Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 30th August 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

FRIDAY 30/08:


Number of races at Chester: 76
Favourite stats: 25 (32.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/3

Leading trainers at Chester in 2013:
7/50--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2-7/4*-11/4)
6/41--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2-9/2-5/1)
4/27--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**-4/1

74/76 winners (97.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2-10/11-4/1****-5/2-9/4)
7--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs-3/1**-3/1**-5/2)
5--Tom Dascombe (3/1-Evs-3/1**-5/4-9/4)
3--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4)
3--Brain Ellison (3/1-4/1****-5/2**)
3--Ian Williams (7/2-3/1-2/1)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (15/8-3/1-6/4)




Number of races at Salisbury: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/13 (84.6%)

Leading trainers at Salisbury in 2013:
16/54--Richard Hannon (2/1**-1/3*-15/8*-5/2**-4/5*-5/6*-6/1-9/2-3/10*-3/1*-6/1-2/5*-5/4*-4/5*-9/2-4/5*)
4/4--Lady Cecil (6/4*-4/1-1/3*-11/8)

69/74 winners (93.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Richard Hannon (6/4-9/4**-4/6-7/4-11/10-7/4-5/4-3/1)
3--Ralph Beckett (4/1***-9/4-5/2**)
3--Henry Candy (4/1***-5/2-3/1)
3--Luca Cumani (9/4-11/4**-2/1)
3--William Haggas (9/4-11/4**-10/11)
3--Amanda Perrett (7/2-11/4-9/2)
3--Sir Michael Soute (2/1-Evs-1/2)



Number of races at Sandown: 86
Favourite stats: 37 (43.5%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-Runner)
Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Sandown in 2013:
10/60--Richard Hannon (3/1-13/8*-11/10*-3/1**-5/4*-1/4*-4/1**-8/11*-8/1-13/2)
7/33--Andrew Balding (8/1-14/1-11/1-7/4*-11/4-9/2-11/2)
5/23--Sir Michael Stoute (8/1-4/1-5/1-5/6*-1/5*)
4/16--William Haggas (11/8*-5/2*-3/1-9/2)
4/21--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2-11/10*-9/2-3/1)
3/5--Henry Candy (7/2**-11/4*-4/1)
3/11--Roger Charlton (9/4*-15/8*-11/4*)
3/21--Roger Varian (11/4-10/11*-8/1)
2/2--David Brown (9/4* & 10/1)

79/86 (91.9%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Richard Hannon (11/4**-3/1-11/10-11/4**-11/4-11/4)
6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1**-5/4-7/2-7/2-6/4-6/4)
5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/5-6/4-7/2-11/8-9/4)
4--William Haggas (13/8-11/4**-3/1**-4/5)
3--John Gosden (3/1-5/1***-11/4**)
3--Brian Meehan (Evs-11/4**-15/8)
3--Jeremy Noseda (7/4 & 5/1***-5/2)
3--Roger Varian (9/4-10/11-7/2)

Nursery event scheduled for 2.20: Mick Channon held two options for this contest at the penultimate entry stage, the trainer coming to this particular gig on a hat trick having saddled three of the last six winners.  The last nine winners have scored at odds of 6/1 or less during which time, five favourites obliged.

All aged handicap over the minimum trip due to be contested at 2.50: Four-year-olds come the party on a hat trick, though five-year-old gained six victories between 2003 and 2009. Although only two favourites have prevailed during the last decade, nine winners were returned at a top price of 8/1.  Five of the last six scorers were burdened with a minimum weight of 9-1.

2YO maiden event over seven furlongs scheduled for 3.20: Seven renewals have slipped by since a favourite obliged, whilst Richard Hannon ahs saddled two of the five gold medallists.

Mile event for maiden fillies due to be contested at 4.25: The last six market leaders have prevailed!

Three-year-old handicap over ten furlongs scheduled for 5.00: All seven winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-4 to date.  Last year’s 9/4 favourite was the first market leader to oblige, though the biggest priced winner was returned at 10/1 in 2011.



Number of races at Thirsk: 89
Favourite stats: 28 (31.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/9 (55.5%)

Trainers of winners at Thirsk in 2013:
8/27--David Barron (7/2**-11/4*-11/4**-7/2*-5/2-4/5*-10/1-4/7*)
5/43--David O'Meara (4/1*-13/8*-11/4*-6/5*-16/1)
5/57--Tim Easterby (7/1-7/1-4/1-15/8*-3/1*)
4/15--Mrs K Burke (10/3-4/1-9/4**-4/1)
4/17--Mick Easterby (28/1-7/2*-18/1-5/2*)
4/17--James Given (11/2***-17/2-14/1-7/4*)
4/32--Richard Fahey (13/2-9/1-1/5*-10/3)
4/44--Ruth Carr (9/2*-16/1-11/2-8/1)

75/89 winners (84.3%) scored at odds of 10/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
9--David O'Meara (7/2**-9/4-2/1-3/1-2/1-5/4-3/1-11/4-3/1)
8--Kevin Ryan (4/6*-2/1**-11/2***-11/4-11/4-9/4-5/1-11/4)
4--Richard Fahey (2/1-11/4**-7/2**-5/4)
3--Michael Dods (15/8-15/8-3/1)

One mile juvenile event scheduled for 2.10: Trainers do not help the cause at times because Mick Channon has saddled three winners of this event when represented in the contest and yes you guessed it, Mick did not have a runner involved at the five day stage!  I have left the information in the analysis for your convenience for the 2013 contest.  Only one of the four short priced favourites has even reached the frame (an 8/13 chance) with the winners being returned at 11/3-5/1-12/1-18/1 to date.

Two mile handicap event scheduled for 2.40: Both favourites have finished out of the (short field) frames thus far behind 7/1 and 11/2 winners.

Three-year-old handicap over six furlongs scheduled for 3.50: Two of the three favourites (including an 11/4 winner) have secured toteplacepot positions to date.

Classified event over six furlongs due to be contested at 4.25: Two of the three favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include a successful 4/6 market leader.

Class 4 seven furlong handicap scheduled for 4.55: The only favourite to secure a toteplacepot position via four renewals to date was the winner of one of the two divisions of the 2010 contest at odds of 4/1.



As well as the previous trainers mentioned earlier in the analysis, you might like to add Hughie Morrison to the list, especially as Hughie had four runners pencilled in for Friday’s meeting at the track at the time of writing.  Hughie boasts a strike rate of 25% via thirty seven winners at Southwell during the last five years, a ratio which has brought about an LSP reading of twenty seven points.