 16/22- Carried 11-0 or less
  • 16/22 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 14/22 - Officially rated 140 or higher
  • 14/22 - Came from the top 7 in the betting market
  • 13/22 - Had raced in the last 26 days
  • 12/22 - Finished 4th or worse last time out
  • 5/22 - Won with 10st in weight
  • 4/22 - Won last time out
  • 4/22 - Won by an Irish-trained horse
  • 3/22 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 total)
  • 3/22 - Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
  • 3/22 - Ridden by Sean Bowen (3 of the last 10)
  • 2/22 - Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
  • 2/22 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
  • 2/22 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 6 winners)
  • 1/22 - Winning favourites
  • The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10.5/1

Other bet365 Gold Cup Facts

  • Just 1 outright winning favourite (Mr Frisk) since 1991 - (Kitty's Light, 2023)
  • Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
  • 13 of the last 18 winners aged 7 or 8
  • 3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
  • 26 of the last 34 (76%) winners carried less than 11st
  • 8 year-olds have won 8 of the last 22 runnings (38%)
  • 18 of the last 22 (82%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
  • Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

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Sat TV Trends: 18th April 2026

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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Newbury as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Dubai Duty Free Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track on ITV, including the Greenham Stakes and, like always, we’ve got these LIVE Newbury races covered from a trends and stats angle – fingers crossed they will point you in the direction of a few winners.

While it’s also Scottish Grand National Day up at Ayr – a race trainer Willie Mullins has won for the last two seasons.

The ITV horse racing cameras are at the Scottish track to take in five races live and four at Newbury.  Meaning we've NINE live ITV races on Saturday.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1:25 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

20/22 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
19/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
19/22 – Having their first run of the season
18/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
17/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/22 – Drawn 5 or higher
12/22 – Had won over 7f before
10/22 – Won last time out
10/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/22 – Had won at Newbury before
8/22 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 10)
4/22 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/22 – Trained by the Hannon stable
Hollie Doyle has ridden the last 2 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2:00 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

20/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
20/22 – Having their first run of the season
17/22 – Won at Listed class or better before
16/22 – Won between 2-4 times before
16/22 – Placed favourites
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/22 – Had won a Group race before
11/22 – Had won over 7f before
10/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/22 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/22 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/22 – Irish-trained
2/22 – Winners from stall 1
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 11 winners
3 of the last 11 from stall 8
Aidan O’Brien has never won the race
8 of the last 12 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2:35 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
20/22 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 times before
20/22 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
19/22 – Having their first run of the season
18/22 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/22– Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
15/22 – Had raced at Newbury before
12/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had won a Group race before
7/22 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trainer by William Haggas (3 of the last 13)
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 11)
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Won by the Johnston yard
Jockey Jim Crowley (3) and Ryan Moore (2) have won 5 of the last 11
10 of the last 13 winners drawn in stalls 4 or lower (inc last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

3:10 – OLBG Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

22/22 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
21/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
19/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/22 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
18/22 – Won over at least 1m before
17/22 – Rated between 85-98
16/22 – Unplaced last time out
14/22 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
12/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
12/22 – Had run at Newbury before
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 11)
3/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint) (1 in the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 12)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 11)
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 6)
1/22 – Won last time out
7 of the last 11 carried 9-1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Ebt’s Guard (25/1) won the race in 2025
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.10 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m 1/2f RTV

21/21 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
19/21 – Aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Rated between 127-139
14/21 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top four last time out
12/21 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
12/21 – Had run at Ayr before
11/21 – French bred
11/21 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
4/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/21– Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 8 years)
7 of the last 8 winners carried 11-1 or more
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Jockey Danny McMenamin has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The Other Mozzie (6/1) won this in 2025

1:45 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV

14/14 – No more than 3 chase wins
13/14 – Aged 9 or younger
13/14 – French (5) or Irish (8) bred
12/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
9/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Had run at the track before
3/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
6 of the last 11 winners aged 7
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11st 8lbs or more
7 of the last 9 winners aged 7 or 8
Trainer Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer Alan King has won 2 of the last 8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2:20 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

22/22 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
19/22 – Aged 7 or younger
18/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
18/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
17/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/22 – Rated 135 or higher
13/22 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Irish bred
6/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/22 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Paul Nicholls has won the race 3 times
Cracking Rhapsody (10/1) won the race last season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2:55 – UK Greentech Seafield Trophy Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 3m 1/2f

12/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles)
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles
9/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/12 – Aged 6 years-old
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Had run at Ayr before (2 winners)
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 11 winners aged 6 years-old
10 of the last 11 winners aged between 6-8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

3:35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

22/22 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
19/22 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
18/22 - Came from a different stable that's won the race
18/22 - Carried 11-1 or less
18/22 – Aged 8 or older
18/22 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
17/22 – French or Irish bred
15/22 – Finished in the first three last time out
15/22 – Had won over 3m or further
15/22 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
14/22 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
14/22 – Carried 10-9 or less
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
8/22– Won last time out
7/22 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/22 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/22 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
3/22 – Winning favourites (or joint)
2/22 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/22 – Trained by Christian Williams (2 of the last 4 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (Last 2 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 9 winners)
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
The last outright winning favourite was in 1999 (Young Kenny, 1999)
2 of the last 13 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12.5/1

 

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2026 Scottish Grand National Trends

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The Grand National bandwagon continues this weekend as we get set for the Coral-sponsored SCOTTISH GRAND NATIONAL – this year will now be run on Saturday 18th April 2026, at Ayr racecourse.

As, we all know the main National is the one at Aintree, but the Scottish version is up there as a close second with the Irish and Welsh renewals so it’s still a fascinating race.

