Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 12th July 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

FRIDAY 12/07: (full racecards here)

Newmarket (July):

NEWMARKET (JULY) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (July): 49

Favourite stats: 19 (38.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/3

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (July) in 2013:

6/18--Mark Johnston (4/5*-7/1-4/5*-15/2-3/1*-8/1)

6/29--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/1-4/1-11/10*-5/1-9/2-11/10*)

5/31--Richard Hannon (5/2*-5/2**-11/4**-14/1-4/7*)

3/15--John Gosden (9/4*-3/1-11/4)

47/49 winners (95.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--William Haggas (9/2**-11/8-9/4-6/4-2/1-11/2)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (6/4-15/8-2/1-5/2**-11/2**)

2--Richard Hannon (15/8 & 9/4)

2--Williams Knight (5/2** & 13/8)

2--Brian Meehan (9/4 & 2/1)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1 & 10/3)

Seven furlong 3YO handicap for fillies scheduled for 1.40: Fourteen of the last sixteen winners of this opening contest have carried weights of 9-0 or less. Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won this race during the last sixteen years, whilst twelve of the twenty-two market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

Duchess Of Cambridge (‘Cherry Hinton’) scheduled for 2.10: Seven of the last twelve favourites have won whilst twelve of the seventeen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process. Sir Michael Stoute boasts the best modern-day stats (since 1980) of the trainers still plying their trade having saddled four winners, though the last of those victories was secured as far back as 1996.

In an attempt to show how difficult this race is to win, it’s worth noting that great trainers such as John Gosden (1990), Saeed Bin Suroor (1997), Mark Johnston (2003), Brian Meehan (2005), Aidan O’Brien (2007) and Mick Channon (2008) have only saddled one winner in the Group 2 contest.

Richard Hannon has secured three successes since Lester Piggott rode Lemon Souffle to victory for the trainer in 1993, the last of which was Memory three years ago. Frankie Dettori has ridden four winners since his first victory aboard Asfurah back in 1997.

‘Falmouth Stakes’ scheduled for 2.40: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last sixteen renewals of this Group 1 event. Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last fifteen years, whilst ten of the sixteen jollies have claimed toteplacepot positions. Four-year-olds have been fighting back of late having won three of the last four contests.

Three-year-olds have secured twenty-four of the last thirty-four renewals (70.6%), eight other contests falling to five-year-olds, with two five-year-olds having scored in 2001 and 2005.

Richard Hannon achieved a hat trick in the race (his only winners during the study period) between 1993 and 1995 with Sky Lantern (one of only five potential runners) still involved in proceedings at the time of writing on this occasion. John Gosden (Elusive Kate) gained his one and only success with Ryafan back in 1997, whilst Alain de Royer-Dupre is potentially represented by last years winner Giofra.

Heritage handicap over six furlongs scheduled for 3.15: Horses carrying weights of 8-13 or less have claimed twenty-seven of the last available forty toteplacepot positions, including eight of the relevant ten winners. Three favourites have won in the last sixteen years, whilst seven of the seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process. The last ten favourites have all been beaten, though four of those market leaders finished in the frame. Seven of the last eight winners have been returned in double figures.

Seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 3.50: Richard Hannon has saddled three of the last eight winners at 25/1-6/1-7/2. Six clear favourites and one joint favourite have won during the study period. Ten of the twenty market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions. During the last decade, horses starting at 6/1 or less have secured seven renewals, whilst claiming five additional place positions via a total of twenty-five recent representatives. Horses starting at 16/1 or more have claimed just six place positions via ninety-four representatives.

3YO maiden event over ten furlongs scheduled for 4.25: The market (usually such a good guide here on the July course) has been of little use in recent times because Meydan City drifted like the proverbial barge before winning five years ago whilst the two of the last four winners have won at 66/1 and 25/1. Eight of the last nine favourites have been beaten in this toteplacepot finale though five of the market leaders snared win and place positions in races won by horses starting at 66/1-25/1-14/1-8/1-8/1-7/1-9/2-7/2.

Class 3 all aged handicap scheduled for 5.35: The last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-5.

 

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 48

Favourite stats: 9 (18.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:

4/19--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1)

4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)

4/51--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**)

3/7--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2)

2/2--Paul Cole (11/1 & 16/1)

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37/48 winners (77.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4)

4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1)

3--John Gosden (4/1-3/1-5/2)

3--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1)

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 51

Favourite stats: 19 (37.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/4

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

4/25--Bernard Llewellyn (7/2-8/1-9/4*-3/1)

3/10--Richard Hannon (7/2-2/5*-7/4*)

47/51 winners (92.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Bernard Llewellyn (9/2***-7/2**-3/1**-5/1****-7/4)

3--John O'Shea (9/2**-3/1-7/2**)

2--Andrew Balding (7/4** & 6/4)

2--Clive Cox (15/8 & 2/1)

2--Ron Harris (5/1**** & 7/2**)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-7/2***)

 

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chester: 48

Favourite stats: 17 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1

Leading trainers of winners at Chester in 2013:

5/33--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2)

4/28--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2)

3/10--Charlie Hills (12/1-9/4-4/1)

3/18--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**)

2/2--Luca Cumani (10/3* & 11/8)

47/48 winners (97.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs)

4--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4)

2--Marco Botti (6/4 & 9/4)

2--Brain Ellison (3/1 & 5/2**)

2--Richard Hannon (2/1 & 3/1)

2--Aidan O'Brien (7/2** & 6/5)

 

York:

YORK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at York: 42

Favourite stats: 13 (24.4%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

Leading trainers of winners at York in 2013:

4/5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*)

3/24--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1)

3/23--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2)

3/55--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1)

33/42 winners (78.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1)

2--Richard Hannon (8/13 & 6/4)

2--David O'Meara (7/2 & 3/1)

2--John Quinn (7/2 & 10/3)

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