Chester TV Trends: Weds 9th May 2018

The three-day 2018 Chester May Meeting kicks-off on Wednesday 9th May with four LIVE races on ITV - We've got key contests like the Lily Agnes Stakes, Cheshire Oaks and Chester Vase covered with all the key trends and stats.

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS

1.50 - Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV

16/16 – Had a recent run that season
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
12/16 - Had won over 5f before
12/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Came from stalls 1-3
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 - Came from stall 1 (but none in the last 11 years)
2/16 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of last 8 years)
2/16 – Trained by David Evans
2/16 - Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of the last 4 years)
The horse from stall 5 has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

2.25 - Arkle Finance Cheshire Oaks (for the Robert Sangster Memorial Cup) (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV

14/16 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
14/16 – Had a previous run that season
13/16 - Favourites that finished in the top three
12/16 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/16 – Won their last race
5/16 – Winners from stall 4
5/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Winners (Light Shift) that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
None of the last 16 winners had run at Chester before
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.00 - Boodles Diamond Handicap Cl2 5f16y ITV

16/16 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
15/16 - Had won before over this trip
13/16 - Carried 8-11 or less
13/16 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
10/16 - Had run before that season
10/16 - Favourites that finished in the top three
7/16 - Returned a double-figure price
7/16 - Had won before at Chester
2/16 – Trained by Eric Alston
3/16 – Won their last race
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
The last 10 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting

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3.35 – Centennial Celebration – MBNA Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV

15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Finished third or better last time out
13/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
13/16 – Had a previous run that season
11/16 - Went onto finish 7th or better in the Epsom Derby
9/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/16 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
8/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 5 winners)
7/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Just one winner in the last 16 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World), but last year’s runner-up (Wings Of Eagles) did go onto win the Derby.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Just 1 of the last 16 winners had won before over 1m4f

 

 

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