Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 14th December 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

SATURDAY (14/12):

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 97
Favourite stats: 26 (26.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:
11--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1-10/11*-4/1-4/5*)
8--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**-2/1-7/1)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1-3/1-7/1-10/1)
5--Philip Hobbs (5/1*-7/2*-5/4*-20/1-4/1)
5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)
5--David Pipe (5/1-40/1-6/4-12/1-7/2**)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2-13/2)
3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)
3--Fergal O'Brien (16/1-12/1-28/1)
3--Tony Martin (20/1-15/8*-10/1)
3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

74/97 winners (76.3%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Paul Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**-5/1**-7/2**-11/4)
9--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**-4/6-7/2-6/1**)
6--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4-15/8-9/2)
4--John Ferguson (8/1**-Evs-6/1**-6/1**)
4--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**-15/8)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/5-9/4**-9/2-9/2)
3--Emma Lavelle (3/1-7/2-9/4)
3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2-2/1-9/4**)

12.10: Triumph Hurdle Trial:

Fifty four of the fifty five horses during the study period which were sent off at 11/1 or more were beaten which suggests we should keep fancied horses on the right side (level stake loss of forty points relating to outsiders). Eleven of the last thirteen winners have been returned at 6/1 or less, statistics which includes four successful favourites. Eleven of the last fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. Only three of the seven odds on favourites have won during the last fifteen years.

12.40: Novice Chase (25 furlongs):

Trainer Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last eight contests in which the trainer was represented. Six favourites have prevailed during the study period, whilst eleven market leaders have finished in the frame. Just two of the seven odds on favourites have won in the last fourteen years. A total of thirty three horses starting at 6/1 or more failed to win during the study period.

1.15: Jenny Mould Memorial Handicap Chase:

Eight-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals of this handicap steeplechase event over Cheltenham’s minimum trip, whilst favourites come into this year's renewal on a four timer. Three trainers have been responsible for eight of the last ten contests, with Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls leading the way with three successes apiece, with Philip Hobbs saddling two gold medallists.

1.50: Novice Hurdle (Grade Two):

Market leaders (of one description or another) have secured seven of the nine renewals thus far, whilst ten of the twelve favourites have finished in the frame. Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds have 4-3 via the last nine contests.

2.25: Handicap chase (Gold Cup):

A fancied horse - if not the favourite - usually wins the ’Stewart Family’ Gold Cup, with thirty three victors having been returned at single-figure odds, including thirteen of the last sixteen. In 2007, Tamarinbleu became the longest priced winner in the contest’s history when scoring at 22/1.

2012 Unioniste 4-9-09--Paul Nicholls--Harry Derham--15/2 (14 ran)
2011 Quantitativeeasing 6-10-07--Nicky Henderson--Barry Geraghty 6/1 (16 ran)
2010 Poquelin 7-11-07--Paul Nicholls--Ian Popham--16/1 (16 ran)
2009 Poquelin 6-11-08--Paul Nicholls--Ruby Walsh--7/2 fav (17 ran)
2008 Abandoned
2007 Tamarinbleu 7-11-08--David Pipe--Denis O’Regan 22/1 (16 ran)
2006 Exotic Dancer 6-11-04--Jonjo O’Neill--Tony Dobbin 8/1 (12 ran)
2005 Sir Oj 8-10-00--Noel Meade--Paul Carberry 16/1 (16 ran)
2004 Monkerhostin 7-10-02 Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 4/1 (13 ran)
2003 Iris Royal 7-10-13 Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 7/1 (17 ran)
2002 Fondmort 6-10-05 Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 5/1 (9 ran)
2001 Abandoned
2000 Go Roger Go 6-11-00 Edward O’Grady--Norman Williamson 7/1 12 (ran)

3.05: International (Hurdle) (Grade Two):

Nine favourites have won during the last twelve years, whilst ten of the fourteen market leaders have finished in the frame.