Run over 4m, which is around 2 furlongs shorter than last week's Aintree version, but with 27 fences to jump too then it goes without saying stamina will still very much be the order of the day.

Trainer Willie Mullins has won the last two runnings with MacDermott and Captain Cody - and tries again with Road To Home.

There will be a maximum of 25 runners too so – just like all the other Nationals a certain amount of luck is also required for runners and riders to avoid any fallers or loose horses.

However, being first run in 1858 and having a long history then there are also plenty of trends for punters to take in and hopefully use to find the best profiles of past winners.

For example…………………Did you know that ALL of the last 22 winners ran within the last 57 days, while 17 of the last 22 winners were aged 8 or older?

Scottish Grand National Trends and Stats

22/22 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
19/22 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
18/22 - Came from a different stable that's won the race
18/22 - Carried 11-1 or less
18/22 – Aged 8 or older
18/22 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
17/22 – French or Irish bred
15/22 – Finished in the first three last time out
15/22 – Had won over 3m or further
15/22 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
14/22 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
14/22 – Carried 10-9 or less
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
8/22– Won last time out
7/22 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/22 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/22 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
3/22 – Winning favourites (or joint)
2/22 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/22 – Trained by Christian Williams (2 of the last 4 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (Last 2 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 9 winners)
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
The last outright winning favourite was in 1999 (Young Kenny, 1999)
2 of the last 13 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12.5/1

Recent Scottish Grand National Winners

2025 - CAPTAIN CODY (9/1)
2024 - MACDERMOTT (18/1)
2023 - KITTY'S LIGHT (4/1 jfav)
2022 – WIN MY WINGS (13/2 cfav)
2021 - MIGHTY THUNDER (8/1)
2020 – No Race (Covid)
2019 – TAKINGRISKS (25/1)
2018 – JOE FARRELL (33/1)
2017 – VICENTE (9/1 jfav)
2016 – VICENTE (14/1)
2015 – WAYWARD PRINCE (25/1)
2014 – AL CO (40/1)
2013 – GODSMEJUDGE (12/1)
2012 – MERIGO (15/2)
2011 – BESHABAR (15/2)
2010 – MERIGO (18/1)
2009 – HELLO BUD (12/1)
2008 – IRIS de BALME (66/1)
2007 – HOT WELD (14/1)
2006 – RUN FOR PADDY (33/1)
2005 – JOES EDGE (20/1)
2004 – GREY ABBEY (12/1)
2003 – RYALUX (15/2)

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2026 Craven Stakes Trends

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The Craven Stakes is the feature contest on the three-day Newmarket April Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1 mile.

Being for 3 year-old colts and geldings the race is often seen as an early season trial for the 2,000 Guineas, run the following month – although, the last horse to win both races was Haafhd in 2004. The 2018 winner - Masar - went onto win the Epsom Derby.

Here at GeeGeez, we looks back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year staged on Thursday 16th April.

Recent Craven Stakes Winners

2025 - FIELD OF GOLD (100/30 fav)
2024 - HAATEM (17/2)
2023 - INDESTRUCTIBLE (8/1)
2022 - NATIVE TRAIL (1/4 fav)
2021 - MASTER OF THE SEAS (11/4 fav)
2020 – No Race (Covid)
2019 – SKARDU (3/1)
2018 – MASAR (7/2)
2017 – EMINENT (8/1)
2016 – STORMY ANTARCTIC (9/2)
2015 – KOOL COMPANY (14/1)
2014 – TOORMORE (Evs fav)
2013 – TORONADO (8/11 fav)
2012 –TRUMPET MAJOR (9/2)
2011 – NATIVE KHAN (8/11 fav)
2010 – ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL (10/11 fav)
2009 – DELEGATOR (4/6 fav)
2008 - TWICE OVER (9/4)
2007 – ADAGIO (5/4 fav)
2006 – KILLYBEGS (9/2)
2005 – DEMOCRATIC DEFICIT (12/1)
2004 – HAAFHD (10/3)
2003 – HURRICANE ALAN (9/1)

Craven Stakes Betting Trends

20/22 – Having their first run of the season
17/22 – Rated 109 or higher
17/22 – Yet to win over a mile
16/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
16/22 – Had won over 7f before
16/22 – Had won no more than twice before
14/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
13/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (5 won)
10/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (5 of the last 14) (9 Hannon Jr and Snr wins in total)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
1/22 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (Haafhd)
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Trainer John Gosden has only won the race twice (2025 & 1993)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 4/1

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2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends

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The Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes is run on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course in April over a distance of 7f. The Group 3 contest is for 3 year-old fillies only and was first run in 1961 – the race is also often seen as a trial race for the 1,000 Guineas run the following month at the same track - the last horses to win both races were Speciosa in 2006 and Cachet in 2022.

Did you know? 17 of the last 23 Nell Gwyn Stakes winners finished in the top 3 last time out.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you all the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 15th April.

Recent Nell Gywn Stakes Winners

2025 - ZANZOUN (9/1)
2024 - PRETTY CRYSTAL (18/1)
2023 - MAMMAS GIRL (16/1)
2022 - CACHET (15/8 fav)
2021 - SACRED (6/1)
2020 – No Race
2019 – QABALA (10/3 fav)
2018 – SOLILOQUY (4/1)
2017 – DABAN (12/1)
2016 – NATHRA (5/4 fav)
2015 – OSAILA (4/1)
2014 – SANDIVA (7/2 fav)
2013 – HOT SNAP (10/1)
2012 – ESENTEPE (28/1)
2011 – BAREFOOT LADY (14/1)
2010 – MUSIC SHOW (6/1)
2009 – FANTASIA (4/5 fav)
2008 – INFALLIBLE (7/2 fav)
2007 – SCARLET RUNNER (15/2)
2006 – SPECIOSA (9/1)
2005 – KAREN’S CAPER (15/2)
2004 – SILCA’S GIFT (25/1)
2003 – KHULOOD (15/8 fav)

Nell Gywn Stakes Betting Trends and Stats

21/22 – Were having their first run of the season
19/22 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
16/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/22 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
11/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had won over 7f before
11/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by John Gosden (6 wins in total)
3/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 in total for the yard)
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
2/22 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 11
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 9/1

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2026 Grand National Trends

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2026 Grand National Betting Trends and Tips - The Randox Health Grand National is simply the biggest and most famous horse race in the world. Run at Aintree racecourse each year in early April the gruelling contest is run over a trip of 4 1/4 miles with the first ever winner being the appropriately-named Lottery.

