Double Dutch, 28th February 2015
Yesterday was one of those strange and occasional winning whilst losing days we sometimes have here on DD. Confused? Let me explain.
We had a non-runner in race 1, which means that two of our four doubles just revert to singles on the selections in race 2. We got the winners in race 2, but as it only paid 2/1, we have a 0.5pts loss, unless we got the winner in race 1 to make a double.
As it was, Gios Last was a 2/1 winner (our other runner was 2nd, so we got a small bonus exacta/forecast), but 10 minutes earlier Stratefic heights had been caught virtually on the line to deny us an 11/1 payout, leaving us with that small loss of 0.5pts.
Thursday's results were as follows:
Strategic Heights : 2nd at 5/4 (adv 3/1)
Majestic Timeline : non-runner (adv 2/1)
Gios Last : WON at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Nouvelle Ere : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 11/4)
(The exacta paid out at 6.8/1 here)
Results to date:
503 winning selections from 1756 = 28.64%
158 winning bets in 455 days = 34.73%
P/L : +102.82pts (+11.31% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Saturday is our last opportunity of the week/month, so hopefully we can continue our recent decent form with these...
I have mentioned more than once recently about the form of Messrs Pipe and Scudamore as individuals and as a team and Batavir (15/8 BOG) looks a very likely candidate for yet another win for this in-form partnership. The horse was a good performer in the typically soft courses used in France before making a UK debut three months ago at Leicester.
He was third that day, but has improved with each run, winning both his subsequent 2 outings. He is raised 7lbs on his hat-trick bid, but there's probably still more to come from him. He idled somewhat once leading last time out, but still won with almost three lengths to spare. It is expected/hoped that the first-time cheekpieces will help to keep Batavir at his work today.
The one he'll need to beat will probably be Call The Cops who caught the eye on his handicap debut last time out. He might well have only finished fourth of eight that day, but the way he stayed on and finished strongly was the thing to take from that race. he looked like a stayer in the making and I'd expect today's step up to three miles to suit him well here.
He was just a length and a quarter behind Royal Regatta (runs in the 1.25 Newbury today) and the latter has won twice since and Call The Cops is currently 100/30 BOG with Paddy Power to follow suit.
The Yank is sure to be popular on his bid to land a February 4-timer, but a further hike in weight and a drop to a sharper trip makes him very susceptible to another defeat by Thomas Blossom who is priced up at 5/2 BOG for his attempt to repeat his victory over The Yank from 8 weeks ago. He won by two and a quarter lengths that day over today's trip and h'es now 9lbs better off, making him (in my opinion, at least!) a better option.
Thomas Blossom is 3113 over today's trip with both defeats being by just half a length and that includes a narrow loss here on his only previous visit to Lingfield, when beaten by Planetoid who is 112 since that run and only beaten narrowly himself here last time out.
My second pick here is going to be the hat-trick seeking Precision Five who is 4/10 here at Lingfield with three further placed efforts. She's a 3-time winner over 1m2f, a trip where most of her running has been done, but I'd expect her to be just as potent over today's 1m4f, especially if you look at her last outing when she was pretty comfortable in victory over 1m5.5f at Chelmsford almost four weeks ago.
Precision Five has only been raised 3lbs for that win, but this represents a drop in class and if she runs like she did at the higher grade last time out, then she has every chance at 15/8 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Batvir / Precision Five @ 7.27/1 (15/8 & 15/8 : BetVictor & Coral)
Batavir / Thomas Blossom @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : BetVictor, Coral & Hills)
Call The Cops / Precision Five @ 11.46/1 (10/3 & 15/8 : Paddy Power)
Call The Cops / Thomas Blossom @ 14.17/1 (10/3 & 5/2 : Paddy Power)