PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:
Number of races at Pontefract: 13
Favourite stats: 5 (38.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: None to date
Trainers of winners at Pontefract in 2013:
2/9--Richard Fahey (11/4 & 9/2*)
1/1--Richard Ford (4/1)
1/3--David Barron (13/8*)
1/3--Charlie Hills (3/1)
1/3--David O'Meara (7/2)
1/3--Edwin Tuer (14/1)
1/4--Michael Appleby (4/1)
1/4--Brian Ellison (9/2)
1/5--Mrs K. Burke (15/8*)
1/5--Mark Johnston (2/1*)
1/4--John Quinn (5/2*)
1/5--Kevin Ryan (17/2)
12/13 winners were returned at odds of 17/2 or less
Trainer of most beaten favourites:
4--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8)
Only nine of the first twenty-six races at Ascot last year were won by favourites (34.6%), whilst seven of those events were secured by ‘outsiders’ ranging in odds between 10/1 and 20/1. Mick Channon led the way ‘early doors’ at the Berkshire venue by securing three victories during the study period at 11/2, 15/8 and Evens, the latter named pair returned as market leaders of their respective events.
2.00: All eleven winners have scored at 6/1 or less, whilst five favourites have prevailed to date. Eight of the 13 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. This meeting was transferred to Kempton last year but I have included the (high-profile) results nonetheless.
2.30: Eleven of the twelve winners have scored at odds of top price of 8/1 or less. Six favourites have won, whilst nine of the 13 market leaders have finished in the frame.
3.00: Six-year-olds have the best record in this event having secured five of the nine contests. Five of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners), though it’s worth noting that a 4/9 favourite in a ’win only’ contest was turned over.
3.35: Fourteen of the last fifteen favourites have been beaten in this ‘Sagaro Stakes’, with just four of the sixteen market leaders finishing in the frame in the process. That said, thirteen of the last fifteen winners scored at odds of 8/1 or less.
4.10: Nine of the last ten winners have carried weights of 8-11 or more. Three of the last nine favourites have won, whilst eleven of the last fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions. Eight of the last nine winners have scored at odds ranging between 6/4 and 11/2.
4.45: Four-year-olds have secured fourteen of the twenty-four available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include five of the seven winners. Three of the seven market leaders have reached the frame (one winner).
This is a Hunter Chase meeting as many of you will know whereby I have not listed the yearly figures as just a handful of ‘professional’ trainers are likely to be involved.
Minimum trip (Class 5) event scheduled for 5.05: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed via eight renewals during the last decade during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 9/1.
United Hunts Challenge Cup scheduled to be contested at 6.10: Seven winners during the last decade were aged in double figures, whilst three of the last five winners have scored at 40/1-20/1-14/1.
Four of the last five favourites have landed the Men’s Open Point-To-Point Final scheduled for 6.45.
Horses aged 11/12 have won seven of the last ten contests of the four mile one furlong event due to be contested at 7.50.
Only one favourite has obliged in the closing Hunter Chase event for Ladies during the last decade (scheduled for 8.20).
SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:
Number of races at Southwell: 35
Favourite stats: 15 (28.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60/0%)
Leading trainers of winners at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):
3--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1)
2--Sean Curran (5/6* & 16/1)
2--Warren Greatrex (7/2 & 9/4*)
2--Charlie Longsdon (3/1 & 9/2)
2--Paul Nicholls (5/4* & 11/10*)
32/36 winners to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.
Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Tony Carroll (4/1 & 5/1**)
2--Warren Greatrex (6/5 & 13/8)
2--Charlie Mann (6/4 & 11/4)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8 & 9/4)
2--Oliver Sherwood (4/5 & 2/1)
Neil Callan had booted home six of his last twenty mounts to winning effect at the time of writing which is a timely reminder for his LSP reading here at Kempton. Although Neil’s 17% strike rate is nothing to write home about (apart from the fact that well over four hundred rides have been taken into consideration during the last five years), his level stake profits of ninety-five points is clearly a reason to give his mounts a second look at the Sunbury circuit.