With 34 runners to go through one popular angle on whittling down the field is to use some key trends - apply these to the 2026 Grand National runners and you'll at least build up a profile of the type of horse it takes to win the Liverpool marathon.

Did you know that since 1978 only FOUR horses have won carrying more than 11-5 in weight, while we've only had one winning 7 year-old since 1941........which was Noble Yeats in 2022.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners and highlights the key betting trends ahead of the 2026 Aintree Grand National - this year run on Saturday 11th April - and sponsored by Randox Health.

Ok, at first glance with now 34 runners (reduced from 40) contesting 30 fences for 4 1/4 miles the Aintree Grand National does have quite a scary look to it when it comes to trying to hunt down the winner – however, despite those daunting factors you can often find the Grand National winner by following a few simple tips and trends.

The 2026 Grand National is on Saturday 11th April at 4pm.

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Positive Grand National Pointers……………….

  • Horses that had won or finished placed in a National race of any description
  • Note horses wearing a tongue-tie (5 of the last 8)
  • Aged between 8-10, but last 10 have all been aged 9 or younger
  • Look for horses that raced over hurdles at some point earlier that season
  • Horses that like to be ridden up with the pace in their races often do well (avoid horses that like to be held up)
  • Irish-trained horses have a great recent record in the Grand National (won 7 of the last 9)
  • Irish-bred horses have the best recent Grand National record
  • Look for horses that finished unplaced in the previous season’s Grand National – they often do well
  • Horses that have won over 3miles in the past is virtual ‘must-have’

Negative Grand National Pointers…………………

  • Horses aged 13 or older don’t have a great Grand National winning record – you have to go back to 1923!
  • Runners that have fallen or unseated three or more times often don’t run well
  • Past Grand National winners and previous Grand National placed horses have bad returning records
  • Horses that had last raced over 56 days ago often don’t run well
  • Runners that had hard races at the Cheltenham Festival, run the previous month, don’t fare well, although Tiger Roll kicked this trend into touch again in 2019 and Corach Rambler won at Cheltenham before winning the National in 2023.

Recent Grand National Winners

2025 - Nick Rockett (33/1)
2024 - I Am Maximus (7/1 jfav)
2023 - Corach Rambler (8/1 fav)
2022 – Noble Yeats (50/1)
2021 - Minella Times (11/1)
2020 - Cancelled (Covid)
2019 - Tiger Roll (4/1 fav)
2018 - Tiger Roll (10/1)
2017 - One For Arthur (14/1)
2016 – Rule The World 33/1
2015 – Many Clouds 25/1
2014 – Pineau De Re 25/1
2013 – Auroras Encore 66/1
2012 - Neptune Collonges 33/1
2011 - Ballabriggs 14/1
2010 - Don't Push It 10/1jfav
2009 - Mon Mome 100/1
2008 - Comply or Die 7/1 jfav
2007 - Silver Birch 33/1
2006 - Numbersixvalverde 11/1
2005 - Hedgehunter 7/1 fav
2004 - Amberleigh House 16/1
2003 - Monty’s Pass 16/1
2002 - Bindaree 20/1
2001 - Red Marauder 33/1
2000 - Papillon 10/1
1999 - Bobbyjo 10/1
1998 - Earth Summit 7/1 fav
1997 - Lord Gyllene 14/1
1996 - Rough Quest 7/1 fav
1995 - Royal Athlete 40/1
1994 - Miinnehoma 16/1
1993 - VOID RACE
1992 - Party Politics 14/1
1991 - Seagram 12/1
1990 - Mr Frisk 16/1

Aintree Grand National Trends

  • 33/34 – Officially rated 137 or higher
  • 32/34 – Ran no more than 55 days ago
  • 30/34 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
  • 30/34 – Had won no more than 6 times over fences before
  • 26/34 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 25/34 – Ran no more than 34 days ago
  • 25/34 – Carried 10-13 OR LESS
  • 25/34 – Aged 9 or older
  • 24/34 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
  • 23/34 - Aged 10 years-old or younger
  • 22/34 – Finished in the top 4 last time out (8 of the last 9)
  • 21/34 – Had won between 4-6 times over fences before
  • 20/34 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
  • 20/34 – Placed favourites (top 4)
  • 18/34 – Carried 10-8 OR LESS
  • 16/34 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
  • 14/34 – Trained in Ireland (inc 11 of the last 19 years)
  • 13/34 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
  • 10/34 – Won last time out
  • 8/34 – Won by the favourite or joint favourite
  • 7/34 – Ran in a previous Aintree Grand National (but 15 of the last 17 were having their debuts)
  • 3/34 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
  • 3/34 - Trained by Willie Mullins (last 2)
  • 2/34 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
  • 2/34 - Trained by Lucinda Russell (2 of the last 8)
  • 1/34 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old OR LESS

