Double Dutch, 14th March 2015
I thought that Pinzolo was long at 7/2 yesterday and so it proved to be the case as he won by three lengths at half that price (7/4) with Mymatechris a further length back in third place at 7/2, having been weak in the market.
All of which set us up nicely for the penultimate race on the Dundalk card, but unfortunately the well-supported (11/8 from 2/1) Moonmeister failed by a length to overhaul the surprise 10/1 winner, having to settle for silver, whilst Gold Focus was a further three lengths and three places back.
Some decent runs there, but we were ultimately a length shy of a 12.5/1 double.
Friday's results were as follows:
Pinzolo : WON at 7/4 (adv 7/2)
Mymatechris : 3rd at 7/2 (adv 2/1)
Moonmeister : 2nd at 11/8 (adv 2/1)
Gold Focus : u/p at 10/3 (adv 5/1)
Results to date:
516 winning selections from 1803 = 28.62%
162 winning bets in 467 days = 34.69%
P/L : +118.09pts (+12.65% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Last selections of the week are as follows...
The recent rain and subsequent softening of the ground will suit Engrossing (3/1 BOG) as he bid to pick up where he left off when winning over this trip on soft ground a month ago at Ayr. He was a useful (mid-70's OR) if not spectacular performer on the flat, ensuring he'll not lack for ground speed and has demonstrated sound hurdling technique in his four efforts over timber so far.
He has improved gradually in each of those four starts and was a runner-up two starts ago behind Days of heaven, who then went on to win a grade 2 event at Kempton three weeks ago, whilst Engrossing won at Ayr. Further progression might not be needed to land this one, but I'd still expect Engrossing to show some improvement.
The rain, however, might not be entirely to Roserrow's liking, but he's a horse in great form and does actually have a little bit of form on soft ground from his Flat days, where he was a useful performer, winning three times from 16 starts. he now comes here with a 2/4 record over hurdles and is seeking a hat-trick of wins following successes at Sedgefield and Musselburgh in October/November last year.
Roserrow has since been well rested (4 months) since and is sure to be fit and ready, as Donald McCain's string tend to be and with Donald's record here at Newcastle taken into consideration, this is an ideal Plan B at 7/2 BOG.
The unbeaten Sugar Baron (15/8 BOG) looks the one to beat here. A bumper winner on debut on soft ground at Ascot last November was followed by an impressive 18 lengths victory on his hurdling debut two months ago. That was at Newbury on heavy ground and although this is a couple of furlongs further, the better ground won't test his stamina quite as much.
He probably won't have it as easy as last time out, due to the presence of Port Melon (9/4 BOG) in the line-up today. This horse takes a considerable drop in class today from four efforts in graded races, in which he has finished third three times at grade 2, including one at this trio when 6.5 lengths behind Parlour Games and 2 lengths behind Blaklion, both of whom have won since and appeared at this week's Cheltenham Festival.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Engrossing / Sugar Baron @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : Bet365)
Engrossing / Port Melon @ 11.19/1 (11/4 & 9/4 : Betfair SB)
Roserrow / Sugar Baron @ 11.38/1 (7/2 & 7/4 : Betfred)
Roserrow / Port Melon @ 13.08/1 (10/3 & 9/4 : BetVictor & SkyBet)