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Champion Chase Trends

Staged at the Cheltenham Festival each March the Grade One Queen Mother Champion Chase is run over 2m, with 12 fences to tackle. This is where we give you the key Champion Chase trends to help you find the winner based on past statistics – use these trends to whittle down the 2022 Champion Chase runners and find the best past winning profile.

Run as the featured race on the second day (Wednesday) of the festival the race was first run back in 1959 and given the ‘Queen Mother’ title in 1980 to celebrate the Queen mum’s 80th birthday.

The betting for the 2022 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase sees the 2021 Arkle Chase winner - Shishkin - at the top of the market, with the likes of Energumene and the 2021 Champion Chase third Chacun Pour Soi best of the rest.

The Irish have won two of the last five runnings (both trained by Henry de Bromhead), but, surprisingly, it’s a prize that’s eluded the powerful Irish handlers - Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott.

12 months ago, we saw the 2020 Arkle winner - Put The Kettle On - follow-up, to record her third win on the Cheltenham track. She’ll be looking to join the likes of Altior and Master Minded aa recent back-to-back winners in the race.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and highlight the key trends to take into the 2022 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 16th March.

Recent Queen Mother Champion Chase Winners

2021 - PUT THE KETTLE ON (17/2)
2020 – POLITOLOGUE (6/1)
2019 – ALTIOR (4/11 fav)
2018 – ALTIOR (Evs)
2017 – SPECIAL TIARA (11/1)
2016 – SPRINTER SACRE (5/1)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (9/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (11/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/4 fav)
2012 – FINIAN’S RAINBOW (4/1)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (10/1)
2010 – BIG ZEB (10/1)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (4/11 fav)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (3/1)
2007 – VOY POR USTEDES (5/1)
2006 – NEWMILL (16/1)
2005 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2004 – AZERTYUIOP (15/8 fav)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (7/4 fav)

 

Queen Mother Champion Chase Betting Trends

16/19 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/19 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
17/19 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
11/19 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – French bred
7/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/19 – Won the Arkle Chase the previous season
4/19 – Had won the race before
3/19 – Ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) last time out
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 5/1

Other Queen Mother Champion Chase Stats

14 of the last 21 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
23 of the last 37 winners had previously won at the Cheltenham Festival
39 of the last 40 winners returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
17 of the last 20 Arkle Chase winners to run the next season in this have finished placed or better
19 of the last 20 winners had won a Grade One Chase previously

 

Champion Chase – 24 Year Trends

17/24 – British-trained winners
7/24 – Irish-trained winners
Willie Mullins (Ire) is yet to train the winner
Nicky Henderson (UK) has trained 5 of the last 10 winners (won the race 6 times in total)
Paul Nicholls (UK) has trained 6 of the last 22 winners
Henry de Bromhead (Ire) has trained 3 of the last 11 winners
Jessica Harrington (Ire) has trained 2 of the last 19 winners

 

 

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