Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 6th December 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

FRIDAY (06/12):

Sandown:

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sandown: 50
Favourite stats: 15 (30.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/11 (45.5%)

Trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:
7--Nicky Henderson (7/4-11/10*-9/4*-8/1-11/4-1/2*-1/3*)
6--Paul Nicholls (7/4*-4/5*-7/4*-2/9*-9/2-11/4)
5--Venetia Williams (5/1-11/8*-6/5*-7/2-4/1)
4--Gary Moore (20/1-6/1-5/1-25/1)

40/50 winners (80.0%) sent off at odds of 17/2 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-4/7-5/2-5/2-9/2**-2/1-3/1**-4/11)
7--Paul Nicholls (1/3-2/5-11/4-6/4-11/4-15/8-3/1**)
4--Venetia Williams (5/6-10/3-2/1-11/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (15/8 & 9/2)
2--David Pipe (3/1 & 9/2**)
2--Jeremy Scott (10/3 & 3/1)

Juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 12.35: Favourites have won four of the last ten renewals, whilst seven of the eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. That said, hot favourites at 1/4 and 4/5 have been beaten from a win perspective, albeit the biggest priced winner during the study period was sent off at just 8/1.

Class 3 two and a half mile handicap chase due to be contested at 1.10: The last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 10-13 during which time, three market leaders prevailed.

Grade 2 two and a half mile novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.45: Four and five-year-old’s have secured nine of the last ten renewals, with five-year-olds edging out their younger rivals 5-4 of late. Paul Nicholls (potentially saddled by Saint Roque this time around) has not saddled a winner of the race since snaring back-to-back victories in 2004/05. Although only one favourite has scored via the last six contests, five market leaders have won during the extended study period with the biggest priced winner returned at just 11/2. Seven of the ten favourites secured toteplacepot positions.

Listed ‘Future Stars’ steeplechase scheduled for 2.20: Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last ten renewals with Rolling Aces potentially representing the yard this time around. Seven-year-olds have secured five victories during the study period, whilst four of the last eight favourites have prevailed. Rolling Aces just happens to be a seven-year-old but then again, regular readers will know that Paul Nicholls pays attention to such details.

Class 4 two miles handicap hurdle for novices due to be contested at 3.25: Five-year-old’s have secured three of the last five renewals of Sandown’s scheduled finale. Nine of the last ten winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more, statistics which include the last seven gold medallists. Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have prevailed via nine contests during the last decade.

*

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 88
Favourite stats: 28 (31.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 12/20 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
10--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*-14/1-1/5*-7/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)
5--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*-5/1)
5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)
3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)
3--Martin Hill (18/1-7/1-9/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4*-Evs*-11/4*)
3--Alan King (9/2-4/11*-7/4*)
3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)
3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

78/88 winners (88.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2-9/4)
6--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2-5/1)
6--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8-Evs)
4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)
3--Vic Dartnell (11/10-11/4-6/5)

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Nineteen furlong conditional jockey’s event scheduled for 12.25: The last nine winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include two successful (11/8 & 7/4) market leaders.

Nineteen furlong novice chase event due to be contested at 1.30: Six-year-olds rule the roost as vintage representatives have snared four of the last six renewals. Four favourites have won via nine contests with the biggest priced winner returned at just 15/2. Philip Hobbs is the only trainer to have saddled two winners and Philip’s lone entry earlier in the week was Pistol, with the trainer trying desperately to rid himself of the memory of his representative Fingal Bay (ran out) twelve months ago.

Four mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.05: Some readers might suggest that six nine-year-old winners of this event during the last eleven years can be put down to pure coincidence though if that is so, why do plenty of professionals within the sport suggest that only nine and ten-year-old’s should be seriously considered in the Grand National? The vintage records of the relevant raiders down the years have been proved right via a general rule of thumb whereby I will stick to the principle in this extreme marathon event, albeit only five of the twenty-four five day acceptors were nine-year-olds. No successful favourites were recorded during the study period, with six of the last nine gold medallists being returned in double figures.

Seventeen furlong novice hurdle ‘qualifier’ scheduled for 2.40: Five-year-olds have secured seven victories during the last eleven years, with four-year-old’s ‘mopping up’ three of the other four events. Only two favourites have won during the study period though that said, ten market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.

Exeter’s closing bumper event scheduled for 3.45: Four favourites have won via the last nine contests. eight gold medallists were returned at odds of 7/2 or less.

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 72
Favourite stats: 24 (33.3%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/10 (40.0%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
3/4--Laura Mongan (8/1 three times)
3/12--Andrew Balding (6/1-4/6*-33/1)
3/13--David Evans (6/1-3/1*-5/2*)

60/72 (83.3%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs)
3--John Gosden (6/4**-4/5-6/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 150
Favourite stats: 55 (36.7%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/20 (45.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
11/49--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1-5/2*)
5/22--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
4/8--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1-6/4*)
4/10--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*-3/1*)
4/15-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*-9/4)
3/7--Robert Eddery (11/2-7/1-3/1*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/12--Jamie Osborne (10/11*-7/2-7/2)
3/13--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1)
3/13--James Tate (10/3-8/1-8/1)
3/21--Richard Fahey (10/3-11/10*-11/10*)
3/27--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/30--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

136/150 (90.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
7--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Brian Ellison (2/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Shaun Harris (2/1-3/1-5/2)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Derek Shaw (9/4**-11/8-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)

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