Aintree Grand National Facts

  • Since 1978, 151 horses have tried to win with 11-6 (or more) – with just three winners – I Am Maximus (11-6) in 2024, Many Clouds (11-9) in 2015 & Neptune Collonges (11-6) in 2012
  • 20 of the last 26 winners were bred in Ireland
  • 5 of the last 8 winners wore a tongue tie
  • 23 of the last 31 winners aged between 8-10
  • Only 4 horses that won at the Cheltenham Festival that same season has won since 1961 (Corach Rambler did the double in 2023)
  • 15 of the last 17 Grand National winners were having their first run in the race
  • Just one 7 year-old or younger to win after 1940 (Noble Yeats, 2022)
  • 16 of the last 28 winners had won or been placed in a National-type race before
  • No horse aged 13 or older has won since 1923 or placed since 1969
  • 3 of the last 16 winners ran in the Scottish National the previous season
  • 10 of the last 22 winners had run over hurdles at some stage earlier in the season
  • 5 of the last 23 winners had been unplaced in the National last year
  • Just two past winners or placed horses from the previous year’s race has won for 39 years (88 have attempted)
  • 26 of the last 28 winners had fallen or unseated no more than twice in their careers
  • Just two back-to-back winners since 1974 Red Rum (1974) and Tiger Roll (2019)

Aintree Grand National Betting Trends (22 Year)

22/22 – Carried 11st 9lbs or less
20/22 – Officially rated 137 or higher
19/22 – Had won over at least 3m previously
19/22 – Ran 50 days or less ago
18/22 – Carried 11st 5lbs or less
15/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
14/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/22– Winners from the top 8 in the betting
11/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/22 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
9/22 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/22 – Experienced the National fences before
8/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/22 - (Won by a horse aged 8 years-old (6 of the last 10)
5/22– Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
3/22 – Won by the Gordon Elliott yard
3/22 - Won by the Willie Mullins yard
2/22 – Won by the McCain yard
2/22 - Won by the Lucinda Russell yard

2026 Grand National Trends and Stats 

Weight Watchers: Some recent winners have carried 11st (or more) to victory - including Nick Rockett (11-8) and I Am Maximus (11-6) in 2024. However, looking back at recent trends make this weight your cut-off point.

If you look back over the winners, we’ve only seen the mighty Red Rum (1974 & 1977), Nick Rockett (2025) and Many Clouds (2015) carry 11-8 or more – 25 of the last 34 winners carried 10-13 or less.

Staying Power: Stamina is an absolute must when scanning down the Grand National entries. Year-after-year there are always plenty of hype horses that are certainly talented, but the big question surrounding their chance is will they stay the gruelling 4m 1/4f trip?

30 of the last 34 winners had won over 3m+ in the past, but it's worth noting that the 2021 Minella Times - had only won over 2m6f before heading to National glory.

Age Concern: Experience is a vital attribute when looking back at past Grand National winners with horses aged 9 years-old or OLDER certainly the ones to focus on.

Before Noble Yeats won as a 7 year-old in 2022 - you had to go back to 1940 (Bogskar) to find the last 7 year-old to grab the Merseyside marathon!

Also don’t be too put off if your fancy is in their twilight years – but not a teenager - 26 of the last 34 winners were aged 9 or older, but it is worth pointing out 6 of the last 10 winners were 8 year-olds, suggesting there might be a bit of a turning point in this age stat. Including Nick Rockett (2025) and I Am Maximus in (2024).

9 of the last 10 winners were aged either 8 or 9.

Tongue-Tie: An interesting stat that's building up is that five of the last 8 National winners wore a tongue-tie. Backed up again in 2023 with Corach Rambler sporting this form of headgear or equipment.

We can expect several of the runners to follow suit, but this emerging trend should also help knock out many. While 3 of the last 7 winners wore headgear of some sort.

Luck Of The Irish: Our friends from the across the Irish Sea have raided these shores to win the Aintree Grand National many times in recent years, so certainly take a second glance at any of their runners.

10 of the last 21 winners came from Irish-based stables, including 7 of the last 9 and another in 2025 with the Willie Mullins-trained Nick Rockett - which was his third win in the race after I Am Maximus and Hedgehunter.

The only two non-Irish winners came from the Lucinda Russell team in Scotland – so the last British-trained winner was still Many Clouds in 2015.

In short, the Irish or Russell have won ALL of the last NINE Nationals.

Fencing Master: With thirty of the most unique obstacles in horse racing to negotiate with then having previous form over the tricky Grand National fences can be a massive advantage.

Many recent Grand National winners had previously been tried over these Grand National-style fences in the past. The Topham Chase and Becher Chase - or a previous run in the big race itself – are the main races that are staged at Aintree racecourse over the same Grand National-style fences to look back at.

Who’s Your Favourite: The betting on the Grand National always picks up pace in the weeks building up to the big day, but on the Saturday itself, when the once-a-year punters hit the high streets, this is when the betting market really kicks into gear.

It’s also worth noting that the weights for the Grand National are issued well in advance (February each year), so with some horses often running well after they’ve been given their allocated weight and before the race then this can also impact the ante post Grand National betting.

8 of the last 34 runnings have been won by the favourite (24%), while 20 of the last 34 (59%) market leaders were placed (top 4 finish)!

Two of the last three runnings have now been won by the favourite (or joint) too, plus three of the last six.

Market Toppers: We’ve already talked about the actual favourite, but this Grand National trend can be taken a bit further when you actually drill down into recent runnings.

In fact, most winners in recent years started in the first eight of the Grand National betting market – indicating that despite the Venetia Williams-trained, Mon Mome, popping-up at 100/1 in 2009, that punters generally tend to get this race right.

13 of the last 22 winners came from the top 8 in the betting market. But we did see a 33/1 winner last year with Nick Rockett.

