Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 1st June 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

SATURDAY 01/06: (full racecards here)

Epsom:

EPSOM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Epsom: 13
Favourite stats: 3 (23.1% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: None to date

Trainers of winners at Epsom in 2013:

2/2--Clive Cox (14/1 & 4/1)
2/9--Richard Fahey (10/1 & 9/2)
1/1--Roger Charlton (3/1*)
1/1--Stuart Kittow (6/1)
1/1--Ted Powell (12/1)
1/2--James Tate (5/1)
1/2--Roger Varian (4/1)
1/3--David Simcock (12/1)
1/4--Ralph Beckett (20/1)
1/5--John Gosden (3/1**)
1/7--Andrew Balding (3/1*)

12/13 winners (92.3%) have scored at odds of 14/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Luca Cumani (11/2**** & 11/4)
1--Andrew Balding (5/2)
1--Peter Crate (11/2)
1--Brian Ellison (11/2****)
1--Richard Fahey (11/2****)
1--Richard Hannon (3/1**)
1--Dean Ivory (7/2)
1--Mark Johnston (6/5)
1--William Knight (11/2)
1--Brian Meehan (Evs)
1--Aidan O'Brien (5/2)
1--Amanda Perrett (3/1)
1--Kevin Ryan (11/2****)

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 1.35: Horses drawn in the ‘red box’ (stall one) have secured five of the last thirteen winners of this event. Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the study period. Twelve of the eighteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

'Draw factor' (ten furlongs):

7-13-6 (11 ran-good to firm)
7-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)
11-1-9 (12 ran-good to firm)
1-15-7-12 (17 ran-good)
6-1-5 (12 ran-good)
10-1-2 (14 ran-good)
8-11-10 (15 ran-good to firm)
8-11-9 (11 ran-good)
1-14-16-2 (18 ran-good)
11-13-14-15 (17 ran-good)
1-3-7 (10 ran-soft)
1-6-13 (13 ran-good to firm)
1-14-7 (12 ran-good to soft)
2-3-9 (15 ran-good to soft)
11-9-5 (11 ran-good)

Woodcote Stakes over six furlongs scheduled for 2.05: Mark Johnston has secured three renewals during the last eleven years and the trainer held two options (Ifwecan & Pigeon Pie) at the penultimate stage. Four clear market leaders and one co favourite have won of late, while eight of the last seventeen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs):

4-8 (7 ran-good to firm)
8-1-7 (8 ran-good to firm)
5-8-6 (9 ran-good to firm)
11-10-3 (12 ran-good)
3-10-2 (10 ran-good)
11-9-1 (13 ran-good)
1-4 (6 ran-good to firm)
2-5-9 (10 ran-good)
1-7-5 (8 ran-good)
3-8-1 (10 ran-good)
5-4 (6 ran-good to soft)
2-8-7 (11 ran-good to firm)
8-2 (7 ran-good)
2-1-7 (9 ran-good to soft)
2-5 (7 ran-good)

Coronation Cup scheduled for 2.40: Four-year-olds have secured seven of the last fifteen victories whilst Aidan O’Brien has won six of the last eight renewals of this Group 1 prize. Five of the last fifteen favourites have won, whilst eleven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in during the study period.

'Draw factor' (twelve furlongs):

4-6 (6 ran-good to firm)
1-3 (5 ran-good)
8-5-1 (9 ran-good)
8-5-1 (8 ran-good)
7-3-10 (11 ran-good)
2-3 (7 ran-good to soft)
5-2 (6 ran-good)
9-6 (7 ran-good)
5-1-3 (11 ran-good)
4-8-7 (9 ran-good)
3-4 (6 ran-soft)
1-2 (6 ran-good to firm)
2 (4 ran-good to soft)
3-2 (7 ran-good to soft)
2-1 (7 ran-good)

‘Dash’ event over five furlongs scheduled for 3.15: Dandy Nicholls has saddled four of the last eleven winners, whilst twelve of the last fifteen favourites have finished out of the frame since a 9/2 joint favourite (the last successful market leader) prevailed back in 2001.

‘Draw details’ (five furlongs):

2-16-15-3 (20 ran-good to firm)
9-13-10-1 (16 ran-good to firm)
15-14-16-9 (19 ran-good to firm)
18-12-11-1 (18 ran-good)
8-19-12-17 (19 ran-good)
15-16-17-12 (18 ran-good)
17-8-20-5 (20 ran—good to firm)
10-3-5-15 (20 ran—good)
8-10-2-3 (20 ran—good to firm)
10-11-8 (11 ran—good)
1-6-9 (11 ran—good to soft)
12-6-7-17 (17 ran—good to firm)
3-1-12 (12 ran—good)
11-2-9 (11 ran—good)
10-2-4 (15 ran—good)

The Derby due to be contested at 4.00: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for six of the fifteen declarations at the five-day stage. Eighteen of the thirty-two odds on favourites have won the Epsom Derby (56.3%) whilst ‘only’ eighteen of the last fifty-one market leaders (35.3%) have scored.

Class 2 mile and a half handicap scheduled for 4.50: Four-year-olds have claimed seven of the last fifteen renewals including six of the last nine (vintage representatives have finished 1-2-3-4 twice in the last four years). Only one favourite has won during the past fifteen years, whilst just two of the other fourteen market leaders have additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.