2012 Zarkandar 5-11-04--Paul Nicholls--Ruby Walsh 6/5 fav (7 ran)
2011 Grandouet 4-11-04--Nicky Henderson--Barry Geraghty 5/2 jt fav (8 ran)
2010 Menorah 5-11-04--Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 7/4 fav (9 ran)
2009 Khyber Kim 7-11-04--Nigel Twiston-Davies--Paddy Brennan 12/1 (7 ran)
2008 Binocular 4-11-04--Nicky Henderson--Tony McCoy Evs fav (5 ran)
2007 Osana 5-11-00--David Pipe--Paddy Brennan 7/1 (8 ran)
2006 Detroit City 4-11-04--Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 4/6 fav (4 ran)
2005 Harchibald 6-11-08--Noel Meade--Paul Carberry 10/11 fav (9 ran)
2004 Back In Front 7-11-08--Edward O’Grady--Davy Russell 5/2 fav (7 ran)
2003 Rigmarole 5-11-04--Paul Nicholls--Robert Thornton 25/1 (7 ran)
2002 Rooster Booster 8-11-04--Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 11/8 fav (9 ran)
2001 Valiramix 5-11-04 Martin Pipe--Tony McCoy 1/2 fav (4 ran)
2000 Geos 5-11-04 Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 14/1 (8 ran)

3.35: Relkeel Hurdle (Grade Two)

There have been forty five renewals, with the race abandoned five times. Two contests took place at other courses as Cheltenham could not race in 2001 (Newbury) and 2008 (Ascot).
Seven horses in total have won both the StanJames.com International and the Stan James Champion Hurdle. Salmon Spray (1966 Champion Hurdle), Comedy Of Errors (1975 Champion Hurdle) and Rooster Booster (2003 Champion Hurdle) are the three horses to win the two contests in the same season. Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last four renewals, with Rolling Star being Nicky’s only option at the five day stage.

*

Doncaster:

DONCASTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 49
Favourite stats: 24 (49.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

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Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:
5--Paul Nicholls (85/40-4/5*-Evs*-13/8*-13/8**)
4--John Ferguson (11/2-10/11*-Evs*-2/1*)
4--Nicky Henderson (4/11*-11/4**-5/2-9/4*)
4--Keith Reveley (20/1-7/2-9/1-9/4*)
3--John Quinn (14/1-7/4*-7/2)
2--Henry Daly (11/2 & 15/2)
2--Emma Lavelle (13/8* & 2/1*)
2--Venetia Williams (5/2* & 6/1)

Over half of the winners (26/49) have emerged from just eight stables

45/49 winners (91.8%) sent off at odds of 12/1 or less (9/1 in real terms)

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Paul Nicholls (11/4**-4/7-9/2-7/4**)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-13/8**-11/10)
3--Alan King (3/1-9/4-13/2)
2--James Ewart (5/2 & 9/2)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1 & 5/1)
2--Jeremy Scott (7/2 & 7/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 1/2)

Class 3 handicap chase over nineteen furlongs due to be contested at 2.40: The last six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-4.

Coole River potentially represents Emma Lavelle who comes to the gig on a hat trick, whilst seven-year-olds have won three of the four contests thus far in the potential finale at 3.15 (three mile handicap chase).

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 61
Favourite stats: 25 (41.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/20 (50.0%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
4--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4-5/4*)
3--Alison Batchelor (66/1-1/2*-14/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)
2--George Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)
2--Ali Brewer (7/1 & 3/1)
2--Mick Channon (13/8 & 16/1)
2--Warren Greatrex (12/1 & 10/11*)
2--Tom Gretton (7/4* & 9/4**)
2--Oliver Sherwood (3/1 & Evs*)
2--Venetia Williams (9/4* & 11/8*)

50/61 winners (82.0%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (11/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (10/11 & 7/4)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)
2--Venetia Williams (6/4 & 5/2)

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 32
Favourite stats: 10 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/4 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
3/7--Michael Appleby (6/1-9/2-9/4*)
3/13--John Jenkins (14/1-4/1-6/1)
2/6--Brian Ellison (11/2 & 5/1)
2/7--Keith Dalgleish (6/1 & 9/4**)
2/7--Shaun Harris (8/1 & 18/1)
2/7--Violet M Jordan (4/1** & 12/1)

30/32 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Jenkins (4/1**-3/1-2/1-7/2**)
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)

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Wolverhampton (A/W):

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 171
Favourite stats: 64 (37.4%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/23 (43.5%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
11/54--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1-5/2*)
5/19--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1-16/1-8/1)
5/25--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
5/35--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2-3/1-5/6*)
4/8--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1-6/4*)
4/11--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*-3/1*)
4/16-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*-9/4)
4/22--Marco Botti (20/1-7/2-10/3-5/4)

155/171 (90.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2-5/4)
6--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4-8/11)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)

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