With 6 of the last 7 winners returning 14/1 or shorter. Only 50/1 winner Noble Yeats in 2022 has really saved the bookies since 2017.

Fitness First: Probably the biggest trend in recent years, and a really easy way to whittle the 34 strong field down in one easy swoop, is just check how many days ago your fancy last ran.

This is because the majority of the recent Grand National winners had their previous race no more than 48 days prior to the big day.

While if you want to take this trend further than you’ll notice that a large amount of recent winners of the Grand National actually raced less than 40 days prior to landing the greatest steeplechase in the world.

31 of the last 33 winners ran no more than 55 days ago, while 25 of the last 34 raced no more than 34 days ago!

In 2021, Minella Times, did defy this trend after winning the National off a 62-day break, while the 2023 winner Corach Rambler ran just 32 days prior, when first in the Ultima Handicap Chase in 2023 at the Cheltenham Festival.

12 months ago, Nick Rockett was last in action 42 days before winning the race – when winning the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse, which was won by last year's third Grangeclare West this season.

The last two Bobbyjo Chase winners have won the National.

While 6 of the last 7 winners ran in the Ultima Chase, Bobbyjo Chase or Cross Country Chase before winning the National.

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Aintree Day Three Stats and Trends: Saturday 11th April 26

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As we head into the last day of the 2026 Aintree Grand National Meeting on Saturday 11th April 2026 we’ve five more LIVE ITV races to enjoy.

The Liverpool Hurdle and The Maghall Novices’ Chase are always decent events, but really – it’s all about one race on the Saturday – the Randox Health Grand National.

As always here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the key stats for the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Good Luck!

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Aintree Horse Racing Trends

SATURDAY, 11th April 2026 (ITV/Racing TV)

12:45 – Maghull Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m

22/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
22/21 – Winners from the first 3 in the market
22/22– Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
18/22 – Ran within the last 35 days
16/22 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/22 – Ran in the Arkle Chase last time out
12/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/22 – Favourites that won
9/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Irish-trained winners
6/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
4/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc 4 of last 14 runnings)
3/22 – Won by the Henry de Bromhead yard (inc 3 of the last 12 runnings)
Arkle Chase winners have a good record – 6-9 in the last 24 years and 4-from-5 since 2008 (when running)
Since 1989 there have been just 6 Irish-trained winners – 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2022 & 2024
Since 1999 trainer Paul Nicholls has had 8 winners and 7 runners-up
21 of the last 29 (72%) winners ran in the Arkle Chase that season
10 of the last 15 winners were French bred
11 of the last 16 winners have won at least 3 times over fences
Just 2 winners in the last 25 years finished unplaced last time out
Just 1 winner in the last 27 years returned 13/2 or bigger
No 9 year-old winner since 1973
The last 9 winners returned 5/1 or shorter

2025 Winner: Kalif Du Berlias (15/8)
Trainer: Paul Nicholls
Jockey: Harry Cobden

1.20pm – William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m 1/2f ITV

11/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/12 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
10/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Won 2+ times over hurdles
8/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-12 in weight
8/12 – Placed favs (top 4)
8/12 – Had never raced at Aintree (hurdles)
7/12 – Rated between 131-138
5/12 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Finished in the top 4 at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
3/12 – Trained by Dan Skelton (3 of the last 6)
2/12 – Trained by David Pipe (Pipe’s 5 wins overall)
Harry Skelton has ridden 2 of the last 6

2025 Winner: Deep Cave (28/1)
Trainer: Christian Williams
Jockey: Jack Tudor

1.55pm – The Turners Mersey Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f ITV

21/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
19/22 – Raced 39 days or less ago
19/22 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
18/22 – Placed in the top three last time out
17/22 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market (12 of last 15)
12/22 – Raced in the Supreme (4), Ballymore (7) or County Hurdle (1) last time out
10/22 – Favourites to win (2 joint) (9 of the last 14 favs have won)
10/22 – Won their last race
4/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 8)
2/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc 2 of last 14 runnings)
Ballymore (Baring Bingham) Hurdle winners (Cheltenham Festival) are 4-from-4 since 1999
21 of the last 28 winners came from the top 2 in the betting
15 of the last 16 winners were placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
20 of the last 27 (74%) winners were either fav or 2nd fav
12 of the last 19 (63%) winners had won at least 3 times hurdles
16 of the last 26 (62%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
17 of the last 28 (61%) winners finished 6th or better at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliott, Tizzard, Paul Nicholls or Nicky Henderson have won 14 of the last 21 (67%) runnings between them
10 of the last 15 runnings went to a 5 year-old
Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 29 years
Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 36 years
Respect horses rated 150+ (5-from-9 since 2011)
Front runners in the race have a bad recent record
Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the last 4

2025 Winner: Honesty Policy (5/1)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Mark Walsh

2.30pm – William Hill Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f ITV

18/22 – Had run within the last 35 days
17/22 – Didn’t win last time out
16/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
16/22 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
14/22 – Priced 15/2 or bigger in the market
13/22 – Unplaced in their last race
12/22 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
5/22 – Won their last race
4/22 – Favourites that won
3/22 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard (3 of the last 15)
2/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 of the last 26 winners were aged 10+
Only 5 winners carried more than 11st in the last 21 years
Just 1 Irish-trained winner in the last 48 runnings
11 of the last 15 (73%) winners were rated between 131 and 140
11 of the last 18 winners didn’t win earlier that season
10 of the last 13 winners had won over 3m before
Only 3 of the last 19 winners won last time out
Cruz Control has won the last 2 runnings

