Double Dutch, 19th June 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 19th June 2014

Back to back doubles, after yesterday's 7/2 twice affair, netting out at 19.25/1. That was a fair bit better than Tuesday's slight loser, and adds a touch of welcome profit to our bottom line.

Tuesday's results were as follows:

High Ron: won at 5/2 (adv 7/2)
The Magic Bishop: PU at 15/8 (adv 6/4)
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Vosne Romanee: won at 7/2 (adv 11/4)
Remember Rocky: 3rd at 5/2 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
260 winning selections from 937 = 29.91%
82 winning bets in 245 days = 33.47%

Stakes: 490.00pts
Returns: 519.59pts

P/L : +29.59pts (+6.04% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

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2.55 Southwell:

We'll dig the old bucket and spade out today, for a brace on the beach at Southwell, kicking off with a very dear friend. Khajaaly was never taken to Southwell during geegeez' ownership, because it was felt he wouldn't handle the surface. Since moving to local trainer Mick Appleby, he's run there three times, with form of 421. So we know he acts round here, but I have a niggle about the grade today: he's not run in Class 4 since before we bought him back in 2010.

Still, he looks otherwise solid, and has improved a bit for his new trainer. Against him, the profile horse is Two Moons. A winner over this course and distance last time, and in this grade too, Two Moons has run at Southwell three times, with form of 211. He's progressive after just six career starts, and that's something very few of his rivals are. He looks likely to go very close again.

*

5.20 Southwell:

Later on the same card, we have a similar combination of experience and unexposed. The experience (relatively) comes in the form of Shades Of Silk, James Given's course, distance and class hat-trick-seeking filly. Follow a filly in form goes the saying, and this lass is in flying fettle. She was given a most workable opening rating of 46, off which she duly cantered in; and then she won again off 53. Now upped to 58, that five pound rise is 60% offset by jockey Conor Beasley's three pound claim, meaning she's just two pounds higher than the last day. Conor rode her on her first win, so no worries on that score, and she must be in the thick of it.

Less exposed even than Shades Of Silk's five runs is James Fanshawe's Tahchee, just four runs into his career. He's not shown a massive amount so far in three maidens and a Class 5 handicap but, dropping to Class 6 for the first time on his first run at Southwell could make a meaningful difference. Of course, it's always a bit of a guess when horses have a first try here, though progeny of Sleeping Indian (his daddy) have a whopping 19% strike rate here (22 wins from 113 runs) so it's an educated guess.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Two Moons / Shades Of Silk @ 6.88/1 (5/2 & 5/4 : BetVictor)
Two Moons / Tahchee @ 13/1 (5/2 & 3/1 : Hills)
Khajaaly / Shades Of Silk 
@ 12.5/1 (5/1 & 5/4 : bet365)
Khajaaly / Tahchee @ 21/1 (9/2 & 3/1: Hills)

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