Daily Dabble : 29/04/13

Daily Dabble, 5th April 2013

Daily Dabble : 05/04/13

Daily Dabble : 05/04/13

Daily Dabble, 5th April 2013

No joy at all yesterday, as firstly Oscar Whisky came up short, finishing 4th having been backed into 5/1 and this was followed by a poor show from One Scoop or Two later in the evening. Our selection attracted plenty of support, halving in price from our advised 8/1, but never looked like winning. His late rally only served to make the final outcome a little more respectable.

I've got a couple of course and distance specialists lined up today in a bid to get back to winning ways, starting with the...

5.05 Sedgefield

Where Tahiti Pearl looks like very good value at 13/2 with SkyBet (non-BOG, unfortunately, but 6/1 BOG available elsewhere). This horse comes here in good nick having been a winner three times and a runner-up twice from seven starts over the winter. His record over today's 16.5f trip is excellent at 15111 for a shade under 11pts profit. Today will be his fourth outing at Sedgefield, where he is currently three from three, all over C&D. Those three races were on Good to Firm, Good and heavy, so he's adaptable to the conditions too.

Tahiti Pearl should give us a very good chance of a "live" bet for the...

9.20 Dundalk

Where I'm hoping that us night owls will be rewarded by First Friday. Nine previous outing over course and distance have yielded the following string of results: 324514232. He was, admittedly, disqualified from that sole victory, but many bookies would have paid out as a winner (first past the post). Regardless of that decision, he has shown great consistency and has stepped up a gear in his last five races since being partnered by tonight's jockey. It's a tricky looking 17 runner contest, but it does mean we get 4 places to aim at and 13/2 BOG with BetVictor looks very appetising, he's generally an 11/2 shot.

The win double pays 44.5/1 with BoyleSports, and is best odds guaranteed, of course. The place double pays 17/4 today at 4.25/1

Back Tahiti Pearl and First Friday in an each way double with BoyleSports with the win part paying 44.5/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)

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6 replies
  1. Lucky says:

    Hi Chris. I thought I had a place double up with my two selections yesterday, as Hard Walnut won (backed in to 7/2) and Changing Times got 3rd. I then discovered that there was a non-runner in CT’s race so it only paid two places.
    Onwards and upwards, I’ve picked two to go with yours today into a yankee. Kickingthelilly in the 4.05 Leicester should run well, and Bold Duke in the 5.45 should make for a nice brace of placers (or winners).
    All the best
    Lucky

    • Chris Worrall says:

      With CT getting 3rd and Oscar coming 4th, you can consider yourself a tad unlucky.

      I looked at Kickingthelilly for SotD today, to be honest. Since September 2010, blind backing of all Rae Guest’s flat horses under 8/1 gives 52.1pts profit via 31 winners from 105 races (29.52% SR)

  2. Keith Jackson says:

    Isnt the max field size at Dundalk 14? There are 3 reserves in this race and there will only be 14 runners so you will have 3 places in the 9.20 Dundalk and not 4 places. Even Betfair is only 3 places!

    • Chris Worrall says:

      My bet slip says 1/4 odds, 1,2,3,4 and they have larger fields than 14 in the past.
      Even if it becomes a 14-runner race and only 3 places, the stats still stands up as worthy of selection.

  3. Keith Jackson says:

    Chris I am not saying it is not a worthy selection, of course not, only that there will be 14 runners in this race as that is the max field size at Dundalk, never been more than 14 runners in the recent past, same as our AW tracks. I did notice that Victor Chandler offers 1/4 1-2-3-4 but that still includes the 3 reserves at the bottom(quite clearly stated as reserves at the bottom of the field). There will only be 14 runners in this race.
    Good Luck with both bets today and I will be on too.

    • Chris Worrall says:

      Cheers, Keith.
      I think my knee-jerk defence mechanism might have clicked in earlier 😀

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