Double Dutch, 4th August 2014
We had a really nice 9/2 winner on Saturday. Unfortunately, that was in leg two after our leg one options were unsighted, meaning it was academic only. There are a few more options to aim at today, thankfully, including some decent Bank Holiday action in Ireland, so let's see if we can get back on the winning track with an early quickfire double there.
Saturday's results were as follows:
Craggaknock: 4th at 15/8 (adv 7/2)
Leaderene: 5th at 11/4 (adv 5/2)
Dutch Connection: won at 9/2 (adv 7/2)
Lethal Legacy: 8th at 5/2 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
308 winning selections from 1083 = 28.44%
102 winning bets in 283 days = 36.04%
P/L : +66.19pts (+11.65% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Unless one of the newcomers is well above average, this looks a match between Aiden O'Brien's Cape Clear Island, and Ger Lyons' Dandyleekie.
Cape Clear Island took three attempts to get off the mark, but had gone down fighting on his first two runs, finishing second both times. He was beaten a short head on second start before winning by a nose, at 1/5, last time. Although it's too early to say, he has the look of a talented horse that might be reluctant to put his head in front.
In other words, he's a perfect example of why it's nice to take two in Double Dutch! Our other lad, Dandyleekie, looks more straightforward. He followed up a debut win, turning over an odds on shot, with a fair second to Dick Whittington in an auction race. With scope for improvement on a decent level of form, he's an obvious alternative to Cape Clear Island.
They're both fairly short, but there's always the chance that one of them will drift.
We'll stay in Ireland for a maiden hurdle with plenty of dead wood in the thirteen declared entries. As with leg one, unless there's a big improver lurking, this looks a two horse race. Equity Swap has had a few chances now, but his level of form is better than his rivals this time. He drops back half a mile on his last completed start, and the quicker ground should be in his favour.
He'd hardly be a 'mortgage' job (which horse is?!), so it's nice that we have a second arrow to fire, and the suggestion is the less exposed Our Girl Naoise. She won a bumper on quick ground in June and followed that up with a third placed effort in a big field maiden hurdle last time over a quarter mile further. It's possible she didn't quite get home there, so the drop to the minimum on ground a bit faster looks a positive.
The pair of them look far the likeliest winners.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Cape Clear Island / Equity Swap @ 4.25/1 (11/10 & 6/4 : Coral)
Cape Clear Island / Our Girl Naoise @ 8/1 (Evs & 7/2 : Betfair sportsbook)
Dandyleekie / Equity Swap @ 5.55/1 (6/4 & 13/8 : BetVictor)
Dandyleekie / Our Girl Naoise @ 9.13/1 (5/4 & 7/2 : Betfair sportsbook)