Double Dutch, 20th July 2015
Saturday was one of those frustrating crossbar rattling days, where in a couple of tough-to-call competitive events we had to settle for the runner-up berth in each.
There's no disgrace in that at all, of course and despite not finding a winner, two runners-up and a third from three runners (we had a non-runner) is as good as you can get without winning!
Saturday's results were as follows:
Consort : 2nd at 6/4 (adv 6/5)
Fire Fighting : 3rd at 5/1 (adv 6/1)
Secret Hint : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 11/2)
Russian Heroine : non-runner (adv 5/2)
Results to date:
629 winning selections from 2214 = 28.41%
200 winning bets in 574 days = 34.84%
P/L : +127.43pts (+11.11% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
New week = six new opportunities via twelve races, ths first two of which are...
Slipper Satin comes here in arguably as good form as she's ever produced. She's has two comfortable victories in 1m6f handicaps on the Flat recently with a decent runner-up finish over hurdles at today's track and trip in between the two, so she's clearly in good heart and finally looking like she might start to consistently show the undoubted talent she possesses.
The 1m6f wins are relevant here, as they show she shouldn't be tapped for toe between the hurdles or if it boils down to a race for the line, she looks well equipped. She was also possibly unlucky to run into a thriving sort here three weeks ago when beaten by just 1.5 lengths over course and distance by Irish raider Redclue.
Redclue was completing a run of form reading 12211 since a switch of yard ( the defeats were by 0.75 : & 0.5L!). There's nothing of that calibre here, so if you think Slipper Satin can now go one better today, she can be backed at 9/4 BOG.
The one she'll have to beat today, is likely to be another Irish visitor in the shape of Urban Dusk, who stayed on well to win over 2m4f at Sligo just 8 days ago on what was only her second run since switching yards. She runs under a penalty for that win, of course, but is clearly going well.
If I'm perfectly honest, I don't know too much about this one, other than what I've read myself and shared with you this morning, but as the only other runner in the race with any discernible recent form at a trip longer than the bare minimum, Urban Dusk looks highly likely to be in the mix at 9/4 BOG. If pushed, I'd not want to back her as a single at that price, but as half of a double is a different story, so we'll need the winner of the...
Bronze Beau has been in good nick of late and since winning over this trip at Hamilton back in May has been running consistently well, despite not winning. He has, however, been knocking on the door with three runner-up finishes in his last four starts, the last two off today's mark.
The first of those three efforts was 8 weeks ago at Carlisle when caught on the line and beaten by a short head by the re-opposing Tom Sawyer. Bronze Beau is now a pound better off for the rematch and that might just swing it for him at 7/2 BOG.
That said, Tom Sawyer hasn't raced since that day at Carlisle above and so comes here well rested and with conditions looking like his preferred options, he has every chance of defying that small swing in weight to go in again at 5/1 BOG.
All his career wins have been on straight tracks over 5f in fairly small fields. He tends to go really well around this time of year and it is hoped that the first-time application of a hood to go with his usual blinkers might just eke a little bit more out of Tom Sawyer today.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Slipper Satin / Bronze Beau @ 13.63/1 (9/4 & 7/2 : Betfred, Betfair & SkyBet)
Slipper Satin / Tom Sawyer @ 18.50/1 (9/4 & 5/1 : Betfred, Bet365 & SkyBet)
Urban Dusk / Bronze Beau @ 13.63/1 (9/4 & 7/2 : Betway, Betfair & Totesport)
Urban Dusk / Tom Sawyer @ 18.50/1 (9/4 & 5/1 : Betfred, BetVictor & SkyBet)