Daily Stat Pack, Sat 9th November 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

Doncaster:

Doncaster’s November Handicap details for Saturday (11 year study):

John Gosden has trained two of the last three winners and John held three options on Monday.

Draw details:

2012: 9-5-6-2 (23 ran-good) 2011: 20-5-16-22 (23 ran-soft)

2010: 9-17-5-3 (22 ran-good to soft) 2009: 14-19-9-24 (23 ran-soft)

2008: 22-18-11-7 (21 ran-soft) 2007: 13-17-19-2 (21 ran-good to firm)

2006: Race was contested at Windsor

2005: 18-5-10-8 (21 ran-heavy) 2004: 3-6-1-4 (24 ran-soft)

2003: 14-6-3-2 (24 ran-good) 2002: 20-22-24-17 (23 ran-heavy)

Official ratings: The last nine winners have run off offical marks ranging between 93 & 99.

Favourites during the study period: Just one favourite has finished in the frame (2008) via twelve representatives (no winners).

Vintage stats:

3YO: 4 winners & 7 places 4YO: 5 winners & 15 places

5YO: 2 winners & 5 places Older horses: No winners--six places

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 172

Favourite stats: 58 (33.9%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

11/84--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1-5/2*)

9/35--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

9/49--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*-14/1-6/4*)

6/18--Roger Varian (6/4*-11/8-9/2-4/1**-7/2*-7/1)

6/32--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

 

142/172 winners (82.6%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**-6/5)

8--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2-3/1)

7--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1-4/1**)

6--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4-4/1)

6--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2-4/1**)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

4--Brian Ellison (4/1-6/4-5/4-3/1)

 

Six furlong Nursery event due to be contested at 1.15: Six of the last seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-4, whilst four favourite have won via eight renewals during the last eleven years.

The five winners of the scheduled seven furlong Class 2 handicap at 1.50 have scored at 33/1-16/1-12/1-10/1-8/1, all carrying weights of 8-13 or less.

Ten furlong Listed event scheduled for 3.00: Three and four-year-olds have won all ten renewals thus far (juniors lead 6-4).

November Handicap scheduled for 3.35: Whilst digesting the stats and facts in the opening sector of this week’s work, it’s as well to also consider that ten of the last twelve gold medallists carried 9-2 or less.

 

Kelso: 

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kelso: 67

Favourite stats: 20 (29.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.7%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:

7--Donald McCain (6/1-4/7*-4/1-8/13*-6/1-7/2-Evs*)

5--John Wade (20/1-11/1-16/1-14/1-3/1*)

4--Dianne Sayer (6/1-5/1-7/2-7/2)

4--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*-10/3)

3--Ferdy Murphy (5/2-12/1-9/1)

3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)

 

58/67 winners (86.6%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8-15/8-2/1)

4--Phil Kirby (9/2***-15/8-3/1-3/1)

3--James Ewart (4/5-5/4-4/1)

3--Pauline Robson (7/4-9/4***-6/5)

3--Lucinda Russell (Evs-11/10-11/4)

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3--Dianne Sayer (11/4-2/1-7/2)

 

Two and three quarter mile NH novice hurdle event scheduled for 12.30: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 6-3 during the last eleven years.

 

Sandown:

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sandown: 43

Favourite stats: 13 (30.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/9 (44.4%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:

6--Nicky Henderson (7/4-11/10*-9/4*-8/1-11/4-1/2*)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/4*-4/5*-7/4*-2/9*-9/2)

4--Venetia Williams (5/1-11/8*-6/5*-7/2)

3--Gary Moore (20/1-6/1-5/1)

 

36/43 winners (83.7%) sent off at odds of 17/2 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Nicky Henderson (5/2-4/7-5/2-5/2-9/2**-2/1-3/1**)

7--Paul Nicholls (1/3-2/5-11/4-6/4-11/4-15/8-3/1**)

3--Venetia Williams (5/6-10/3-2/1)

2--Warren Greatrex (15/8 & 9/2)

2--David Pipe (3/1 & 9/2**)

 

Conditional jockeys event scheduled for 12.45: Seven-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals with a 20/1 runner up last year mentioned in despatches.

Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 1.20: Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last six renewals whilst favourites come to this year’s gig on an eight timer!

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 1.55: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the last eleven years.

Two and a half mile Class 2 handicap chase scheduled for 2.30: The last twelve winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include six winning favourites.  Six-year-olds have secured four of the last seven contests.

Class 3 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.05: Ten of the last eleven winners have carried weights of 11-2 or more, ten of which scored at odds of 9/1 or less (three successful favourites).

Three mile Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.40: The last ten winners carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Bumper event scheduled for 4.10: The last twelve winners have scored at odds of 17/2 or less.  Four-year-olds have secured five of the last seven renewals.

 

Wincanton: 

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 95

Favourite stats: 34 (35.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 13/19 (68.4%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

15--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2-4/5*)

6--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1-5/1-7/2)

6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)

5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)

5--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1)

4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)

3--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*)

3--Alan King (8/1-1/2*-4/1)

 

86/96 of the winners (89.6%) started at 12/1 or less.

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs-1/3)

8--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4-6/1)

6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)

4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)

4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

3--Alan King (3/1** & 3/1-5/1**)

3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)

 

Class 4 two mile five handicap chase scheduled for 12.55: Seven of the last eight winners carried weights of 11-4 or more.

Mares handicap hurdle scheduled for 1.30: Only one of the last nine favourites has obliged, whilst five of the last seven winners were burdened with a maximum weight of just 10-10.

Grade 2 novice chase scheduled for 2.05: Paul Nicholls (two potential runners entered up at the five day stage) has saddled four of the last seven winners of this event.  Paul might have snared the other two contests as well had his runners not ‘tipped up’ when going well in their respective events.

Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) scheduled for 2.40: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last eleven winners.

Listed handicap chase event schedule for 3.15: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last twelve winners of the ‘Badger Beer‘.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.50: Four and five-year-olds have secured eleven of the last twelve renewals between them.  Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last ten contests.  Apologies for the repetitive nature of the Paul Nicholls domination of this meeting down the years!

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