Double Dutch, 5th August 2014
Grr. I thought I was buying money in the first race yesterday, but the two picks were well beaten in a big shocker of a race. Of course, leg 2 obliged, but the damage by then was done.
We're away west today, to Ffos Las Vegas, for a pair of interesting looking contests on my last day before handing back to Chris.
Monday's results were as follows:
Cape Clear Island: 4th at 4/5 (adv 11/10)
Dandyleekie: 3rd at 7/4 (adv 6/4)
Equity Swap: won at Evs (adv 13/8)
Our Girl Naoise: 5th at 11/4 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
309 winning selections from 1087 = 28.43%
102 winning bets in 284 days = 35.92%
P/L : +64.19pts (+11.26% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
The going is good to soft at Ffos Las, and this tricky looking five runner mile and a quarter handicap has a nice angle in. Specifically, there are two horses at the bottom of the weights in receipt of concessions for their age. The first of them, Light Of Asia, steps out of three-year-old company and up from a mile to ten furlongs for the first time. Ed Dunlop does well with his stepped up in trip horses, and this lad looks the type to improve with age. He's stayed on into second the last twice, and could go one better today.
Scoppio del Carro (Explosion of the Cart, an Easter folk tradition in Florence, Italy, apparently) is also having his first run in all age company, although he has been competing at today's distance the last three times. A fair third off this mark last time out, he wouldn't have to improve much to be involved in the finish, and it's possible the easier ground will be in his favour.
An hour later and it's a mile handicap for three-year-olds only. The two to focus on here are top weight Tullia, who is returning to a softer surface, and handicap debutante, Purple Lane.
Tullia won a soft ground maiden last autumn before running well in a pair of Class 4 handicaps, also on soft, at the start of this term. Since encountering quicker ground she's struggled, and today she gets both cut in the ground and a drop to Class 5. That combination of changes could make the difference and she'll be gunned prominently most likely under the brilliant Andrea Atzeni.
Purple Lane has had just three starts thus far, so has plenty more to come. His staying on third over seven in a decent looking Newmarket maiden is a decent piece of form, and if he can handle the different turf here, looks well placed to take advantage of a workable mark of 69. He's more likely to be held up and will hopefully be the only challenger to Tullia in the final furlong!
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Light Of Asia / Tullia @ 11.38/1 (7/4 & 7/2 : Boylesports)
Light Of Asia / Purple Lane @ 7.64/1 (15/8 & 2/1 : Skybet, BetVictor)
Scoppio Del Carro / Tullia @ 15.88/1 (11/4 & 7/2 : Boylesports)
Scoppio Del Carro / Purple Lane @ 10.25/1 (11/4 & 2/1 : Bet365)