Double Dutch, 21st March 2014
Zamra stayed on gamely from a slow-ish start yesterday, but couldn't quite catch the winner at Wolverhampton. She was eventually placed 2nd at 3/1 and the half-length defeat she suffered was the margin between us celebrating a 14/1 double and not, as the case was!
That's because Loyaute went back to looking like a horse that beat Boltimore rock two starts ago, as she hosed up by a good 15 lengths without even seeming to break sweat.
Yesterday's results were as follows:
Zamra: 2nd at 3/1 (adv 9/4)
Byron Gala: 3rd at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Loyaute: won at 5/2 (adv 11/4)
Bobble Boru: 3rd at 3/1 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
188 winning selections from 656 = 28.66%
63 winning bets in 172 days = 36.63%
P/L : +53.15pts (+15.63% ROI)
We're looking for an A/W teatime double for Friday, starting with the...
Kings Request comes here in great form and seeks to land a course and distance hat-trick inside 45 days. He renews rivalries with Keep Kicking, who finished just a neck behind him last time out.
Keep Kicking meets Kings Request 3lbs better off today, but winning becomes somewhat of a habit and the latter is still somewhat unexposed over this trip and is likely to make further progression. I fancy them to finish 1-2 again today and at odds of 11/4 BOG (for KR with Betfair Sportsbook) and 7/2 BOG (for KK with Bet365), that should set us up nicely for the...
Where my two selections are a little shorter than those above, but like that race, I can't see anything beating my pair home, so maybe I'll get the bonus of a wee forecast to boot. I see this as a straight match between the two James Tate runners: the 15/8 BOG (SkyBet) Bereka and the 2/1 BOG (BetVictor) Sorry Saeed.
Bereka was a disappointing third at Kempton last time out, but that race a fortnight ago came on the back of a six-month break, so she was entitled to need the run and is sure to come on for it. She probably has the best form figures in what looks a pretty ordinary contest here and would seem, on paper at least, to be the one to beat.
However, I prefer Sorry Saeed and potentially of note, so does jockey Luke Morris. He now switches rides with Jimmy Quinn in what makes Sorry Saeed look the stable first string here today. For her own part, she's only the one race under her belt, a very creditable third on debut at Wolverhampton almost a month ago. She was beaten by just under five lengths on that occasion and not only can we expect her to improve for the benefit of having a run, we should note that the runner-up from that race, Crazee Diamond, reappeared at Wolverhampton four days ago and won by 3.25 lengths.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Kings Request / Bereka @ 9.06/1 (5/2 & 15/8 : Hills & SkyBet)
Kings Request / Sorry Saeed @ 9.50/1 (5/2 & 2/1 : BetVictor)
Keep Kicking / Bereka @ 11.46/1 (100/30 & 15/8 : SkyBet)
Keep Kicking / Sorry Saeed @ 12.00/1 (100/30 & 2/1: BetVictor)