2025 Winner: Cruz Control (10/1)
Trainer: Tom Lacey
Jockey: Stan Sheppard

3.05pm – JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m110y ITV

17/21 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
16/21 – Ran within the last 30 days
15/21 – Priced 11/2 or less in the market
14/21 – Won or finished 2nd at this meeting previously
14/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/21 – Placed 4th or better in that season’s Stayers' Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Favourites to win (6 odds-on)
7/21 – Raced in that season’s Cleeve Hurdle
5/21 – Irish-trained winners
4/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/21 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 4)
2/21 – Trained by Alan King
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
16 of the last 21 (76%) winners raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
19 of the last 21 (90%) winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
17 of the last 21 (81%) had run at this meeting before
14 of the last 21 (67%) were favourite or second favourite
8 of the last 16 winners won a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7 of the last 16 winners won the Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) before winning this and 6 from last 10 (since becoming a G1 race)
Previous winners of the race are currently 6-from-7
Just 3 of the last 21 winners aged 9+(Sire Du Berlais, 11)
Just 3 winners rated below 155 in the last 21 runnings
No 5 year-old winners
Strong Leader won the race in 2024 & 2nd in 2025

2025 Winner: Hiddenvalley Lake (12/1)
Trainer: Henry De Bromhead
Jockey: Darrargh O’Keeffe

4.00pm – Randox Health Grand National Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 4m 2 1/2f ITV

33/34 – Officially rated 137 or higher
32/34 – Ran no more than 55 days ago
30/34 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
30/34 – Had won no more than 6 times over fences before
26/34 – Returned a double-figure price
25/34 – Ran no more than 34 days ago
25/34 – Carried 10-13 OR LESS
25/34 – Aged 9 or older
24/34 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
23/34 - Aged 10 years-old or younger
22/34 – Finished in the top 4 last time out (8 of the last 9)
21/34 – Had won between 4-6 times over fences before
20/34 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
20/34 – Placed favourites (top 4)
18/34 – Carried 10-8 OR LESS
16/34 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
14/34 – Trained in Ireland (inc 11 of the last 19 years)
13/34 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/34 – Won last time out
8/34 – Won by the favourite or joint favourite
7/34 – Ran in a previous Aintree Grand National (but 15 of the last 17 were having their debuts)
3/34 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3/34 - Trained by Willie Mullins (last 2)
2/34 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/34 - Trained by Lucinda Russell (2 of the last 8)
1/34 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old OR LESS

Aintree Grand National Facts

• Since 1978, 151 horses have tried to win with 11-6 (or more) – with just three winners – I Am Maximus (11-6) in 2024, Many Clouds (11-9) in 2015 & Neptune Collonges (11-6) in 2012
• 20 of the last 26 winners were bred in Ireland
• 5 of the last 8 winners wore a tongue tie
• 23 of the last 31 winners aged between 8-10
• Only 4 horses that won at the Cheltenham Festival that same season has won since 1961 (Corach Rambler did the double in 2023)
• 15 of the last 17 Grand National winners were having their first run in the race
• Just one 7 year-old or younger to win after 1940 (Noble Yeats, 2022)
• 16 of the last 28 winners had won or been placed in a National-type race before
• No horse aged 13 or older has won since 1923 or placed since 1969
• 3 of the last 16 winners ran in the Scottish National the previous season
• 10 of the last 22 winners had run over hurdles at some stage earlier in the season
• 5 of the last 23 winners had been unplaced in the National last year
• Just two past winners or placed horses from the previous year’s race has won for 39 years (88 have attempted)
• 26 of the last 28 winners had fallen or unseated no more than twice in their careers
• Just two back-to-back winners since 1974 Red Rum (1974) and Tiger Roll (2019)

Aintree Grand National Betting Trends (22 Year)

22/22 – Carried 11st 9lbs or less
20/22 – Officially rated 137 or higher
19/22 – Had won over at least 3m previously
19/22 – Ran 50 days or less ago
18/22 – Carried 11st 5lbs or less
15/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
14/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/22– Winners from the top 8 in the betting
11/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/22 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
9/22 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/22 – Experienced the National fences before
8/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/22 - (Won by a horse aged 8 years-old (6 of the last 10)
5/22– Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
3/22 – Won by the Gordon Elliott yard
3/22 - Won by the Willie Mullins yard
2/22 – Won by the McCain yard
2/22 - Won by the Lucinda Russell yard

 

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Aintree Day Two Stats and Trends: Friday 10th April 26

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Into the second day of the Aintree Grand National Meeting on Friday 10th April 2026 the ITV cameras are on-hand to take in five more LIVE races.

The Mildmay Novices’ Chase, Melling Chase and the Randox Health Topham Chase are the three feature contests as the 'must-see' action from Liverpool’s premier track continues.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the key stats for the main LIVE ITV races – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Aintree Horse Racing Trends

FRIDAY, 10th April 2026 (ITV/Racing TV)

1:45 – William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m4f ITV

11/12 – Had won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
10/12 – Aged 8 or younger
9/12 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed favs (top 4)
8/12 – Rated between 133-137 (inc)
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
7/12 – Had run at Aintree before
6/12 – Aged 6
4/12 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Winning favs (joint or co)
0/12 – Outright winning favourites
The Irish have won 3 of the last 6 runnings

  • 2025 Winner: Wellington Arch (14)
  • Trainer: Jonjo & AJ O’Neill
  • Jockey: Jonjo O’Neill Jr

