Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 13th February 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 13th February 2015

Short prices aside, things don't get much better than they turned out on Thursday for us. We landed our third consecutive winning double, this one paying 6.55/1 as both favourites won.

We also had both runners-up for bonus forecast payouts at 2.38/1 & 5.95/1 and in both races, our runners were well clear of the pack. Oh, and the brave amongst will have spotted another forecast double in there. I know some of you play these and they're nice when they come off, but I wasn't on this one, that paid 22.5/1.

The only gripe, I suppose, about a 6.55/1 double yesterday is that it wasn't quite enough to take us past 100pts profit for DD, a 7.06/1 return was all we needed, but we got no market drift.

Thursday's results were as follows:

Our Katie : WON at 11/10 (adv 13/8)
Down Ace : 2nd at 7/4 (adv 13/8)
(The forecast paid £3.38)
------------------------------------------
Kilgeel Hill : WON at 5/4 (adv 15/8)
El Beau : 2nd at 9/2 (adv 7/2)
(The forecast paid £6.95)

Results to date:

488 winning selections from 1707 = 28.59%
152 winning bets in 442 days = 34.39%

Stakes: 883.50pts
Returns: 983.24pts

P/L : +99.74pts (+11.29% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

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A recent chat about DD strategy with Matt seems to be paying dividends and I'm hoping for more of the same from these for a Friday...

2.10 Lingfield:

Seek The Fair Land was only beaten by a neck on a Class 4 (0-85) handicap by the useful Pretty Bubbles at Kempton last time out, so the drop back to a Class 6 claimer must give him a real chance of winning a race that he won last year off today's mark of 73. His task has been made easier by the defection of Stonefield Flyer, meaning that he's now rated a 2/1 BOG chance to repeat last year's victory over...

...the reopposing and current 7/4 BOG favourite Jubilee Brig, who is better off at the weights this time around and when you consider that only a neck separated them last year, that could make all the difference.  He sharpened up for this run today by tackling a similar claimer here a fortnight ago and although 3rd of 5 and beaten by 3.75 lengths, he'll come on for having had a first outing in six months. New Leyf was 6 lengths further back in 4th that day and he's 2/2 since.

*

3.15 Lingfield:

Quill Art had Light Wave just a couple of lengths behind him at Wolverhampton a fortnight ago, but I think the two will not only be closer today, but that they'll fill both places here today. I wouldn't think there'll be that much between come the end of the race.

That race was Light Wave's debut and he's entitled to improve for having had the run and as such, he's my marginally preferred runner here. He was a little tardy in getting going that day, but with racing experience under his belt and a longer trip in which to get it right, he looks a decent prospect at 6/4 BOG.

Quill Art is also priced up at 6/4 BOG and is already rated at 70, suggesting he's considered to have some ability. His breeding suggests that this longer trip will suit him on his 4th start, as he seeks to build on his runner-up finish last time out, which wa easily his own best effort to date.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Jubilee Brig / Light Wave @ 5.88/1 (7/4 & 6/4 : Paddy Power)
Jubilee Brig / Quill Art @ 5.88/1 (7/4 & 6/4 : Stan James)
Seek The Fair Land / Light Wave @ 6.50/1 (2/1 & 6/4 : Skybet & Betfred)
Seek The Fair Land / Quill Art @ 6.50/1 (2/1 & 6/4 : Stan James)

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2 replies
  1. Iain says:

    Your on a roll I couldn’t care less about the odds as long as they win and produce a profit.

    • Chris Worrall says:

      You are absolutely spot on, Iain.

      The recently modified approach views that 3 6/1 winners pay more than the odd 15/1 win here and there.
      And although the big winners look good, they’re not actually boosting the bank.
      Some of these 6/1’s will drift too.

      Chris

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