Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 11th September 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

This time of year is one of my favourite periods on the racing calendar, especially as this week we have Doncaster’s St Leger meeting to enjoy.

I have arranged trainer lists from various areas of the country regarding how the handlers have fared at Doncaster this season, some of which make for really interesting reading.

Selection of Yorkshire based trainers:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

3/7--Tim Walford (11/2**-7/2*-4/1)

3/23--Michael Dods (25/1-6/4*-16/1)

3/24--Brian Ellison (9/2*-16/1-3/1*)

3/29--David O'Meara (7/1-6/4*-6/1)

3/30--Mark Johnston (7/4*-9/4*-2/1**)

3/44--Tim Easterby (8/1-15/2-6/1)

2/6--Julie Camacho (40/1 & 16/1)

2/18--Mick Easterby (16/1 & 11/4*)

2/21--David Barron (7/4 & 7/2**)

2/23--Kevin Ryan (11/2-4/1)

1/11--Bryan Smart (5/1)

1/17--David Nicholls (4/1)

0/11--'Team Burke'

 

Selection of Newmarket trainers:

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

3/11--Roger Varian (6/4*-11/8-9/2)

3/12--John Gosden (10/3-11/4-7/2)

2/5--Charlie Appleby (6/1 & 9/2)

2/5--David Simcock (3/1 & 13/8*)

2/7--Lady Cecil (11/2 & 16/1)

2/8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/4* & 11/8*)

2/9--Chris Wall (6/4* & 9/4*)

2/10--James Fanshawe (4/1-5/4*)

1/14--Luca Cumani (5/6*)

1/19--Michael Bell (Evs*)

0/8--Jeremy Noseda

0/10--Ed Dunlop

 

Selection of trainers from ‘other locations‘:

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

3/14--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*)

1/2--Roger Charlton (10/1)

1/3--Henry Candy (6/4*)

1/5--Ian Williams (14/1)

1/6--Clive Cox (6/4)

1/7--Ralph Beckett (3/1)

1/14--Jim Goldie (15/8*)

0/5--Andrew Balding

0/6--Brian Meehan

0/7--Tom Dascombe

0/9--David Evans

0/18--Mick Channon

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WEDNESDAY 11/09:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 129

Favourite stats: 45 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

9/62--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

7/23--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1)

4/17--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/21--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

107/129 winners (82.9%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

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4--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1)

4--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**)

4--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

2.00: Seven of the nine win and place positions to date have been secured by horses carrying weights of 9-3 more, statistics which include all three (25/1-9/2-9/2) winners. Two of the three favourites have secured toteplacepot position thus far (one winner).

2.30: Five of the last fifteen favourites have prevailed (though only two of the last twelve), whilst eight of the fifteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period. Expert is proving to be a really consistent type for Richard Hannon who has secured the last three contests in which he was represented.

3.00: The last thirteen winners of this Listed event have carried weights of 9-7 or more, which (like last year) eliminates the bottom three horses if you take the stats literally. Three favourites have prevailed during the last sixteen years, whilst ten of the eighteen market leaders reached the frame during the study period. Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last ten renewals in this Listed contest.

3.35: All four favourites (via three renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include all three (5/1-9/2-4/1) winners.

4.10: Eight of the fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four successful favourites. Three-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals of this Conditions event.

4.45: Five of the six winners to date have carried 9-2 or less, whilst two of the seven market leaders (via six renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions to date (no winners).

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

8-13-7 (14 ran-good)

9-10-1 (12 ran-good)

6-8-3 (12 ran-good)

6-2-10 (9 ran-good to firm)

11-4-8 (14 ran-soft)

12-5-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

5.15: Four-year-olds have won six of the last ten renewals whilst three favourites have prevailed during the last eleven years. The last ten winners have carried a maximum weight of nine stones.

 

Carlisle:

CARLISLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 61

Favourite stats: 19 (31.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/4

Leading trainers at Carlisle (flat) in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

6/32--Tim Easterby (7/2-16/1-25/1-6/1-15/8*-9/1)

4/8--Ann Duffield (5/1-4/1-15/2-9/2)

4/29--Keith Dalgleish (3/1-9/2-12/1-9/4*)

3/5--Declan Carroll (5/2*-11/2-5/2*)

3/16--Mark Johnston (7/1-7/2-3/1**)

3/21--Brian Ellison (7/2*-2/1*-6/4*)

54/62 winners (87.1%) to date have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Richard Fahey (Evs-9/4-9/4-5/2-3/1)

4--Brian Ellison (11/2-7/2-7/2-7/2**)

4--David O'Meara (6/4-9/4-6/4-3/1**)

3--Michael Easterby (7/2**-9/4-5/4)

3--Kevin Ryan (8/13-10/11-3/1)

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 102

Favourite stats: 30 (29.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:

5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)

5--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1)

4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)

4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

89/102 winners (87.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

11--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8)

7--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4)

4--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

 

Kempton:

Dean Ivory has already matched his best tally (31) of any season during the last five years and although his strike rate at Kempton stands at just 10% during the period, Dean’s level stake profit of twenty-three points at the track suggests that Shaunas Spirit (8.45) might be worth an each way play at a decent price. Aside from three potential runners at Doncaster, Shaunas Spirit is Dean’s only representative this week.

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