Daily Dabble, 9th July 2013
Jaja de Jau was disappointing yesterday for reasons discussed already on yesterday's blog, but Multi Bene defied the market by producing an excellent run in our second contest. I was happy to take the 8/1 early BOG price on him, but the feeling wasn't mutual elsewhere!
Eventually sent off at 14/1, he showed little signs of rustiness after a 200-day break to run into 3rd place giving the E/W singles backers some respite on an otherwise poor day.
A similarly priced one today plus a "safer" option make up Tuesday's All-Weather double, which kicks off with the..
Sweet Martoni is still unexposed (just 5 starts to date) at this level and has been running well of late, particularly when finishing third last time out at Nottingham over 10 furlongs on soft ground. It is expected that she'll relish the extra couple of furlongs today and her current odds of up to 16/1 look far too long to me. Whether she wins or not, I don't see her as a 14/1 shot here. She runs off the same mark of 69 as last time out and receives a fair chunk of weight from most of her rivals, but interestingly the Racing Post ratings have her as high as 74, so if she runs to that level, there might be some surprised faces out there.
Bapak Muda is another lightly-raced sort, making only his fifth start and has shown considerable promise in 3 maiden contests, gradually improving before admittedly running terribly on his handicap debut last time out at Newcastle. I put that down as a bad day at the office and move on to a new challenge today. USA bred horses tend to fare really well here at Southwell and trainer Kevin Ryan has a great record here too. At around 5/1 today, Bapak Muda should be good enough to win this, never mind just get placed. It is a trappy affair, but he's drawn well down in stall 1 and should be able use the rail to its full advantage.
Today's double pays 101/1 BOG today with Stan James, whilst the place element is priced at just under 17/2 (8.45/1 to be exact).
Back Sweet Martoni & Bapak Muda in an each way double with Stan James with the win part paying 101/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)