'Draw factor' (twelve furlongs):

11-14-4 (13 ran-good to firm)
3-7-6 (15 ran-good to firm)
6-1-13 (14 ran-good to firm)
3-8-2-9 (16 ran-good)
3-15-9 (15 ran-good)
16-1-9-15 (16 ran-good)
10-12-14 (14 ran-good to firm)
15-4-20-9 (good)
10-12-3 (13 ran-good)
4-6-2 (8 ran-good)
2-5 (7 ran-good to soft)
9-2-8 (11 ran-good to firm)
4-2-1 (12 ran-good)
3-5-7 (11 ran-good)
1-11-13 (15 ran-good)

Class 2 six furlong handicap scheduled for 5.25: The six previous market leaders finished out of the frame before the 2011 favourite obliged. The race ‘reverted to type’ last year however, with all three 7/1 co favourites finished out of the frame. Eight of the last nine winners carried a minimum burden of nine stones, whilst four-year-olds have won five of the last seven contests.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs):

7-3-9-14 (16 ran-good to firm)
4-7-9 (15 ran-good to firm)
13-4-14-3 (16 ran-good to firm)
17-7-4-8 (16 ran-good)
2-12-6 (12 ran-good)
9-1-11-6 (16 ran-good)
5-17-6-1 (17 ran-good to firm)
3-12-13 (15 ran-good)
1-13-9-11 (17 ran-good)
2-1-3-17 (17 ran-good)
7-8-11 (15 ran-good to soft)

 

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 59

Favourite stats: 22 (34.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6

Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:

9/44--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*)

3/4--William Haggas (11/4 & 5/2*)

3/10--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**)

3/18--Brain Ellison (9/2*-16/1-3/1*)

2/4--David Simcock (3/1 & 13/8*)

2/10--Charlie Hills (5/6* & 4/5*)

2/10--Mark Johnston (7/4* & 2/1**)

2/15--Michael Dods (25/1 & 16/1)

2/15--Mick Easterby (16/1 & 11/4*)

2/15--David O'Meara (7/1 & 6/1)

47/59 winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**)

3--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1)

3--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***)

2--Andrew Balding (11/4** & 11/2***)

2--Michael Bell (7/1 & 11/4**)

2--Charlie Hills (11/8 & 11/4)

2--John Quinn (2/1 & 6/1)

 

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 29

Favourite stats: 8 (27.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

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Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:

3/16--Richard Fahey (7/2-7/4*-7/2)

3/17--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/2-9/4*)

2/3--Alan Brown (12/1 & 7/2**)

2/3--Philip Kirby (11/4 & 10/1)

2/4--Michael Dods (4/1 & 5/1)

2/5--David Barron (7/1 & 3/1)

2/5--Alan Swinbank (9/2 & 4/1**)

2/7--David O'Meara (9/4* & 11/8*)

1/1--Bill Turner (4/6*)

1/1--Wilf Storey (4/1)

26/29 winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2-9/4)

2--Richard Fahey (6/4 twice)

2--George Moore (4/1 & 13/8)

2--Bryan Smart (11/4 & 10/11)

 

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 37

Favourite stats: 9 (24.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/3

Leading trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

4/13--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*)

3/7--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2)

3/12--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1)

2/6--Eric Alston (22/1 & 16/1)

2/11--Alan Swinbank (5/2** & 7/2)

2/14--David O'Meara (5/1 & 10/3)

2/17--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 9/4*)

2/17--Tracy Waggott (9/1 & 4/1)

1/1--Michael Bell (7/2)

1/1--John Berry (9/2*)

1/1--Marjorie Fife (6/1)

1/1--Chris Grant (9/2)

32/37 winners to date were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4)

3--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2)

3--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**)

3--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5)

2--Eric Alston (9/2 & 11/2)

2--Richard Guest (14/5 & 11/4)

2--William Haggas (8/13 & 7/2)

2--Roger Varian (2/1 & 15/8)

 

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (TURF) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 16

Favourite stats: 6 (50.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

Leading trainers of (turf) winners at Lingfield in 2013:

2/2--Ralph Beckett (5/4* & Evs*)

1/1--Patrick Chamings (9/2)

1/1--Mick Easterby (5/1)

1/1--Ger Lyons (4/1)

1/1--Peter Makin (12/1)

1/1--Brian Meehan (7/2)

1/1--Aidan O'Brien (4/9*)

15/16 winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

No trainer has saddled more than one beaten favourite at Lingfield (turf) this year

 

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 29

Favourite stats: 15 (51.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/6

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:

3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)

3--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8)

2--Stuart Crawford (11/10* & 3/1)

2--Sue Smith (5/1 & 10/3)

27/29 winners were returned at odds of 7/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--Phil Kirby (5/2** & 9/4)

2--Lucinda Russell (13/8 & 5/2**)

2--Sue Smith (9/2 & 11/4)

 

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Worcester: 22

Favourite stats: 5 (22.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/3

Leading trainers of winners at Worcester in 2013:

2--Rebecca Curtis (3/1* & 2/5*)

2--Fergal O'Brien (5/1 & 7/1)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1 & 9/2)

17/22 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--Paul Nicholls (8/11 & 5/4)

2--David Pipe (2/1 & 2/1**)

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