Double Dutch, 2nd February 2015
It was one of those strange days for us on Saturday, where we had 3 placers and a faller, but no winners. We generally pick up at least one winner from 3 placers, but not his time.
At Wetherby, the favourite May Hay was 7 lengths clear of second choice Kashtaree, but they were both well beaten by Bobs Lady Tamure who kicked on from 2 out and opened up an unassailable 13 length lead.
Meanwhile, down at Sandown, 8 lengths was the margin of defeat for Irish Saint behind a strong performance from Gitane du Berlais, whilst our other runner, Champagne West fell 4 out whilst looking set to mount a decent challenge.
Saturday's results were as follows:
May Hay : 2nd at 5/4 (adv 5/4)
Kashstaree : 3rd at 3/1(adv 9/4)
Irish Saint : 2nd at 15/8 (adv 10/3)
Champagne West : fell at 15/8 (adv 5/2)
Results to date:
476 winning selections from 1667 = 28.55%
148 winning bets in 432 days = 34.26%
P/L : +94.88pts (+10.99% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
The 100pt barrier is still within sight and I'll hoping to break it today with these...
I wouldn't expect there to be much between Coup de Grace and Gimme Five and I'd not be surprised to see them come home in a forecast with a slight personal preference for the latter.
Coup de Grace is 2/4 on the A/W and runs just 3lbs higher than his last win at Kempton and comes here freshened up by three decent efforts over hurdles. He was only beaten by a neck at Sandown last time out with the subsequent winner, As De Mee going on to win again since. He does look leniently treated on past efforts and could well strike again today at 5/2 BOG.
But he'll have to beat Gimme Five to do so, a horse in excellent form prior to a recent break. Last seen winning at Wolverhampton in mid-October over 2m 0.5f in a race that took his form line in races beyond 1m6f to 123211, this contest looks ideal for him, provided he's not rusty, of course! He's also aided by a very useful 6lbs weight allowance and that just swings the balance for me and you can back this one at 11/4 BOG with Stan James.
Yair Hill's return to form has coincided with a drop into claiming company in two runs this years after nearly 5 months off the track. He won his comeback race over 6f , before stepping up to today's 7f to finish third, beaten by 2.5L. He was 2 lengths behind the runner-up who has since scored over course and distance and if that form pans out, then Yair Hill can take this at 2/1 BOG.
In a race devoid of any other real form, I'm going to take a bit of a punt on Ann Duffield's Doppler Effect at 8/1 BOG. The yard looks to be emerging from a lean spell and as well as this horse finishing 4th twice this year, the yard's other runners are 2/6 since New Year. This horse was beaten by just over three lengths last time out here at Wolverhampton, but over 6f. he finished strongly that day and looked like he really needed at least another furlong. He gets that today and whilst not an obvious winner, looks big at the odds quoted.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Coup de Grace / Yair Hill @ 9.5/1 (5/2 & 2/1 : Bet365, Boylesports & Hills)
Coup de Grace / Doppler Effect @ 30.5/1 (5/2 & 8/1 : Bet365 & Hills)
Gimme Five / Yair Hill @ 10.25/1 (11/4 & 2/1 : Stan James)
Gimme Five / Doppler Effect @ 32.75/1 (11/4 & 8/1 : Stan James)