Double Dutch, 16th December 2013
Despite landing a tidy 3/1 winner yesterday, the Double Dutch suffered a dismal washout of a weekend, as Kaki De La Pree's effort at Carlisle had already been rendered somewhat of an irrelevance after drawing a blank at Southwell 25 minutes earlier.
There, the 3/1 shot Oscar The Myth looked well set to challenge, before suffering a heavy fall 4 from home, taking both his and our own hopes away. I've not heard whether the horse is OK or not, to be honest, but I sincerely hope all is well and his health is far more important than any 0.5pt double I might have placed.
Yesterday's results were as follows:
Timpo: 3rd at 3/1
Oscar The Myth: fell 4 out, when in contention
Kaki De La Pree: won at 3/1
Lie Forrit: unplaced at 4/1
Results to date:
85 winning selections from 306 = 27.81%
26 winning doubles in 83 days = 31.33%
P/L : +12.97pts (+7.91% ROI)
It's a fairly mundane/uninspiring bill of fayre today, but I think we've more than a fair chance with these:
Matraash comes here in great nick seeking a hat-trick and whilst there might be some qualms about him stepping up in trip today, he certainly brings the best recent form to the table in a race where you can find major doubts about most of the field. Jockey Shane Kelly seems to know how to get the best out of this one, as he's 3111 on board this 7/2 shot.
There's likely to be good market support for A Little Bit Dusty, who arrives here after being kept busy hurdling. This means he'll certainly not miss out on stamina and he has been running well of late, despite not troubling the judge. He has finished second twice and third in three runs this month and is also a dual course winner, including one over course and distance. He's a versatile sort with 10 wins from 38 spread across the Flat, the Jumps and the A/W and it is probably this that makes him the current 15/8 favourite.
Jazzy Lady is the most obvious starting point with a recent run of form reading 113312 in the last seven weeks with the last five of those runs coming over today's course and distance. She's clearly on song at present and represents the David Evans yard who are ticking along nicely too. She's up 2lbs today, but the way she chased home the promising Groovejet last time out suggests it won't be long before she's back in the winners' enclosure and I fancy her to take this at 13/8.
Of her three rivals, Howz The Family has the most impressive set of figures with to wins from his last four outings, including a fairly comfortable win here at Wolverhampton last time out. The main issue around this one, though is that he's untried at this trip, so we'll have to take his stamina on trust. The fact that he receives 5lbs from Jazzy Lady and 6lbs from the other two runners could well be the difference today, as he seeks back-to-back Wolverhampton wins at 13/8.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
A Little Bit Dusty / Jazzy Lady @ 6.55/1 (BetVictor, PP and/or Coral : 15/8 & 13/8)
A Little Bit Dusty / Howz The Family @ 6.55/1 (Boylesports, Seanie Mac : 15/8 & 13/8)
Matraash / Jazzy Lady @ 10.81/1 (generally : 7/2 & 13/8)
Matraash / Howz The Family @ 10.81/1 (generally : 7/2 & 13/8)