Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 20th September 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

FRIDAY 20/09:



I could not help but notice that Mark Johnston did not saddle a runner at Ayr on the opening day of the 'Western' meeting...probably for the first time since the inaugural publication of 'The Beano' I'll wager!

Number of races at Ayr: 71

Favourite stats: 25 (35.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/61--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/36--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1-7/1)

5/56--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/14--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*-7/2)

4/20--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

3/8--'Team Burke' (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/15--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

67/71 winners (94.4%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less


Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4-5/4)

4--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/11-5/1**-10/3)

4--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**-8/1**)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--'Team Burke' (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)


Number of races at Newbury: 92

Favourite stats: 24 (26.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)


Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

10/88--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*)

7/23--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1)

5/24--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/10--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*)


76/92 winners (82.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less


Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

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5--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

Six furlong juvenile event scheduled for 2.00: Sixteen of the last twenty-one favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include eight winners. Interestingly, Richard has failed to saddle a winner via the last ten contests.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs)

7-2-11 (10 ran-good to firm)

5-8-3 (12 ran-good to firm)

7-11-6 (11 ran-good to soft)

6-7-10 (11 ran-good to soft)

1-3-2 (12 ran-good)

1-7-9 (12 ran-good)

9-12-3 (14 ran-good to firm)

3-13-5 (10 ran-good)

9-10-1 (11 ran-good)

6-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

5-10-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

10-16-6 (16 ran-good)

1-6-5 (12 ran-good to firm)

9-5-11 (10 ran-good)

16-1-3 (16 ran-good to firm)

7-3-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

20-8-3 (23 ran-good to firm)

13-17-20 (20 ran-good to firm)

10-15-6 (15 ran-good to firm)

Class 3 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 2.30: Five renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being recorded since the inaugural winner scored at 3/1 back in 2007. Three-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests.

Nine furlong conditions event scheduled for 3.05: Six favourites have won since the turn of the Millennium, whilst twelve winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less. Three-year-olds have secured four of the last seven renewals.

Juvenile Class 2 conditions event scheduled for 3.40: Marcus Tregoning (Castle Combe is a potential runner on this occasion) does not saddle a great number of juvenile winners in a season as a general rule, whereby it is significant that the trainer attempts to win this race for the fourth time in the last eleven years . That said, Richard Hannon (four options at the time of writing) has won the last two events in which the stable was represented. Five favourites have won of late (the 2011 4/7 market leader was beaten however), whilst eleven of the last seventeen market leaders have finished in the frame.

'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)

1-5 (7 ran-good to firm)

3-4 (7 ran-good to soft)

7-5-8 (10 ran-good)

7-5 (6 ran -good to firm)

1-7 (6 ran-good)

1-10-2 (9 ran-good to firm)

4-6 (7 ran-good)

2-8-4 (11 ran-good to firm)

4-5 (5 ran-good)

3-5 (5 ran-good to firm)

4-2 (7 ran-good to firm)

8-6-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

3-4 (7 ran-good to firm)

6-8-7 (8 ran-good)

3-2 (6 ran-good)

Seven furlong juvenile conditions event for fillies due to be contested at 4.15: Eight of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the last thirteen years, statistics which include five winners during the study period.

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

1-3 (5 ran-good to firm)

3-1 (7 ran-good to soft)

7-5-4 (8 ran--good)

6-2-3 (12 ran-good to firm)

9-11-3 (11 ran-good)

5-9-7 (9 ran-good to firm)

10-2-7 (13 ran-good)

6-3 (7 ran-good to firm)

5 (4 ran--good)

6-8-5 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-7 (7 ran-good to firm)

1-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

5-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-5 (7 ran-good)

Dubai Duty Free Cup (Listed event) schedule for 4.50: Six renewals have slipped by since the last successful favourite was recorded. Saeed Bin Suroor has secured four of the last eleven (including three of the last four) renewals with the trainer holding three options for the race at the time of writing.

Ten furlong Class 4 handicap scheduled for 5.20: Four-year-olds have secured nine of the last ten renewals. Three favourites have obliged during the last eleven years, though six gold medallists having been sent off at odds ranging between 14/1 & 25/1.




Number of races at Newcastle: 113

Favourite stats: 36 (31.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)


Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

10/57--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*-10/11*-15/8*-9/4*-5/2**-10/1)

7/40--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1-11/4**-7/4)

6/46--David O'Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3-8/1-8/11*-25/1)

5/13--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)

5/37--Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2-4/6*-4/7*)

5/40--Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1-7/1)


102/113 winners (90.3%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less


Trainers of beaten favourites:

8--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5-5/2**-9/2)

6--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2-3/1-2/1-7/2)

4--Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1-3/1)

4--William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2-13/8)

4--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5-3/1)

4--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**-3/1)



Drinkuptrig (a potential runner in the scheduled 5.40 event) was the only all-weather runner this week representing Stuart Williams. Stuart’s thirty one winners at Wolverhampton have been gained via a 27% strike rate with Stuart boasting the same number in terms of level stake profits at Dunstall Park in recent times.

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