2:20 – Mildmay Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f

22/22– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
22/22 – Raced no more than 55 days ago
19/22 – Aged 7 or younger
19/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
19/22 – Raced no more than 33 days ago
18/22 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out (the last 12 winners finished 1st or 2nd at the Festival that season)
10/22 – Ran in the RSA (Brown Advisory) Chase last time out
11/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including 3 of last 8)
4/22 – Irish trained winners
5 of the last 6 RSA (Brown Advisory) Chase winners to run have lost
Trainer Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls have won 10 of the last 22 runnings between them
12 of the last 14 winners were the BHA top-rated first and second
21 of the last 28 winners were aged 6 (7) or 7 (14) years-old (14 of the last 16)
The last 22 winners were either French (9) or Irish (13) bred.
No British bred winner since 2002
6 of the last 13 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase
0 winners since 2000 came here unbeaten over fences
35 of the last 36 (97%) winners were priced 10/1 or less
26 of the last 34 (76%) winners had won over at least 3m before
38 of the last 43 (88%) winners had won twice or more over fences
19 of the last 22 (88%) winners raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
24 of the last 26 (92%) winners had run in at least 4 chases
Just one winner returned 11/1 or bigger since 1989
Willie Mullins has never won this race

  • 2025 Winner: Caldwell Potter (11/4jfav)
  • Trainer: Paul Nicholls
  • Jockey: Harry Cobden

2:55pm – Thatprizeguy Top Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV

21/22 – Raced no more than 31 days ago
15/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Finished first or second last time out
13/22 – Ran in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
11/22 – Aged 5 years-old
7/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 of last 15)
23 of the last 26 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
18 of the last 28 (64%) winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
27 of the last 34 (79%) winners came from the top 4 in the market
11 of the last 13 winners ran in bumpers before (9 winning at least once)
Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 26 runnings
Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 29 runnings
Just six Irish winners since 1978 (5 from 37 this century) – but have won the last 3
Irish have won just 7 of the last 48 runnings (but 5 of the last 6)
13 of the last 25 (52%) winners were placed in the top 6 in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Supreme runner-up is 6 from 7 in the last 25 runnings)
Willie Mullins is currently 2-from-8 since 2016
3 of the last 4 winners rated between 147-149
3 of the last 4 favourites have won
Respect JP McManus-owned runners (7 wins), including 3 of the last 4 (all 7 returned fav)

  • 2025 Winner: Salvator Mundi (7/2)
  • Trainer: Willie Mullins
  • Jockey: Paul Townend

3:30pm – JCB Melling Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f ITV

19/22 – Raced within the last 30 days
19/22 – Ran in either the Ryanair or Champion Chase that season
19/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
18/22 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
15/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/22 – Ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last time out
12/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Irish-trained winners (5 of the last 11)
7/22 – Ran in the Ryanair Chase that season
5/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (5 total and winning-most trainer)
4/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
26 of the last 34 (76%) winners had won over at least 2m4f
35 of the last 38 (92%) winners were aged 7 or older
27 of the last 33 (82%) winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
14 of the last 30 (47%) winners had finished third or better in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
21 of the last 30 (70%) winners were fav or 2nd fav
26 of the last 34 (76%) winners had won or been placed at the Grand National Meeting before
15 of the last 21 (71%) winners had won a Grade 1 Chase earlier that season
29 of the last 34 (85%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Only 1 past winner aged 6 years-old
Respect French breds (the last 8 winners)
11 of the last 27 winners trained in Ireland
Joseph O’Brien runners are 2-from-3
Jonbon has won the last 2 runnings
All winners since 2006 aged 9 or younger

  • 2025 Winner: Jonbon (4/6 fav)
  • Trainer: Nicky Henderson
  • Jockey: Nico de Boinville

4:05pm – Randox Topham Chase Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

20/22 – Aged 10 or younger
19/22 – Raced within the last 34 days
18/22 - Didn’t win last time out
15/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
12/22 – Unplaced last time out
11/22 – Raced within the last 23 days
5/22 – Trained by the Bowen yard
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22 - Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 6)
2/22 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien
6 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or more
Henderson, Mullins & Tizzard have trained 8 of the last 12 winners between them
7 of the last 11 winners were rated 141 or higher
5 of the last 11 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
8 of the last 18 (44%) winners raced in last year’s race
12 of the last 19 (63%) winners hadn’t won over fences that season
12 of the last 21 (57%) winners had raced over the GN-style fences before
15 of the last 32 (48%) winners had raced at least 7 times that season
Only 6 Irish-trained winners since 1979, but 3 of the last 6
Just 1 British or Irish-bred winner aged 7 or younger since 1985
Just two winners aged 11+ (124 have tried) since 1994

  • 2025 Winner: Gentleman De Mee (14/1)
  • Trainer: Willie Mullins
  • Jockey: Mark Walsh

4:40pm – Oddschecker Sefton Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m110y ITV

18/22 – Had run within the last 35 days
16/22 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
12/22 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the market
10/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Favourites that won
3/22 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 11)
2/22 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/22 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable
2/22 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Paul Nicholls is 1-from-10 (last 13 runnings)
16 of the last 18 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old (89%)
25 of the last 29 (86%) won at least twice over hurdles before
21 of the last 32 (66%) winners had won 4 times or more over hurdles
15 of the last 31 (48%) winners won over at least 2m7f previously
17 of the last 25 (68%) winners didn’t run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival

  • 2025 Winner: Julius Des Pictons (14/1)
  • Trainer: Jamie Snowden
  • Jockey: Gavin Sheehan

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Aintree Day One Stats and Trends: Thursday 9th April 26

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Here at GeeGeez, we give you all the key stats for all the main LIVE ITV races at Aintree on the opening day of their 2026 Grand National Festival (Thursday 9th April) – these will help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

Once the final runners are out, you can apply these stats to the entries to put history on your side.

