Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 25th August 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 25th August 2015

Times like these are a real test of character for any punter. Yesterday was my second day in the DD chair, and my second straight 2-1 finish. This time it was 2-3/1-3, a sequence which included nominating a 7/1 shot backed into 2/1 favouritism (and, actually, getting beaten into 3rd).

These are 'great bets' win, lose or draw, but naturally we only get paid on them when they win. So we'll have another cut today.

Monday's results were as follows:

Time Medicean: 2nd at 7/2 (adv 11/4)
Brean Splash Susie: 3rd at 4/1 (adv 4/1)
Premier Currency: WON at 9/4 (adv 7/4)
Cote d'Azur : 3rd at 2/1 (adv 7/1)

Results to date:
656 winning selections from 2331 = 28.14%
206 winning bets in 604 days = 34.11%

Stakes: 1207.50pts
Returns: 1311.70pts
P/L : +104.20pts (+8.63% ROI)


Lots of deep ground around so I'm using that as the focus of today's selections...

4.45 Brighton :

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The in form horse is also the one known to be best suited by very soft ground. Pacolita has won and been second twice in her last three starts, and was second on soft ground. Her sire, Paco Boy, has been getting soft ground winners and her dam is by soft ground influence, In The Wings. She looks an obvious favourite and should be in the shake up.

Skidby Mill is a more hopeful addition, Laura Mongan's five year old filly staying on well on her only heavy ground start. That was over five furlongs, this is a mile, and she was beaten less than a length in third that day. Her best form is over this trip and her jockey, Megan Nicholls, will probably ride a patient race, which could be perfectly suited to the track.


6.30 Ballinrobe :

Our second leg is in Ireland, and it's a cracking race in prospect, as Gigginstown top notchers Savello and Arnaud duke it out with five others in a rated chase. The obvious place to start is with ratings, which put Savello eleven pounds clear of Arnaud and, racing off the same weight today, he should finish in front if both stand up.

Pass The Hat is slightly better in than Arnaud at the weights, but that one is expected to be less suited by the ground. The main danger could be a third Giggy runner, Enjoy Responsibly. He has lots to find at the weights, but is on a more upward curve and, as a six year old, will likely be rated higher at the end of this season than he is now.

Whilst I do sometimes worry about Gigginstown team tactics, this race has a 'top of the market' look to it.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Pacolita/ Savello @ 7.94/1 (9/4 & 7/4 : BetVictor)
Pacolita / Arnaud @ 13.63/1 (9/4 & 7/2 : Bet365)
Skidby Mill/ Savello @ 22.38/1 (15/2 & 7/4 : BetVictor)
Skidby Mill/ Arnaud @ 35/1 (8/1 & 3/1 : Betfair Sportsbook)

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9 replies
  1. acranea says:

    Well at least you’re in the chair at the right time Matt so look on the bright side.The last month has been so appalling you don’t have anything to live up to 😀

    I remember celebrating when the profit went past 100 points.Atmosphere probably going to be a touch different later this week when we go past it again! 🙁

    Still,it’s only money 😀

    • Chris Worrall says:

      Form is temporary and rather lament the fact hat we’re flirting with the 100pt barrier again, we’re happy that we’ve provided 100pts profit from a free service and we know it won’t be long before the graph climbs again.

      My glass remains half full…

  2. acranea says:

    My post was an example of maintaining a sense of humour in the face of adversity Chris.Not a criticism.Volatility & I are old friends.I paid out for an all-weather dutching service last November that recommended a 100pt starting bank.By March this stood at 302.I was blissfully happy as you can imagine.I thought I’d found “The One” in true Hollywood romcom style.

    2 months later at the end of May the service ended for the season.The bank stood at 84 points.Then I got an e-mail asking if I wanted to re commit for next season! Hollywood isn’t realistic 😀

    My only real issue with the current bad run for DD is that it’s messed with my own personal schedule which clearly isn’t your fault.I normally cash out profit from various projects at key points through the year.

    A) After the Grand National (the real end of the jumps season as everything after that is garbage as far as I’m concerned)

    B) After the CL final (end of football season)

    C) After the St.Leger (the proper end of the Flat,never mind all that Champion’s Day nonsense)

    Its only 3 weeks to the flat season cash out so I’m a touch disappointed as there’s a bigger hole in the likely final figure then looked likely 4 weeks ago.Guess I’ll just need to have a good winter.

    Normally if the profit is good enough the usual treat is a late Summer break.Looking like a weekend in Skegness this year rather than a week in the Greek Islands 😀

    As for the glass half full thing…I don’t think that way really.I just want to know who nicked my drink 😉

  3. acranea says:


    & nobody always succeeds 🙂

    I reckon though that the most important part of my little outpouring is something that tipsters,reviewers & such never seem to mention (or at least not much)

    Enjoy the winnings!

    We get lots of advice about bankroll management,value,staking plans etc but very little in the way of reminders about why we do this ridiculous stuff in the first place.
    Yes we like to test our knowledge…beat the odds…add a thrill to a wet October Saturday.But I try never to lose site of the primary reason.To make life a bit better!

    If you just accumulate money the whole thing becomes like some extended maths class & ceases to have any meaning.So take out profit regularly & use it for something you enjoy.That makes a real difference to your life.It reminds you why you do this stuff in the first place.

    After all,it’d be bloody awful to drop dead one day with 20 grand sitting in a Ladbrokes account wouldn’t it? 😀

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      After all,it’d be bloody awful to drop dead one day with 20 grand sitting in a Ladbrokes account wouldn’t it?

      Perish the thought!!! 😉

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