Double Dutch, 15th August 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 15th August 2015

No joy of any description yesterday, unfortunately!

At Nottingham, both Glastonberry and Effusive were comprehensively beaten by a winner who made all, poured it on and stayed best in tricky conditions, whilst four hours later at Catterick, Our Thomas was really well supported (7/4 from 5/1), but he could only manage to finish as runner-up with Ralph's Beckett's Singular Quest a long way back (last home of five).

Friday's results were as follows:

Glastonberry : u/p (4th) at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Effusive : u/p (5th) at 9/4 (adv 5/2)
----------------------------------------------------
Our Thomas : 2nd at 7/4 (adv 5/1)
Singular Quest : u/p (5th) at 5/2 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
651 winning selections from 2305 = 28.24%
204 winning bets in 597 days = 34.17%

Stakes: 1193.50pts
Returns: 1308.20pts
P/L : +114.70pts (+9.61% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

Last picks of the week...

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2.05 Doncaster :

Imaginary World may well have been raised 2lbs for her last outing, but Cam Hardie's 3lb claim more than takes care of that and for a horse that looks to be coming back to some kind of form, a mark effectively 11lbs lower than when she was running and winning at this time last year might prove lenient.

She was only a neck and a half length off the winner when finishing third over this trip at Newcastle last time out, 10 days ago, and with the runner-up of that race, Liberal Angel, winning yesterday afternoon, then a 3/1 BOG bet on Imaginary World might not be the worst decision you make today.

Bonds Gift also trades at around the 3/1 BOG mark and she's interesting here, coming off a break of almost 23 weeks and returning to turf after running well on the Wolverhampton Tapeta, where she finished as runner-up in back to back 7f handicaps.

Those races have both produced quite a few winners and with Geoffrey Oldroyd's yard looking like sparking back to life after a couple of recent winners, Bonds Gift is a decent foil to the main selection in what looks a weak contest.

*

3.10 Newbury :

I know that Withernsea could only manage to finish fifth at York last time out, but he had been hampered in the final furlong and once switched out, he stayed on well.  He's likely to be happier here today, with the recent rain, as both his career wins have the word soft in the official going.

A common theme in his recent outings is that he tends to get caught in traffic and had I been writing this yesterday, I'd probably not have selected him for a 16-runner race, but 7 don't go and he's more likely to be able to avoid trouble on thew wide Newbury track with only 8 rivals to contend with. The softer the better for Withernsea, who is currently a 7/2 BOG shot.

The one he'll need to beat, though, is likely to be Mujassam, who represents an in-form trainer and jockey, who both have excellent records on this track. This lightly raced 3yr old son of Kyllachy won his maiden here at Newbury over 6.5f on soft ground, so the track shouldn't throw up any surprises for him today, nor should the trip at just a half furlong longer than that previous visit to the course.

Today's trip is the same as when completing a rather facile 8 lengths win at Salisbury last time out. Admittedly, this is a stronger race and he's up in weight, but he really could have won by as far as he wanted to that day and the horse that was last home of the eight runners, beaten by almost 17 lengths, Harlequin Striker, was a winner at Ffos Las on Thursday. There's plenty more to come from Mujassam, who can be backed at 100/30 BOG this morning.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Imaginary World / Mujassam @ 16.33/1 (3/1 & 10/3 : betVictor)
Imaginary World / Withernsea @ 17/1 (3/1 & 7/2 : Paddy)
Bonds Gift / Mujassam @ 18.50/1 (7/2 & 10/3 : SkyBet)
Bonds Gift / Withernsea @ 17.77/1 (10/3 & 10/3 : BetVictor)

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3 replies
    • Chris Worrall says:

      Officially, I’ve no advice to offer.
      Unofficially, you could pick another from the same race, or you could just do two doubles and two singles from the unaffected race, as that’s what I’ll end up with.

      In these cases, I don’t offer an alternative race, there simply isn’t time, sorry.

  1. DogsBody says:

    As for yesterday I think it’s always going to be dodgy when there’s a sudden change in ground conditions

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