Aintree Trends (ITV/Racing TV) - Thursday 9th April 2026

1:45pm – Boodles Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV

18/22 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
17/22 – Placed in the top three last time out
15/22 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
10/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Won by trainer Alan King (4-from-7 since 2007)
4/22 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (3 of last 7)
17/20 – Won at least twice over hurdles
16/20 – Retuned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Previous Grade 1 or 2 winners that season
14/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins, Alan King, Nicky Henderson or Paul Nicholls
13/20 - Winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
13/20 – Ran at least 4 times over hurdles before
11/20 – Finished in the top 3 in the Triumph Hurdle
12/17 – Began their careers in France
15 of the last 20 had won a graded race that season
Horses rated 152+ are 5 from 8 (since 2007)
Willie Mullins has won 3 of the last 9 runnings
Just 4 of the last 24 winners were Irish-trained
French-bred horses have won 15 of the last 26 (58%) runnings – including 8 of the last 10
Just 6/35 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

  • 2025 Winner: Murcia (11/4)
  • Trainer: Willie Mullins
  • Jockey: Paul Townend

2.20pm – William Hill Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m4f ITV

16/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – From the top 3 in the market
13/15 – Rated 150+
12/16 – Ran 8 or less times over hurdles
12/14 – Ran between 4-5 times over fences
11/16 – Ran in the Arkle (6) or Golden Miller (5) at Cheltenham
9/11 – Won exactly once over fences
8/12 – Aged 6 years-old
4/9 – Irish winners (last 3)
1/10 – Won by a 5 year-old
0/7 – Mare winners
0/11 – Winning favourite (1 of the last 16)
Paul Nicholls runners are 0-17
Willie Mullins has won the last 2 runnings

  • 2025 Winner: Impaire Et Passe (9/4)
  • Trainer: Willie Mullins
  • Jockey: Paul Townend

2:55pm – Racing Welfare Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

20/22 – Didn’t win last time out
16/22 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
14/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
8/22 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 10)
7/22 – Aged in double-figures
5/22 - Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (6 wins in total)
5/11 – Were the top-rated horse in the field
4/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/11 – Won that season’s King George VI Chase
13 of the last 16 (81%) winners aged 9 or younger
12 of the last 15 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
9 of the last 12 winners top two on BHA ratings
7 of the last 10 market leaders (favs) have won
All of the last 14 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 6
26/41 (63%) winners ran in that season’s King George
26/41 (63%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
14/28 (50%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
Just 6 of the last 29 winners were Irish-trained (only 3 in the last 11)
6 of the last 13 winners had headgear
12 of the last 15 winners were favourite or second favourite
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 14 of the last 32 (44%) renewals and 7 of the last 15 (47%)
6 of the last 14 winners had run in this race before
No last-time out winner since 2010
Harry Coden (2) and Nico de Boinville (2) have won 4 of the last 7

  • 2025 Winner: Gaelic Warrior (11/4)
  • Trainer: Willie Mullins
  • Jockey: Patrick Mullins

3:30pm – Randox Foxhunters´ Open Hunters’ Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV

20/22 – Aged 9 or older (Just 3 of the last 40 winners were younger than 9)
16/22 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/22 – Aged in double-figures
9/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Ran in the Cheltenham St James’s Place Hunters’ Chase last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
14 of the last 20 (70%) winners were aged 10 or older
Irish-trained runners have won 5 of the last 11 runnings
5 of the last 11 winners were placed in the top 4 in last season’s race
22 of the last 32 (69%) winners went off favourite or second favourite
25 of the last 31 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 4 of the last 41 winners were aged younger than 9
25 of the last 32 (78%) winners came from the top 4 in the market and returned at single-figures in the betting.
12 of the last 20 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 14 of the last 23 (61%) renewals
Owner JP McManus has won 3 of the last 10
2 of the last 8 ridden by James King

  • 2025 Winner: Gracchus De Balme (22/1)
  • Trainer: J J O’Shea
  • Jockey: Mr Huw Edwards

4:05pm – William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

21/22 – Aged 8 or younger
18/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
15/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/22 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
12/22 – Irish-trained winners, plus 22 of the last 48
7/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/22 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (6 of the last 14)
6/22 – Won last time out
16 of the last 17 winners from the top 3 in the betting
27 of the last 31 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
47 of the last 48 winners aged 8 or younger
16 of the last 31 (52%) winners trained in Ireland
32 of the last 48 (67%) winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9 of the last 15 winners (60%) were placed in the top 4 of that season’s Champion Hurdle
Just 1 of the last 48 winners aged 10+
29 of the last 31 winners aged 8 or younger
16 of the last 19 winners (including last 13) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 24 (38%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 6 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 4 won
The last 17 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Just 4 winning outright favourites since 2000
Every past British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 2 winning 5 year-olds in the last 36 runnings
Just 2 of the last 20 Champion Hurdle runners-up to race have won
The last 3 winners aged 6
Willie Mullins has won the last 2 (3 of the last 9)
Gordon Elliott has never won this race

  • 2025 Winner: Lossiemouth (5/4)
  • Trainer: Willie Mullins
  • Jockey: Paul Townend

4:40pm – Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

20/22 – Aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Carried 11-1 or less
16/22 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Unplaced last time out
12/22 – Aged 7 or younger
10/22 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/22 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
17 of the last 23 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
20 of the last 24 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 3 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 17 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 19 of the last 27 (70%) runnings
22 of the last 25 (88%) winners carried 11-2 or less
7 of the last 26 (27%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
10 of the last 11 winners DIDN’T run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
7 of the last 10 winners were Irish-bred
Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 & 2023 and 4 placed horses
No winning favourite in the last 11 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or less
Brian Hughes has won 2 of the last 9
Sans Bruit (Paul Nicholls) has won the last 2 runnings

  • 2025 Winner: Sans Bruit (5/1)
  • Trainer: Paul Nicholls
  • Jockey Harry Cobden

 

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