Double Dutch, 29th October 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 29th October 2014

After yesterday's cockup on the communications front, it's a 'no prices available' yet offering for Wednesday, due to the fact I'll be airborne/bedbound when the prices are available. I'll try to check in before bed tonight (about 5am GMT), but no promises.

Monday's results were as follows:

Ythan Waters: won at 6/4(adv 9/4)
Highest Level: 2nd at 2/1 (adv 9/4)
------------------------------------------
Sir Domino: won at evens (adv 6/4)
Quintus Cerialis: 2nd at 7/4 (adv 6/4)

Results to date:
387 winning selections from 1360 = 28.46%
124 winning bets in 354 days = 35.03%

Stakes: 707.50pts
Returns: 749.27pts

P/L : +41.77pts (+5.9% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

Wednesday has my hallmark, with two non-handicaps that look to lack depth, starting in the...

1.05 Punchestown:

Your first 30 days for just £1

A thirteen runner maiden hurdle but probably only three that can win. The two to focus on are Wrath Of Titans and Mr Diablo. The former, trained by Dessie Hughes, won a Thurles bumper on similar ground and then ran well in better races last season. He ought to win on what he's shown, unless the ex-pointers turn out to be useful, and the only niggle is that he might be after a handicap mark. If he's weak in the betting, that might imply a mark-seeking effort. The stable and jockey are both in fine form at the moment, despite the sad illness of trainer Dessie Hughes.

Good job then that we also have Mr Diablo in our corner. He won a 16 runner course and distance bumper when last seen in May and, if able to translate that form over hurdles, will give Hughes' horse a race. Again, top of the ground looks optimal.

*

4.20 Worcester:

Another maiden hurdle, this time with just eight runners declared. Sykes is the form pick, based on a fair run in a Newton Abbot bumper on soft ground. Expected to appreciate this stiffer test, Philip Hobbs' runner can add to the in-form stable's seven winners in the past fortnight.

Against him are a couple of ex-pointers, and the more likely of the pair of Ruth Curtis' Moral Hazard. Curtis is in excellent fettle just now, and has a very strong one year and five year record at the track to boot. She's deployed the McCoy (AP) for the job, so clearly a big run is expected.

Paul Webber's Copperfacejack is the fly in the ointment. Second in maiden point, it remains to be seen how good he is. Hopefully, not good enough to be better than second!

No prices at time of writing, and as I wrote above I'll try to update when I arrive at the hotel around 5am GMT.

4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:

Ythan Waters / Sir Domino @ 7.13/1 (9/4 & 6/4 : Stan James)
Ythan Waters / Quintus Cerialis @ 7.13/1 (9/4 & 6/4 : Stan James)
Highest Level / Sir Domino @ 7.13/1 (9/4 & 6/4 : Stan James)
Highest Level / Quintus Cerialis @ 7.13/1 (9/4 & 6/4 : Stan James)

Your first 30 days for just £1
2 replies
  1. Alan Gooch says:

    Two favourites are currently borderline odds-on so they’re not going to break even if they come in. Big up the second choices.

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      The first race was won by 11/4 Mr Diablo, who was generally 3/1 all morning, Alan.

      So it looks like I dodged a bullet there (so far).

      It is pretty tough doing DD blind, so to speak, and it will continue in a similar vein for the rest of the week. The bookies price the kind of races I’m interested in around 9am on the morning of racing, which is 2am here in Pasadena… Let’s hope that the 4.20 puts some credit in the bank.

      Matt

Comments are closed.