Daily Dabble

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

As one of our readers pointed out yesterday, these selections have performed unbelievably poorly of late and yesterday was no exception, I'm afraid.

What I can tell you is that the run of poor results is not down to a lack of effort on my part and I'd never put up a horse I wasn't prepared to back with my own money. For the record Entrenched was awful yesterday, having drifted from our advised 11/4 out to 5/1, he was slow away and showed little before finishing last of the 5 runners, some 16 lengths off the pace.

Two hours later, Sky Khan gave a much better display, before being edged out in a close finish, going down by just a neck.

The record, however, will show another blank and I aim to rectify this today, starting in the...

2.10 Haydock

Just three runners go to post for this one and I'm going with Vital Evidence. He won a maiden at Sandown last time and is out of Group 1 winner. He looked like he needed further last time out and today's extra two furlongs should suit him well. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute who has a 42.9% strike rate in handicap races at Haydock in the July/August period and is very good at getting horses to win on their handicap debut when stepping up in trip and a 36.8% strike rate backs up that theory. Only 3 run here, so no big prices, but 11/8 still looks reasonable here.

4.45 Nottingham

Former course and distance winners have a near 30% strike rate and an ROI of over 100% when returning to Nottingham and Stellar Express comes here in good nick too. She won well on Saturday at Chester and now returns to Nottingham for a drop in trip to 1 mile. Today is her 6th crack at this trip here and to date she is 3/5 over course and distance. Ajmany is a real danger, but his presence means we can get a reasonable price of around 3/1 for our pick.

Back Vital EvidenceStellar Express in a double with BetVictor paying 17/2 BOG

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

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6 replies
  1. Avatar
    dunkerlp says:

    No offence but I hope the first part goes down as I have done Venue however I would not rule out the outsider

  2. Avatar
    matteo says:

    I’m ready to die…
    My two against Ryan Moore and one against your pick:

    2:10 haydock -duke of perth (all three runners out of group1 winners, stinky race, ready to be slapped by Abdullah’s but Fallon only race of the day at Haydoc before travelling to Newmarket, hope this means something)

    4.25 haydock -hawk high (last time out at Haydock neither 2 lenghts behind Great Hall who made a fantastic race, hope he scores)

    • Avatar
      Matt Bisogno says:

      Good luck Matteo – it’s never a witch hunt, and a bit of healthy competition is good for all.

  3. Avatar
    jim says:

    Having started to keep note of all my bets a few years ago I found ew doubles to be the biggest loser. It surprised me because I always thought that they had provided me with my biggest wins. However when examining the evidence I found that both horses winning was such a rare occurrence that I dropped them completely. They sound easy and you would think they are but not for me. I think it may have something to do with the fact that you starting picking horses, without realising, by their price instead of by the actual chance they have.

  4. Avatar
    matteo says:

    First of all thanks for the “Haydock” correction Matt, you probably saved me from being lynched!

    Second, I’ve learned for the thousandth time that Fallon is my pet peeve and I have to avoid him, the important thing is that I’ve felt the possibility of a Moore’s flop and I’m satisfied.

    Third, I respect you Chris, even if you mess up, and I don’t want to question your professionalism but I feel sometimes you need the shock, don’t be angry.

    I’m nobody, I underline it, I’m not worth even your toenails but I understand something

  5. Avatar
    Alan roy says:

    I am doing quite well laying the selections keep up the bad work only joking I said last week you had hit the bar a few times and I would stay with it. Alan roy

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