Chester TV Trends: Friday 11th May 2018

The three-day 2018 Chester May Meeting concludes on Friday 11th May with four more LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Chester Cup - that, don't forget - has been moved to the final day - covered with all the key trends and stats.

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS

1.50 – Crabbie’s Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV

14/16 - Had won over this trip (7 1/2f) before
14/16 - Didn’t win their last race
13/16 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 - Had a previous run that season
13/16 - Finished unplaced last time out
13/16 - Carried 8-10 or more
12/16 - Had run before at Chester
11/16 - Favourites placed
10/16 - Came from stall 5 or higher
7/16 - Won by a 4 year-old
7/16 - Horses placed from stall 1
5/16 - Won by the favourite
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/16 – Winning horses from stall 1
Sound Advice won the race in 2017
Hillybilly Boy win the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

2.25 – Sportingbet Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV

15/16 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
14/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
12/16 – Had a previous race that season
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
9/16 – Winning favourites
9/16 – Failed to win their previous race
6/16 – Returned 6/4 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
5/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/16 – Had raced at Chester before
5/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

 

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3.00 – Sustainable Group (UK) Ltd Handicap Handicap Cl2 5f16y ITV

15/16 – Finished fourth or better last time out
15/16 – Had won over 5f before
15/16 – Came from stalls 1-8
14/16 – Had a previous run that season
14/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Came from stalls 4 or higher
10/16 – Carried 8-13 or more
8/16 – Had run at Chester before
5/16 – Won their previous race
4/16 – Won by the favourite
Trainer Tom Dascombe has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Only 2 horses from a double-figure stall have been placed in the last 16 years
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3.35 - Betway Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV

15/16 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Officially rated between 93-99
12/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
11/16 – Carried 9-2 or less
11/16 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/16 – Won from stall 7 or lower
10/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
8/16 – Favourites were unplaced
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Had won at the track before
3/16 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
2/16 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Won by the favourite
2/16 – Won their previous race

Key Chester Cup Stats
The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 6 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 13/1
4 of the last 8 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 6 winners returned 10/1
Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 3 of the last 10 winners

 

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