Cheltenham Trends – Sat 10th Dec

Andy Newton gives you all the trends & stats that matter ahead of Saturday’s excellent Cheltenham card

 

CHELTENHAM (C4 & RUK)


12.10 -
JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial Juvenile Hurdle (CLASS 2) (3yo) RUK Good 2m1f

3 of the last 8 went to the favourite
7 of the last 8 returned 9/2 or SHORTER in the betting
All of the last 8 finished third or better last time out
5 of the last 8 WON last time out
5 of the last 8 had their previous race at Cheltenham
Paul Nicholls won the race 12 months ago – HINTERLAND
Gordon Elliott won the prize in 2007 – CANNA
Nigel Twiston-Davies has a +£114 level stakes profit with his hurdlers here – HIGHLY EFFICIENT
Venetia Williams is only 3 from 51 with her hurdlers at the course – TANGO DE JUILLEY
Ruby Walsh has a 28% strike-rate when riding over hurdles - HINTERLAND
Jason Maguire is only 2 from 46 over hurdles at the track - CANNA

12.45 - Ryman Stationer Novices´ Chase (CLASS 2) (4yo+) RUK Good 3m1f110y

5 of the last 10 went to the favourite
9 of the last 10 WON their previous race
4 of the last 10 ran at Newbury last time out
3 of the last 10 ran at Cheltenham last time out
9 of the last 10 returned 11/2 or SHORTER in the betting
9 of the last 10 were aged 7 or YOUNGER
8 of the last 10 were aged 6 or 7 years-old
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2004, 2008 & 2009 – JOIN TOGETHER
Nicky Henderson is only 8 from 105 with his chasers at the track - MOSSLEY
Gordon Elliott is only 4 from 20 with his chasers at Cheltenham – TRAFFIC ARTICLE
Jason Maguire is 0 from 19 over fences at the track – TRAFFIC ARTICLE

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1.20 - Jenny Mould Memorial Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (4yo+) RUK Good 2m110y

Only one winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
7 of the last 8 were aged 6 or OLDER
6 of the last 8 carried 11-1 or MORE
7 of the last 8 returned 7/1 or SHORTER in the betting
7 of the last 8 finished fourth or better last time out
The last 3 winners won their previous race
50% of the last 8 ran at either Cheltenham or Newbury last time out
Owner Raymond Mould will be hoping to win the race named in honour of his late wife - ASTRACAD
Paul Nicholls won this in 2002 and 2010 – TAKEROC & ROBINSON COLLONGES
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2003, 2005 & 2009 – DAVE’S DREAM & TANKS FOR THAT
Richard Johnson won this in 2006 & 2007 – DAVE’S DREAM
Nicky Henderson is only 8 from 105 with his chasers at the track - DAVE’S DREAM & TANKS FOR THAT
Colin Tizzard has a +£53 level stakes profit with his chasers here – OISEAU DE NUIT
Robert Thornton is just 3 from 65 when riding over fences here – OH CRICK

 
1.55 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good 3m

5 of the last 7 runnings went to the favourite (1 co-fav)
6 of the last 7 returned 4/1 or SHORTER in the betting
ALL 7 recent winners were aged 7 or YOUNGER
All 7 finished 2nd or better last time out
5 of the last 7 won their previous race
4 of the last 7 ran at Cheltenham last time out
5 and 6 year-olds have won 5 of the last 7 runnings
Ruby Walsh has a 28% record when riding over hurdles at the track – DEIREADH RE
Tim Vaughan is 0 from 25 with his hurdlers at Cheltenham – REV IT UP
Jason Maguire is only 2 from 46 when riding over hurdlers here – SEA OF THUNDER
Paddy Brennan has a huge +£73 level stakes profit over hurdles at the course - HALLEY

2.30 – Spinal Research The Atlantic 4 Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good 2m5f

Only 1 winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
All of the last 8 winners were aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
The last 4 winners carried 11-4 or MORE
6 of the last 8 finished third or better in their previous race
3 of the last 4 winners ran in the Paddy Power Gold Cup that same season
The last 5 year-old to win was back in 1966
3 of the last 5 winners returned a double-figure price
The winner aged 10 or older was in 1974
Paul Nicholls has won the last two runnings – WOOLCOMBE FOLLY & GHIZAO
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2002 & 2003 - QUANTITATIVEEEASING
Nicholls, Henderson, Pipe and O’Neill have all won the race twice each since 1998
Nicky Henderson is only 8 from 105 with his chasers at the track - QUANTITATIVEEEASING
Robert Thornton is just 3 from 65 when riding over fences here - MEDERMIT
Will Kennedy is 3 from 9 when riding over fences at the course – FINGER ONTHE PULSE

3.05 – StanJames.com International Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good 2m1f

7 of the last 10 went to the favourite
6 of the last 10 were aged 4 or 5 years-old
7 of the last 10 returned 5/2 or SHORTER in the betting
6 of last 10 ran in the Greatwood Hurdle last time out
5 of the last 10 WON the Greatwood Hurdle last time out
ALL 10 recent winners finished third or better in their previous race
6 of the last 10 WON their previous race
MENORAH won the race 12 months ago
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2002, 2006 and 2010 – MENORAH
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2008 – GRANDOUET
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2003 – SANCTUAIRE
Jockey Richard Johnson won the race in 2002, 2006 and 2010 – MENORAH
Donald McCain is only 2 from 39 with his hurdlers at the track – OVERTURN
Ruby Walsh has a 28% (+£56) record when riding over hurdlers at the course - SANCTUAIRE
Jason Maguire is only 2 from 46 when riding over hurdles at the track – OVERTURN

Note: 2008 renewal was run at Ascot, 2001 run at Newbury

 3.35 – Unicoin Homes Relkeel Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good 2m4f110y

3 of the last 8 runnings went to the favourite
4 year-olds have won 50% of the last 8 runnings
ALL 8 recent winners returned 8/1 or SHORTER in the betting
5 of the last 8 finished 2nd or better last time out
The last 2 winners ran in the Coral Ascot Hurdle – OSCAR WHISKY
AP McCoy won the race in 2006 & 2010 – GET ME OUT OF HERE
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2009 – OSCAR WHISKY
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2006 – GET ME OUT OF HERE
Jonjo’Neill is only 2 from 69 with his hurdlers here – GET ME OUT OF HERE
Nicky Henderson has a +£24 level stakes profit with his hurdlers at the track – OSCAR WHISKY
Ruby Walsh has a 28% (+£56) record when riding over hurdlers at the course - THE KNOXS
Jason Maguire is only 2 from 46 when riding over hurdles at the track – ANY GIVEN DAY

 

 

 

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