Chester May Meeting Trends: Wed 7th May 2025

Here at GeeGeez we've got all the stats that matter for the LIVE ITV races ahead of the opening day of the three-day Chester May Meeting this Wednesday (7th May 2025)

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 – CAA Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4

22/22 – Had a recent run already that season
20/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 - Had won over 5f before
17/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
15/22 – Won last time out
12/22 – Came from stalls 1-3
11/22 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
8/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 - Came from stall 1 (but just 2 in the last 17 years)
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (3 of the last 10 years)
2/22 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 17 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners were fillies (mares)
5 of the last 10 winners were March foaled fillies
8 of the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of the last 9 winners came from stall 5 or lower

2.05– Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4

22/22 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
20/22 - Had won before over this trip
16/22 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
15/22 - Had run before that season
15/22 - Carried 8-12 or less
13/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
9/22 - Returned a double-figure price
7/22 - Had won before at Chester
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Tim Easterby
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The last 16 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting

2:35 – Weatherbys e-Passport Cheshire Oaks (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4

18/22 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
19/22 – Had a previous run that season
18/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
16/22 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
13/22 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (5 of the last 9)
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 9)
5/22 – Winners from stall 4
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls (1) or (3)
None of the last 22 winners had run at Chester before

3.05 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4

21/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Finished third or better last time out
18/22 – Had a previous run that season
15/22 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
15/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
11/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/22 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
10/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 of last 11 winners)
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 10 winners)
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3 or lower
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 10
Just one winner in the last 22 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)

3:40 – Love Federal Capital Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/13 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
8/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/13 – Had won over 6f before
6/13 – Rated between 78-80
6/13 – Had run at the track before
3/13 – Winning favourites
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer David Evans has won 2 of the last 5
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6 (including in 2024)

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