Doncaster TV Trends: Friday 13th Sept 2024
The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (12th-15th Sept) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV4.
As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.
Friday 13th September 2024
1:50 – Betfred Mallard Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m 6 1/2f ITV4
21/21 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
20/21 – Aged 5 or younger
20/21 – Had won at least twice before
17/21 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
17/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
16/21 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/21 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/21 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/21 – Ran at York last time out
8/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
7/21 – Returned a double-figure price
6/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/21 – Trained by James Fanshawe
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2:25 – Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4
13/14 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
12/14 – Foaled in March or later
12/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Won over 7f or 1m before
12/14 – Won just once before
10/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3) or 5 (3)
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3:00 – Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4
18/20 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
16/20 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
16/20 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
15/20 – Won 1-2 times before
14/20 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Ran at York last time
7/20 – Foaled in April
6/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
6/20 – Won last time out
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
9 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7 of the last 10 winners drawn in stalls 5 or lower
3:35 – Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV4
21/23 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
21/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
19/23 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Placed last time out
15/23 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
15/23 – Had won 5 or more times before
14/23 – Aged 6 or younger
14/23 – Previous Group race winners
14/23 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
13/23 – Ran at York last time out
10/23 – Winning favourites
9/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
4/23 – Trained in Ireland
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding
The last 9 winners were drawn 6 or lower
Trueshan won the race in 2023
Coltrane won the race in 2022
4:10 British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV4
7/7 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/7 – Won over 1m4f before
6/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times
6/7 – Rated between 85-89 (inc)
6/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/7 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
5/7 – Never raced at Doncaster
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Drawn 5 or lower
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Favourites placed in the top 2
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas
2/7 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/2
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Thanks Andy – I’ve been using trends for years in my Saturday morning “work” and I always look at the TV Trends on Geegeez. I have a suggestion to improve what is already a really useful resource – have you considered giving the percentage of runners over the 10 years who qualified for each trend – thinking being that higher percentages are less appealing than lower percentages because you would expect them to do well, i.e. 100% of winners have 4 legs.