Once again, dear reader, I find myself humbled at your amazing response to a request for assistance. Your keenness to help me out always amazes me, and I always find it immensely gratifying. I never take it for granted.
So... a huge thank you to everyone who offered to help with the dutching service trial. I did think about 30 people would apply, but to get over 130 (including some who emailed rather than commented) was quite incredible!
Needless to say, applications are now closed, and Steve will be in direct contact with the lucky 25 (yes, we slightly increased the number to allow a few more people to take part) over the next couple of days.
If you missed out this time, please don't be disheartened: there may very well be further opportunities down the track.
As a way of saying thank you, I thought I'd research another little system for you. As you know, I'm always tinkering with system ideas, and I'm very proud of those slightly 'grander' systems and services that I've released commercially. I always publish my results - warts and all - and, touch wood, every service I've run to date (it's now seven, since 2006) has made a profit. Not fortunes, note. But a profit.
And, whilst the 'diddy' systems I put up here on the blog are simpler than my commercially available material, they're still profitable, and I could easily charge money for them. (In fact, there are plenty of rogues, charlatans and pirates out there asking for your cash in exchange for little more than a melange of hyperbolic words and unprofitable numbers).
But it's my pleasure to offer them up for your consideration, and - when I need help, like I did yesterday - you uniformly remind me why it's my pleasure. (So, thank you, again).
Anyhoo, enough of the fawning and sycophancy on my part. It's time for me to come up with some goods for you...
With the theme of the all weather in mind, I've had a look at horses (specifically 2yo colts or geldings) dropping in class, and the results are very interesting:
- Kempton, Lingfield, Southwell, Wolverhampton all weather tracks
- 2yo colts or geldings
- dropped one or more classes from last run
- have run in a Class 3 or better race (i.e. Group or Listed race, or Class 1, 2 or 3)
- 14/1 or shorter in the betting
- last run was between 8 and 223 days ago
My data covers up to the end of May 2009, at which time there'd been no such runners this year. There should be 50+ before the end of the year...
Indeed, there are two in the opening 2.30 contest at Southwell this afternoon: Florio Vincitore and Ingleby Spirit. Now, bearing in mind that these horses win on average 1 in 4 times, there's still a 50% chance we're on a loser here. But, at 7/1 and 7/2 respectively, we're getting a good bit better than evens the pair.
That's all for today. But, before I close, did I remember to thank you for your offers of help...? 😉