Monday was really frustrating/disappointing, for although we had no winners, we weren't that far from landing a decent sized double. We ended up with two runners-up, a third and a fourth place and of course, one that "got away".
I'd narrowed our first race down to three possibles, who then proceeded to be the first three home, but as you'll have guessed, I onmitted the winner, who I felt would need the run. As it was Jive Time actually finished strongest off all and got up virtually on the line to deny us an 8/1 win for Zeehan by just a head with our other pick Milrow a further half length back in third.
Race two also saw us get close, but not close enough, as Robins Pearl also got headed very late on to a stronger finisher, going down by half a length at 5/2 and that's how it goes sometimes. We missed out on a 30.5/1 double by tiny margins, but there'll be days when we nick one the same day to redress the balance.
Monday's results were as follows:
Zeehan : 2nd at 8/1 (adv 5/1)
Milrow : 3rd at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
Robins Pearl : 2nd at 5/2 (adv 5/2)
Hernando Torres : 4th at 9/2 (adv 4/1)
Results to date:
787 winning selections from 2832 = 27.79%
244 winning bets in 733 days = 33.29%
P/L : +75.40pts (+5.15% ROI)
This doesn't look the strongest Class 2 contest you'll see this year (or even this month!) and connections of Dungannon will be hopeful of a repeat of his course and distance success last time out. The Murphy/Balding partnership is a decent one and Mr Balding is very good at getting C&D winners to return to "scene of the crime" to win again. He is up 6lbs for that win, but a repeat effort should actually be enough here to land this at 11/4 BOG, ahead of...
...Mappin Time, a 3/1 BOG chance, who was last seen going down by a couple of lengths 45 days ago as a runner-up in a very competitive 14-runner course and distance contest and he had Dungannon a neck behind him that day and they now meet again with Mappin Time better off at the weights. My only concern about this one, is that he just seems to not be able to get his nose in front, but I don't mind him finishing second today, if Dungannon wins!
I'd expect this to revolve around a pair of LTO winners starting with the unexposed Call The Detective, who absolutely hacked up to win by 27 lengths on heavy ground on Boxing Day on just his second start over fences and having had a month to recover, looks well set to go in again. Ground conditions won't faze him after that run at Fontwell and stamina certainly won't be his undoing here and he looks a strong candidate at 2/1 BOG.
Kings Apollo was also a winner on similarly heavy ground at Taunton almost four weeks ago and whilst his win by 6 lengths wasn't quite as convincing as the one above, he did stay on well and coped best with conditions. He's more experienced/proven over fences and in Ben Poste, has a jockey having a decent season. This is generally a good time of year to catch this horse and 5/2 BOG looks fair.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows...
Dungannon / Call The Detective @ 12/1 (3/1 & 9/4 : Stan James)
Dungannon / Kings Apollo @ 13/1 (3/1 & 5/2 : Stan James)
Mappin Time / Call The Detective @ 12/1 (3/1 & 9/4 : Stan James)
Mappin Time / Kings Apollo @ 13/1 (3/1 & 5/2 : Bet365 & Stan James)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS