Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 17th Nov 2019

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends


1.15 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

16/16 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Either Irish (9) or French (6) bred
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/16 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/16 – Had a recent run that season
12/16 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
12/16 – Unplaced in their last race
11/16 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (7 won)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/16 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/16 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/16 – Favourites that won
Josies Orders won this in 2015 and 2018

1.50 – Racing Post #responsiblegambling Arkle Trophy Trial Novices´ Chase 2m ITV

16/17 – Placed in the top three in their last race
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
14/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
14/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Raced (hurdles or fences) at Cheltenham previously
13/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Raced just once previously over fences
11/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
11/17 – Won their latest race
10/17 – Won previously over fences
10/17 – Ran in the Arkle Chase at the Festival later that season (1 won, Azertyuiop, 2002)
9/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (inc last 6 of last 11 years)
9/17 – Favourites that won
7/17 – Won by a French bred
4/17 – Won by Irish bred
4/17– Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/17 – Won by a German bred
3/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Fell in the Arkle Chase later that season

 

2.25 – Shloer Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

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10 previous runnings
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Officially rated 150+
8/10 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
8/10 – Won on seasonal reappearance
8/10 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
7/10 – Aged 7 or older
7/10 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (1 winner, Sprinter Sacre 2015)
6/10 – Failed to win last time out
5/10 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/10 – Favourites that won
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – German bred
3/10 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Seaux Royal won the race in 2018
Fox Norton won the 2016 and 2017 runnings

 

3.00 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

15/17 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
15/17 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/17 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/17 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
11/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/17 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/17 – Won their previous race
6/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/17 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Winning favourites
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 9/1
6 of the last 10 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV

15/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Won last time out
12/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
11/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/15 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
9/15 – Had won a NH Flat race before
8/15 – Carried 11-7 in weight
8/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
8/15 – Aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Won by the Nicholls stable

 

 

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