Double Dutch, 30th August 2014
As clunky a clunk of a clunker as I can remember yesterday and, mercifully, it still only counts as minus two on the score sheet, and we go again today.
I'm dodging the handicaps, and instead focusing in (seemingy) shallower events at Wexford and Market Rasen, starting at 3.10.
Friday's results were as follows:
Never Never: 2nd at 10/11 (adv 13/8)
My Betty: 3rd at 3/1 (3/1)
Winters Moon: 4th at 11/4 (adv 13/8)
Mister Universe: 3rd at 7/1 (adv 17/2)
Results to date:
335 winning selections from 1174 = 28.53%
110 winning bets in 306 days = 35.95%
P/L : +69.47pts (+11.35% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Three in with a chance here, and we'll take the top two, both with experience, against Jim Bolger's first time starter.
Mr Rock has run two very solid races at the trip in maidens, and this is a step down in class. There's no worry about ground or ability, and he's a worthy favourite for high profile connections.
Ger Lyons' Thunder Zone is the main danger after his debut third in a Leopardstown maiden, and he's expected to improve for that run. There really isn't too much to say about a race where the third favourite is unraced and unfancied in the market, and the fourth favourite is exposed and rated 68, which is very rarely enough to win a maiden.
Another shallow contest on paper, with John Ferguson's Chesterfield clearly the one to beat. Rated in the high 80's on the flat, he won his only start over hurdles last time beating another decent flat performer, Classic Colori. The pair were a mile clear of the third and there doesn't look to be anything of Classic Colori's ability in this field. Ferguson continues in fine form, and jockey Jack Quinlan rides Rasen very well.
Best of the rest looks to be the more exposed Satanic Beat. Although with less upside potential, Jedd O'Keefe's gelding has a rating of 125 in the bag already, and there are plenty in this field that will never make that level. Also rated 80-odd on the flat, trip and ground are optimal, and he looks likely to push Chesterfield all the way.
4 x 0.5pt E/W doubles as follows:
Mr Rock / Chesterfield @ 3.2/1 (6/5 & 10/11 : Betfred)
Mr Rock / Satanic Beat @ 5.05/1 (11/10 & 15/8 : SJ)
Thunder Zone / Chesterfield @ 6/1 (5/2 & Evens : Ladbrokes)
Thunder Zone / Satanic Beat @ 9.08/1 (5/2 & 15/8 : Hills)