Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 14th September 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

SATURDAY 14/09:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 150

Favourite stats: 49 (32.9%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

10/73--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1)

9/26--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

8/42--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

4/12--Roger Varian (6/4*-11/8-9/2-4/1**)

4/16--John Gosden (10/3-11/4-7/2-7/1)

4/20--William Haggas (11/4-2/1*-5/2*-11/8)

4/22--Marco Botti (12/1-7/2-3/1-7/2)

4/26--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1)

4/28--David Barron (7/4-7/1-11/1-7/2**)

126/150 winners (84.0%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**)

7--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2)

6--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

5--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4)

4--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

St Leger week stats after 3 days: 

Number of races: 21

Winning favourites: 4 (19.0%)

Odds on ratio: None thus far

Winning trainers this week: 

3/8--Saeed Bin Suroor (11/4-11/10*-13/8*)--9/26 at Doncaster this season

2/3--Olly Stevens (5/2 & 18/1)--3/5

2/7--David Barron (11/1 & 7/1)

1/1--George Baker (12/1)--1/6

1/1--Gerard Butler (5/2)--1/1

1/1--Roger Varian (4/1**)--4/12

1/2--James Bethell (9/1)--1/9

1/2--Luca Cumani (8/1)--2/16

1/2--Ed Dunlop (3/1)--1/12

1/2--David Simcock (12/1)--3/6

1/3--Kevin Ryan (100/1)--3/25

1/4--John Gosden (7/1)--4/16

1/6--Michael Bell (15/8*)--2/25

1/6--Clive Brittain (9/1)--1/8

1/11--Richard Fahey (10/1)--10/73

1/12--Charlie Hills (7/1)--4/24

1/19--Richard Hannon (4/1)--8/37

Beaten favourites this week:

6--Richard Hannon (9/2**-15/8-9/2-2/1-10/3**-9/4**)--8 beaten favourites at Donny this year

3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/2-5/1)--5 beaten favourites

2--James Fanshawe (9/4** & 2/1)--6 beaten favourites

1--David Barron (5/1)--2 beaten favourites

1--Marco Botti (4/1**)--2 beaten favourites

1--Mick Channon (9/4)--2 beaten favourites--0/25 runners at Donny this season

1--Keith Dalgleish (7/2)--2 beaten favourites

1--Scott Dixon (9/2)--1 beaten favourite

1--John Gosden (Evs)--5 beaten favourites

1--William Haggas (9/2)--7 beaten favourites

1--Kevin Ryan (10/3**)--1 beaten favourite

1--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/2)--5 beaten favourites

1--Michael Wigham (9/2)--1 beaten favourite

 

Today's Action

‘Champagne Stakes’ due to be contested at 2.05: Six favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst ten of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. Richard Hannon comes to the gig on a hat trick with Anjaal being his only potential runners at the five-day stage.

‘Portland Handicap’ scheduled for 2.40: The last eleven winners have carried 8-11 or more, whilst five-year-olds have won the last six renewals. Four favourites have won during the last sixteen years, which is a perfectly respectable ratio given the competitive nature of this event. Level stake punters would have shown a profit of £600.00 for a one hundred pound investment on market leaders during the study period. Seven of the last nineteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process. Ten of the last twelve winners were returned at odds ranging between 11/1 and 20/1.

'Draw factor' (five and a half furlongs)

21-18-12-16 (20 ran-good)

15-7-16-19 (21 ran-good to firm)

7-6-16-8 (22 ran-good)

16-22-2-17 (22 ran-good to firm)

18-9-14-21 (21 ran-soft)

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21-11-14-12 (21 ran-good to firm)

5-22-7-4 (21 ran-good to firm)

13-1-8-12 (22 ran-good)

15-22-8-9 (22 ran-good)

20-16-11-2 (22 ran-good)

9-16-19-14 (22 ran-good to firm)

8-11-9-16 (22 ran-good)

16-20-22-18 (21 ran-good to firm)

10-14-8-3 (21 ran-good)

6-22-19-7 (22 ran-good to firm)

‘Park Stakes’ due to be contested at 3.15: Older horses (aged four or more) have secured seven of the last eight renewals of this event, whilst seven of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

‘St Leger’ scheduled for 3.50: Seven clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the last sixteen years. Fifteen of the seventeen favourites have finished in the frame during the study period. Aidan O’Brien has won the St Leger three times during the last twelve years, whilst John Gosden has saddled three of the last six winners of the final classic of the season. Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled two of the last nine winners and Silvestre De Sousa was already jocked aboard his only potential runner in the race at the time of writing, namely Secret Number.

Class 2 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 4.25: Four of the last seven renewals have fallen the way of favourites of one description or another. Four-year-olds have secured four of the last eight renewals.

One mile Nursery event scheduled for 5.00: Favourites have won three of the last four renewals which last year’s market leader was only beaten half a length when securing the silver medal. Six of the last twelve favourites have finished in the frame.

Class 2 one mile handicap scheduled for 6.05: Three-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals, whilst two favourites have won via nine contests during the last decade. Eight of the fifteen recent market leaders secured win and place positions. Saeed Bin Suroor comes to the party on a hat trick with the trainer holding four options for the final race of the four-day meeting at the time of writing.

 

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 114

Favourite stats: 45 (39.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 15/21 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:

7/29--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*-2/1*)

6/11--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)

5/8--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)

5/11--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*-4/1)

5/20--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2)

4/15--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1-4/1)

4/38--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*)

104/114 winners (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4-5/4)

4--Jo Hughes (7/2-9/4-10/3**-5/4)

4--Sir Mark Prescott (11/10-4/6-1/2-5/6)

3--Milton Bradley (9/2**-7/4-7/2)

3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)

3--Mick Channon (4/1**-3/1**-6/4)

3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)

3--Jonathan Geake (9/4-6/4-6/4)

 

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chester: 90

Favourite stats: 30 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Chester in 2013:

9/60--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2-7/4*-11/4-9/2-15/8*)

8/52--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2-9/2-5/1-5/6*-9/4*)

4/32--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**-4/1)

88/90 winners (97.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2-10/11-4/1****-5/2-9/4-7/2-7/2)

7--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs-3/1**-3/1**-5/2)

5--Tom Dascombe (3/1-Evs-3/1**-5/4-9/4)

4--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4-4/1)

4--Brain Ellison (3/1-4/1****-5/2**-5/2)

3--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/5-3/1)

3--Charlie Hills (10/3-5/4-11/8)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (15/8-3/1-6/4)

3--Ian Williams (7/2-3/1-2/1)

 

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (TURF) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 89

Favourite stats: 40 (44.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/13 (76.9%)

Leading trainers of (turf) winners at Lingfield in 2013:

4/8--Ralph Beckett (5/4*-8/1-Evs*-2/7*)

4/11--John Jenkins (8/1-5/1-3/1*-5/2**)

83/89 (93.3%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Ian Williams (6/4-2/1-7/4-9/4)

3--David Evans (11/4-11/4-9/4)

3--Richard Hannon (11/4-Evs-5/2)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (7/4-2/1-15/8)

 

Kempton:

James Fanshawe continues to churn out the winners at an alarming rate (43.9% strike rate since the start of August) and his 24% strike rate via forty-six winners at Kempton in recent times is worth noting, especially given his LSP reading of eighty-two points during the study period.

 

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