Daily Dabble, 25th June 2013
Our plans for back-to-back doubles was scuppered before racing even started yesterday, as Pandorica was withdrawn from her race. This left us with a 1pt E/W single on Dangerous Age. She wasn't fancied at all by the racing public, as she drifted from our advised 15/2 (thankfully we only use BOG bookmakers!) out to a massive SP of 12/1, having opened on course at 8's.
She, of course, didn't know what price she was and she ran her own race accordingly. She set off well enough and was only headed inside the last two furlongs by the eventual winner and then she was overhauled late on by the favourite, who finished just a nose in front of her, but she finished third at 12/1, a good 2 lengths in front of the 4th placed horse.
This meant that our 2pts staked returned 3.4pts on the day, not the ideal result, but a 70% profit nonetheless. I'm hoping to get two runners onto the track today in back-to-back races, the first of which is the...
I'll follow up yesterday's pair of successful runners with two fillies today, starting with the...
This race has a very warm favourite in Dairam at around 8/15, but I'm not filled with confidence about him at that price as he always seems to find one just too good (current form: 2222). The shortness of his odds means we'll get a decent price about what I see as his main rival today, the far less exposed Echo of Lightning. Our selection is making only his second start, after showing some promise when finishing third to Size at Musselburgh in May: Size has since won another two races from three. Echo of Lightning was staying on well late in the piece that day over 7f and it's expected that's extra furlong and a half should suit him more. He looks pretty good value for at least a place at current odds of up to 7/1.
I've sided with the seasoned campaigner Gala Casino Star here, who scored a hat-trick at this distance last summer and despite not managing to be as successful once his rating had gone up, he has run consistently and creditably since. He has a course victory to his name and has come down the weights to the point where he now runs off a mark of 79: the same figure as his last winning mark. He was beaten by less than three lengths last time out at Ayr in a far better race than this one and at odds of up to 11/1, he looks like offering us an excellent chance of a decent return, especially as the presence of a 7lb claimer on board will help to alleviate the burden. (The yard is very adept at their use of claiming jockeys).
The double pays 89/1 BOG today with BetVictor, with the place element running at just under 15/2 (7.4/1 to be precise)
Back Echo of Lightning & Gala Casino Star in an each way double with BetVictor, the win part paying 89/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)