Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 12th October 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

SATURDAY 12/10:

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 65
Favourite stats: 22 (33.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:
4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)
3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)
3--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1)
3--Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2)
3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)
3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)
3--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

55/65 (84.6%) of the winners scored at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4)
3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 2.25: Paul Nicholls (potentially represented by Aldopicgros and Keltus on this occasion) has saddled four of the last eight winners. Alan King (Wooly Bully and Chocala) has won the race twice in the last seven years by two of his best juvenile hurdlers during the period, namely Katchit and Franchoek.

Five-year-olds have secured all three renewals this far in the Class 4 novice hurdle event due to be contested at 3.00.

Extended nineteen furlong Class 2 novice chase event scheduled for 3.35: Both favourites have won thus far at 8/13 and 10/11.

Class 2 handicap hurdle due to be contested at 4.15: For Two and Lac Fontana potentially represent Paul Nicholls who has saddled four of the last six winners of this event, with Paul coming to the gig on a four timer on this occasion.

Class 3 handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.45: The last ten winners have carried weights of 11-3 or less whilst seven contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being recorded. Evan Williams and Philip Hobbs have both won two renewals during the last six years.

Bumper event scheduled for 5.45: Four-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals during which time, both Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have saddled two winners.

*

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 64
Favourite stats: 24 (37.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:
10--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1-13/8*-7/1)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)
3--Rose Dobbin (7/1-4/1-20/1)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)
3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

59/64 winners (92.2%) were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4-7/4-3/1)
6--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2)
3--Tim Vaughan (7/4-7/4-11/4)

Class 4 novice hurdle event for mares scheduled for 2.45: Five of the last six winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less, stats which include two successful market leaders. Four-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests.

Class 4 handicap chase over two and a half miles due to be contested at 3.20: Six-year-olds have won three of the last five contests, whilst vintage representatives were only conspicuous by their absence twelve months ago.

Maiden hurdle scheduled for 4.30: Six of the seven winners to date scored at 4/1 or less, statistics which include four successful favourites. The other winner was returned at 66/1!

Bumper event scheduled for 5.35: Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 4-3 via eight renewals to date.

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

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Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 89
Favourite stats: 32 (36.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
8/63--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)
5/28--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*-11/4)
4/10--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1-11/4**)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/48--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/9--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/12--Roger Varian (2/1-4/1-12/1)
3/16--David Simcock (12/1-5/1-5/1)
3/18--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)
3/32--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

78/89 winners (87.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)
5--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4)
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**-3/1-2/1-)
4--John Gosden (Evs-11/4**-3/1-10/3)
4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)
3--Lady Cecil (6/1**-10/3-15/8)
3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)
3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)

Group 2 Challenge Stakes scheduled for 2.05: Three-year-olds have won five of the last six contests. Junior representatives come to the party on a four timer on this occasion. Six of the last seven winners have scored at a top price of 15/2, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

Group 1 ‘Middle Park’ scheduled for 2.35: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for seven of the twenty one five day declarations, with the trainer having saddled two of the last nine winners of this event. Aidan won this race with a 25/1 chance two years ago en route to securing a 93/1 double on the card. The other six recent winners scored at a top price of 8/1, statistics which include four successful market leaders.

Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes scheduled for 3.10: Four favourites have won during the last seven years, whilst Aidan O’Brien was responsible for eight of the fourteen declarations earlier in the week.

‘Cesarewitch’ scheduled for 3.50: Eight of the last eleven winners were sent off at a maximum price of 16/1 which suggests that this marathon event is not as much of a lottery as most believe it to be. Two successful favourites (both returned at 9/2) were recorded during the study period. Five of the last seven winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1. That said, last year’s 66/1 winner broke the starting price and weight trends.

Group 2 ‘Rockfel’ scheduled for 4.25: To put the favourite stats of the ’Cesarewitch’ in perspective with its average of thirty odd runners, only the same number of market leaders have won this two-year-old event during the same period. Aidan O’Brien held one option (Sparrow) earlier in the week in a race that Aidan has won twice in the last six years.

Group 3 Autumn Stakes scheduled for 4.55: Favourites have won five of the last nine renewals, though the other contests were won by horses returned at 33/1-20/1-9/1-8/1. Richard Hannon held four options on Monday, the trainer having saddled two of the last ten winners.

Group 3 Darley Stakes scheduled for 5.15: Only one clear favourite has obliged during the last eleven years, with two of the last five winners having been sent off at 50/1 and 25/1.

*

York:

YORK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at York: 101
Favourite stats: 27 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/5

Leading trainers at York in 2013:
10/63--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2-11/4*-3/1-6/1-3/1-25/1-8/1-7/1)
8/51--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1-11/4-7/4*-7/1-5/1-3/1)
7/33--William Haggas (4/7*-3/1-10/1-11/4*-4/9*-9/1-3/1*)
7/120--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1-4/1-17/2-7/2*-33/1)
5/14--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*-5/4*)
5/6--Dean Ivory (8/1-11/2-9/2**-5/2-3/1*)
4/30--David Barron (7/1-9/2-8/1-13/2)
3/8--Ian Williams (15/2-14/1-13/2)
3/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (11/10*-4/1-4/1)
3/22--Richard Hannon (9/4*-7/2-2/1*)
3/29--Brian Ellison (8/1-7/1-6/1)

84/101 winners (83.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
13--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1-2/1-6/4-3/1-6/1**-15/8-4/1-4/1-9/4)
8--Richard Fahey (5/4-9/2**-11/4-5/2-5/1-6/1-11/4-6/1)
4--Mark Johnston (13/8-3/1-7/2-3/1)
3--Mick Easterby (7/2-4/1-5/1**)
3--Richard Hannon (8/13-11/4-6/4)
3--David O'Meara (7/2-5/2-3/1)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-6/4-7/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (9/4-4/5-6/4)

Listed ‘Rockingham Stakes’ scheduled for 2.55: Ten of the last eleven renewals have been secured by horses scoring at odds of 15/2 or less, stats which include three successful favourites.

Class 2 mixed vintage six furlong handicap scheduled for 3.30: Richard Fahey has saddled silver and bronze medals since securing the previous two renewals in 2007 & 2009. Two of the last four favourites have won at odds of 13/2 and 6/1.

2YO seven furlong maiden event scheduled for 4.10: Mark Johnston and Richard Fahey have both saddled two winners via just four contests to date.

Eighteen furlong handicap scheduled for 4.40: Three and four-year-olds have dominated the contest to date with junior raiders leading 4-2 via seven contests.

*

Wolverhampton:

Although his strike rate and LSP reading are nothing to write home about, it’s as well to cast a second glance at any David Evans runners on the card as surprisingly perhaps, David has sent out more winners at Dunstall Park (95 in total) than any of other potentially represented trainers at the track on Saturday, leading trainers which include Mark Johnston, Kevin Ryan. Tom Dascombe, Sir Mark Prescott et al.

 

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