Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 22nd August 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack




Number of races at York: 75

Favourite stats: 22 (28.9%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 3/5

Leading trainers at York in 2013:

7/46--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2-11/4*-3/1-6/1-3/1)

6/35--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1-11/4-7/4*-7/1)

6/91--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1-4/1-17/2-7/2*)

5/11--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*-5/4*)

5/22--William Haggas (4/7*-3/1-10/1-11/4*-4/9*)

3/4--Dean Ivory (8/1-11/2-9/2**)

3/23--David Barron (7/1-9/2-8/1)

62/75 winners (82.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1-2/1-6/4-3/1-6/1**-15/8)

5--Richard Fahey (5/4-9/2**-11/4-5/2-5/1)

3--David O'Meara (7/2-5/2-3/1)

3--Saeed Bin Suroor (9/4-4/5-6/4)


York's Ebor stats 2013: 

Number of races: 6--Winning favourites: 1 (16.7%)--Odds on favourites: None

Trainers of winners: 

1/1--Henry Candy (11/1)

1/2--Clive Brittain (12/1)

1/2--Aidan O'Brien (7/1)

1/2--Kevin Ryan (7/1)

1/4--Mark Johnston (6/1)

1/4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4*)

*Mark Johnston's winner was his first at York this year (27 runners)

Trainers of beaten favourites: 

1--Kevin Ryan (5/4)--1/2 this week

1--Richard Fahey (5/1)--0/5

1--Mick Easterby (4/1)--0/2

1--Roger Charlton (11/8)--0/1

1--Ed Dunlop (9/2)--0/1

Premier Yearling Stakes scheduled for 1.55: Five of the last ten favourites have prevailed.  Kevin Ryan comes to the party on a hat trick on this occasion and it’s worth noting that Kevin was the only trainer to saddle two winners at the Ebor meeting twelve months ago.  A real toteplacepot buster of an event if ever there was one, three of the last four favourites failed to figure, whilst recent winners included those returned at 25/1-12/1-18/1-10/1 during the last eight years.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs):

2012: 17-4-9 (19 ran-good to firm)
2011: 19-11-2 (20 ran-good to soft)
2010: 15-10-5 (18 ran-good)
2009: 13-8-7 (10 ran-good to firm)
2008: Race contested at Newmarket--not applicable
2007: 2-11-6 (20 ran-good)
2006: 11-9-16 (19 ran-soft)
2005: 10-18-15 (22 ran-good to firm)
2004: 12-17-19 (22 ran-good)
2003: 5-15-13 (22 ran-good)
2002: 17-18-21 (21 ran-good)
2001: 22-20-17(22 ran-good to firm)
2000: 4-10-3 (22 ran-good)
1999: 6-1-18 (21 ran-good to firm)
1998: 11-4-20 (22 ran-good)

Juvenile Lowther Stakes due to be contested at 2.30: Thirteen of the last sixteen renewals have been won by horses starting at 15/2 or less, stats which includes six winning favourites.  Eight of the market leaders during the study period have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Rosdhu Queen won Last year's Lowther Stakes just six days after winning at Newbury before subsequently going on to land the ‘Cheveley Park’ at Newmarket. Wind Fire is one of ten potential contenders for the ‘Lowther’ on Thursday have won the same race (St Hugh’s Stakes) at Newbury on Friday.  The race was marred by tragedy last year however when we lost the highly progressive talent that was Newfangled.

Class 2 all aged handicap over one mile scheduled for 3.05: Three and four-year-olds have claimed the last eleven renewals between them, with the older horses leading 7-4 during the period.  Favourites have a fair record in this event, given the nature of the contest.  Ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the last fifteen years, statistics which include three winners.

Yorkshire Oaks scheduled for 3.40: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last fourteen renewals, statistics which include four of the last seven contests.  That said, four-year-olds have won three of the last four contests.  Eight favourites have prevailed in the last sixteen years, though just three of the other eight market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.  The ten winners during the last decade scored at odds of 13/2 or less.

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Galtres Stakes scheduled for 4.20: Three-year-olds have claimed eleven of the last fifteen renewals of this event, statistics which include nine of the last twelve. Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the study period.  Twelve of the eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via the last fifteen renewals.

Seven furlong handicap for fillies scheduled for 4.55: David Barron’s Shesastar won the inaugural race as the 5/1 favourite in 2011 before the Bahamian Bounty mare ran a fine race in defeat twelve months later at 12/1 when finishing fourth (beaten two and a half lengths).  A winner last time out at Doncaster when beating last year’s winner of this race (Dutch Rose), the five-year-old looks sure to run her race again if given the green light by her trainer.




Number of races at Bath 93

Favourite stats: 38 (41.3%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 12/16 (75.0%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:

6/8--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)

6/26--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*)

5/8--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)

5/18--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2)

4/10--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*)

4/32--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*)

3/5--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4*-2/1*-4/1)

3/11--Jamie Osborne (14/1-5/1-9/2**)

3/13--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1)

83/93 winners (89.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4)

3--Milton Bradley (9/2**-7/4-7/2)

3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)

3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)


Ffos Las (NH):


Number of races at Ffos Las: 84

Favourite stats: 29 (34.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/9 (44.4%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:

11--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4)

10--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1)

6--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4)

4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*-10/11*)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1)

4--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1)

4--David Rees (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)

4--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1)

78/84 winners (92.8%) were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

8--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4)

7--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4)

4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)

3--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4)


Newton Abbot:


Number of races at Newton Abbot: 89

Favourite stats: 33 (37.1% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/16 (68.7%)

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot in 2013:

9--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*-4/1-2/1*-9/2-5/2*-6/4*)

5--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1-15/2-11/1)

4--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1-16/1)

4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)

84/89 winners (94.4%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4-11/4-5/2**)

5--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10-2/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-7/5-11/4-3/1)

4--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4)


George Baker’s (the jockey as opposed to the trainer) 55 winners at Dunstall Park in the last five years have emerged via a 18% strike rate, though his LSP reading of 90 points during the period makes for positive reading, especially as nineteen of those points have been recorded this year.  George is riding at the top of his form, given that the pilot steered four winners home during a period of just eight mounts recently.

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